LLMs are getting much more capable, and progress is rapid. I
use them in my daily work,
and there are many tasks where they're usefully some combination of
faster and more capable than I am. I don't see signs of these
capability increases stopping or slowing down, and if they do continue
I expect the impact on society to start accelerating as they exceed
what an increasing fraction of humans can do. I think we could see
serious changes in the next
2-5
years.
In my professional life, working on pathogen detection I take this
pretty seriously. Advances in AI make it easier for adversaries to
design and create pathogens, and so it's important to get a
comprehensive detection system in place quickly. Similarly, more
powerful AIs are likely to speed up our work in some areas
(computational detection) more than others (partnerships) and increase
the [...]
First published:
November 10th, 2024
Source:
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/CNA8ksMwcuXHPjXRt/personal-ai-planning)
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