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cover of episode Ed Yardeni Says It’s Not as Bad as You Think

Ed Yardeni Says It’s Not as Bad as You Think

2025/5/23
logo of podcast Merryn Talks Money

Merryn Talks Money

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Ed Yardeni: 我认为全球债券市场,尤其是在发达国家,正面临压力,这主要是由于对财政过度和不可持续的财政政策的担忧。解决赤字问题的关键在于政治,需要减缓支出速度并增加收入,但这在政治上很难实现。中央银行和财政部有办法争取时间,避免清算日,赤字是人为问题,可以轻松解决。我不认为会出现债券拍卖无人问津或者美国、日本违约的情况,债券收益率达到一定水平时,总会有投资者认为值得购买,这可能会减缓经济增长并降低通货膨胀。如果真的出现类似债务危机的情况,可能只需要几周时间就能解决,不一定是世界末日。我通过关注债券市场的反应来应对不确定性,避免过度悲观,因为有很多机会。

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Think it’s all over for US markets? Think they’re finally going to sink under high valuations, inflated expectations and now a nervous bond market? Maybe think again, says Ed Yardeni of the eponymous firm Yardeni Research.

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