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cover of episode How Retail Traders Lose Big While Enriching Wall Street

How Retail Traders Lose Big While Enriching Wall Street

2024/7/17
logo of podcast Money For the Rest of Us

Money For the Rest of Us

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David Stein
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我观察到,越来越多的美国人参与股票市场投资,这其中也包含了相当一部分的赌博心态。许多人,特别是散户交易者,他们往往基于直觉而非理性分析进行交易,追求短期高回报,却忽略了高风险和高交易成本。他们频繁交易,特别是那些短期期权,导致大量的亏损,而这些亏损最终流向了券商和做市商,使得华尔街获利。虽然散户交易者的交易活动增加了市场流动性,这在一定程度上促进了知情交易者的获利,但这并不能弥补散户交易者整体上的亏损。长远来看,这种赌博式的投资行为并不可取,投资者应该关注长期投资,并采用合理的风险管理策略,才能获得稳定的收益。

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Chapters
The rise of stock market gambling among retail investors has become a significant trend. A study by University of Miami professor Alok Kumar estimates that stock market gambling is about three times larger than traditional forms of gambling, making up 14% of stock market volume in developed countries and a third in emerging markets. This gambling is driven by factors such as higher income, greater GDP per capita, and income inequality.
  • Stock market gambling is estimated to be three times larger than traditional gambling.
  • It makes up 14% of stock market volume in developed countries and a third in emerging markets.
  • Higher income, GDP per capita, and income inequality correlate with increased stock market gambling.

Shownotes Transcript

Gambling in the stock market is increasing, with most traders losing money while generating billions of dollars per year for brokerages and wholesalers. Will all this trading lead to big market swoons?

Topics covered include:

  • Why sports gambling has grown so much
  • How gambling in the stock market is measured, and how prevalent is it
  • Why most traders lose money but continue to trade anyway
  • How uninformed traders improve market liquidity and encourage trading by informed trading
  • Why being an asset allocator is more rewarding and as intellectually stimulating as trading

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Show Notes

How Stocks Became the Game That Record Numbers of Americans Are Playing by Claire Ballentine—Bloomberg)

MURPHY, GOVERNOR OF NEW JERSEY, ET AL. v. NATIONAL COLLEGIATE ATHLETIC ASSN. ET AL. SYLLABUS—The Supreme Court of The United States)

America's Sports Betting Boom by Felix Richter—Statista)

Searching for Gambles: Gambling Sentiment and Stock Market Outcomes by Yao Chen, Alok Kumar, Chendi Zhang—SSRN)

Stocks as Lotteries: the Implications of Probability Weighting for Security Prices by Nicholas Barberis and Ming Huang—SSRN)

Day Trading for a Living? by Fernando Chague, Rodrigo De-Losso, Bruno Giovannetti—SSRN)

Computer based trading system and methodology utilizing supply and demand analysis—Google Patents)

Retail Trading in Options and the Rise of the Big Three Wholesalers—Svetlana Bryzgalova, Anna Pavlova, Taisiya Sikorskaya—SSRN)

Amateurs Pile Into 24-Hour Options: ‘It’s Just Gambling’ by Gunjan Banerji—The Wall Street Journal)

Retail Traders Love 0DTE Options... But Should They? by Heiner Beckmeyer, Nicole Branger, Leander Gayda—SSRN)

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