We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode George Khalaf and Mike Noble on Arizona Primary Predictions

George Khalaf and Mike Noble on Arizona Primary Predictions

2022/7/30
logo of podcast Breaking Battlegrounds

Breaking Battlegrounds

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
G
George Khalaf
M
Mark Finchem
M
Mike Noble
S
Sam Stone
Topics
George Khalaf: 本次亚利桑那州初选竞争异常激烈,选民情绪高涨,共和党内部存在严重分歧。莱克的民调支持率领先,但仍需警惕。大选环境对共和党不利,共和党各派必须团结才能击败霍布斯。霍布斯的竞选策略是保持低调,避免犯错。 Mike Noble: 民调显示莱克的支持率领先,但与其他民调结果相比,存在差异。特朗普的支持者与建制派之间的对抗,以及选民的愤怒和不满,导致莱克的支持率上升。其他特朗普支持的候选人表现也很好。总检察长竞选结果可能出人意料。 Mark Finchem: 他在州务卿竞选中获得32%的支持率,选民对邮寄投票的安全性表示担忧,倾向于亲自送交选票。州务卿的主要职责是确保遵守选举法,而不是制定规则。他将确保所有候选人都有公平竞争的机会。 Sam Stone: 对民调结果的解读和分析,以及对选举结果的预测。 Chuck Warren: 对民调结果的解读和分析,以及对选举结果的预测。

Deep Dive

Chapters
George Califf discusses the heightened emotions and personal attacks in the Arizona primary elections, highlighting the unexpected reactions to his polling numbers and the need for Republicans to unite against the Democratic nominee.

Shownotes Transcript

With just a few days left before Arizona’s primary election), we are joined this week by two of Arizona’s top pollsters, George Khalaf and Mike Noble, for their final predictions and analysis of the election so far. Later in the show, Chuck and Sam talk with Mark Finchem, a member of the Arizona Legislature and current candidate for Secretary of State.

George Khalaf serves as President of Data Orbital and Managing Partner of The Resolute Group. For the last decade he has leveraged his political instincts, data expertise and strategic relationships to advance conservative clients and causes throughout Arizona and a growing number of states. He believes conservative policies create thriving communities and wants to arm conservative candidates and organizations with the best data, messaging, and strategy.With a strong grassroots and data background, George has worked at the local, state and national levels. Under George’s leadership, Data Orbital is a top ranked survey research and data visualization firm that is known for its accuracy and transparency. Data Orbital was the most accurate firm that polled Arizona political races and is top rated by FiveThirtyEight. Data Orbital’s survey research has been featured in top news outlets and publications such as The Washington Post, Politico, The Hill, NBC News, Fox News, Fox Business, The Arizona Republic, LA Times and others.As managing partner of The Resolute Group, he led the effort to keep the Arizona legislature conservative, playing in the most contentious districts and races across the state. He advises conservative candidates and organizations across the country on strategy. The firm is building a reputation for taking on and leaning into the toughest fights. They aim to shape the landscape, not merely exist in it.George’s engagement is driven by his personal faith and his Lebanese heritage. He knows firsthand the price of freedom and the importance of protecting our core values and Constitutional rights. In addition to his domestic political work, George is engaged in efforts to advance democracy and prosperity in Lebanon and lift up the Lebanese people both in the United States and in Lebanon.George graduated from Arizona State University with a Bachelor’s in Political Science. Born in Beirut, Lebanon, George currently lives in Phoenix, AZ.  When he is not tracking local and national political developments and advising clients, George enjoys traveling with his family and spending time with his two boys.

Mike Noble is the Chief of Research & Managing Partner of OH Predictive Insights (OHPI), a sister company of Arizona’s largest advertising agency, OH Partners. Noble is a thought leader on public opinion tracking and analysis and is known for being a trailblazer in the rapidly changing fields of predictive insights and market research.Mike found a passion for politics while working for an Arizona Congressman before starting OHPI, the premier non-partisan Arizona polling and consulting firm. Since then, Mike has become one of the top pollsters in the West, working with clients throughout Arizona, Nevada, and Utah.Mike’s approach involves getting in the trenches with his clients, striving to fully understand their businesses and goals with the result of providing accurate, unbiased, and actionable information. He is known for his presentations, public and private speaking engagements, and interviews where he interprets the meaning of the data. Providing this insight has led to interviews with The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Politico, The Hill, The Guardian, TIME magazine, Huffington Post, LA Times, BBC World News, and other respected television and radio outlets.Mike graduated from Arizona State University and is married to Rebecca Noble with whom he has one-year-old twin boys, Tommy and Teddy.

Mark Finchem is a candidate for Arizona Secretary of State. Living outside of Kalamazoo, Mark worked as a farmer and rancher in a small rural community. When he retired, Mark moved to Tucson, Arizona, where he worked in leadership roles in both small business and a multi-million dollar software company. In the private sector he earned a Six Sigma Certification in process excellence. Integrity we can trust. Hon. Finchem was originally elected to serve in the 2015 Legislature, Mark is now in his 4th and final term. Arizona has term limits, and Representatives are allowed 4 consecutive terms.-

Connect with us:

www.breakingbattlegrounds.vote

Twitter: www.twitter.com/Breaking_Battle

Facebook: www.facebook.com/breakingbattlegrounds

Instagram: www.instagram.com/breakingbattlegrounds

LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/breakingbattlegrounds Get full access to Breaking Battlegrounds at breakingbattlegrounds.substack.com/subscribe)