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Tesla's Disappointing Sales

2025/1/2
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Bloomberg Technology

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D
Dave Lee
D
David Welch
G
Gautam Hans
K
Katie Greifeld
M
Mike Shepard
R
Rachel Tippegraff
Topics
Katie Greifeld: 特斯拉第四季度交付量未达分析师预期(495,000辆 vs 512,000辆),导致股价下跌。这反映出市场对特斯拉未来增长的担忧。 David Welch: 特斯拉销量下滑的主要原因是竞争加剧,尤其是在中国和美国市场。中国市场面临比亚迪等本土电动汽车品牌的激烈竞争,美国市场则涌现出许多新的电动汽车厂商,例如现代、起亚和通用汽车,它们的产品具有竞争力且价格更低,例如通用汽车的Equinox售价低于35,000美元。此外,整体电动汽车市场增长放缓,竞争加剧导致特斯拉的市场份额受到挤压。特斯拉目前的车型阵容有限,缺乏更便宜的车型,限制了其增长潜力。除非推出更便宜的车型,例如Model 2,否则其在美国市场的增长将受到限制。欧洲和中国市场的竞争也日益激烈。 David Welch: 埃隆·马斯克与当选总统特朗普的密切关系可能会疏远一些潜在的消费者,因为许多购买电动汽车的人关心气候变化,而马斯克的政治立场可能会影响部分消费者的购买意愿。 David Welch: 特朗普政府可能出台的自动驾驶汽车联邦框架政策将有利于特斯拉,因为这将使特斯拉能够在没有方向盘、刹车和油门踏板的情况下,推出完全自动驾驶的汽车。此外,取消联邦补贴可能会对其他公司造成更大的影响,而特斯拉则可能受益。但取消补贴也可能导致特斯拉不得不更多地打折促销,从而降低盈利能力。 Mike Shepard: 特斯拉Cybertruck在拉斯维加斯爆炸事件的调查仍在进行中,目前尚不清楚爆炸原因。初步信息显示,驾驶员死亡,七人受轻伤。该车是通过Turo应用程序租赁的,但Turo公司表示,他们没有发现租车者与新奥尔良恐怖袭击事件的嫌疑人有任何关联。埃隆·马斯克推测爆炸可能是由于烟火或炸弹造成的,而非电池故障。目前,执法部门和安全部门仍在调查事件的具体原因。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did Tesla report its first annual sales decline in over a decade?

Tesla's sales decline is attributed to increased competition, particularly in China where BYD and other domestic EV players are thriving with government subsidies. In the U.S., new EVs from Hyundai, Kia, and General Motors, such as the affordable Equinox, are intensifying competition. Additionally, the overall EV market is experiencing slower growth, making it harder for Tesla to maintain its dominance.

What impact did Tesla's fourth-quarter delivery miss have on its stock?

Tesla's stock dropped by 5.6% after the company reported fourth-quarter deliveries of 495,000 vehicles, missing analyst expectations of 512,000. This disappointment reflects investor concerns about Tesla's ability to meet growth targets amid rising competition and market challenges.

How is Elon Musk's political alignment affecting Tesla's consumer base?

Elon Musk's close alliance with President-elect Donald Trump has alienated some left-leaning consumers, particularly those concerned about climate change. While this may reduce Tesla's appeal to certain buyers, the company is also expected to benefit from Trump's pro-business policies, such as a federal framework for autonomous vehicles.

What are the potential benefits for Tesla under a second Trump administration?

A second Trump administration could benefit Tesla through policies like a federal framework for autonomous vehicles, which would enable the deployment of fully self-driving cars. Additionally, Trump's potential elimination of EV subsidies could hurt competitors more than Tesla, as Musk has claimed the company does not rely on such incentives.

What caused the explosion of a Tesla Cybertruck in Las Vegas?

The cause of the explosion is still under investigation, but Elon Musk suggested it may have been related to fireworks or a bomb in the truck's bed rather than a battery malfunction. The driver was killed, and seven others suffered minor injuries. Authorities have not yet confirmed the exact cause.

How is TikTok's potential ban affecting the advertising landscape?

If TikTok is banned, advertising dollars are expected to shift back to platforms like Alphabet (Google, YouTube) and Meta (Facebook, Instagram). TikTok's unique combination of brand-building and direct-response advertising has made it a major player, but competitors like YouTube Shorts and Meta Reels are poised to fill the void.

What are the legal challenges to banning TikTok in the U.S.?

Legal challenges to banning TikTok center on First Amendment issues, as the platform is a space for millions of users to exchange content and ideas. Critics argue that the national security concerns cited by Congress have not been made public, making it difficult to justify the ban under constitutional scrutiny.

How are small businesses likely to be affected by a TikTok ban?

Small businesses that rely heavily on TikTok for marketing and sales could face significant challenges if the platform is banned. Unlike larger brands that can quickly reallocate advertising budgets, smaller businesses may struggle to adapt, especially if they depend on TikTok creators for their income.

Shownotes Transcript

Bloomberg's Tim Stenovec and Katie Greifeld discuss Tesla's big sales miss as the company reports its first annual sales decline in a decade. And, the latest on Tesla following a Cybertruck explosion in Las Vegas. Plus, TikTok feels the heat as its potential ban closes in.

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