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cover of episode When the Autopilot Switched Off

When the Autopilot Switched Off

2022/5/6
logo of podcast Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford

Cautionary Tales with Tim Harford
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本集讲述了1994年俄罗斯航空593航班坠毁事故，该事故中，机长允许其子女在驾驶舱内操作控制杆，虽然飞机当时处于自动驾驶状态，但由于孩子无意中操作失误，导致自动驾驶仪部分失灵，最终导致飞机坠毁，机上75人全部遇难。该事故凸显了即使在有安全装置（如自动驾驶仪）的情况下，也可能因为人为因素而导致严重后果。同时，本集还探讨了风险补偿理论（Peltzman效应），即人们在感觉更安全时可能会承担更多风险。通过对戴通纳500大赛中安全装置使用情况的分析，以及对汽车安全带使用情况的回顾，本集论证了风险补偿理论的存在，并指出安全装置虽然能够降低事故风险，但也可能导致人们行为更加冒险，从而部分抵消安全装置带来的益处。但总的来说，安全装置仍然是必要的，关键在于理解其局限性，并做出明智的决策。

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The episode begins with the story of Aeroflot Flight 593, where the autopilot was inadvertently switched off by a teenager, leading to a tragic crash. This sets the stage for a discussion on the dangers of overreliance on safety features.

Shownotes Transcript

An airline captain thought he was giving his children a harmless thrill by letting them "fly" his packed airplane - the young cockpit visitors weren't really in control... the autopilot was doing the real flying. Until it wasn't. 

Do safety features actually lull us into a false sense of security - tempting us to take greater risks than we otherwise would?

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