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cover of episode Are black babies in the US really more likely to die under the care of white doctors?

Are black babies in the US really more likely to die under the care of white doctors?

2025/2/8
logo of podcast More or Less: Behind the Stats

More or Less: Behind the Stats

AI Deep Dive Transcript
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George Borjas
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Lizzie McNeill
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Lizzie McNeill: 最初的研究声称黑人婴儿在白人医生照料下死亡率更高,这一说法引起了广泛关注,但可能存在误导。数据分析中,相关性不等于因果关系,我们需要更深入地挖掘数据背后的真相。这项研究在Black Lives Matter运动期间被广泛引用,甚至在最高法院被错误引用,但其真实性值得怀疑。我认为我们应该关注非西班牙裔黑人和非洲裔美国婴儿低出生体重风险较高的原因,这可能与孕产妇保健有关,而原始论文并没有解决工作场所中不平等机会的问题,因此我们一直在寻找错误的问题。 George Borjas: 我对最初的研究结果持怀疑态度,并开始重新分析数据。我发现,原始研究忽略了一个关键因素:婴儿的出生体重。在新生儿死亡率研究中,婴儿的出生体重是一个非常重要的因素,特别是低出生体重(低于1500克)的婴儿。当我控制了低出生体重这一因素后,最初的发现——黑人婴儿在白人医生照料下死亡率更高——就不成立了。我认为,更有经验的医生(通常是白人)照顾最脆弱的婴儿,这解释了种族与婴儿存活率之间的联系。我最初也尝试复制原始论文的结果,当我控制了原始论文中列出的相同因素后, 我得到了相同的结果。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Babies born in the US to Black Hispanic or African American mothers are more likely to die than any other ethnic group in America.

That is a fact.

But the reason why this happens is unclear. In 2020 a study came out that claimed that black babies attended by white doctors after birth were twice as likely to die than white babies attended by white doctors.

People jumped to the conclusion that the race of the doctor was leading to the different outcomes. But when you delve into the numbers, a very different picture starts to emerge.

Presenter: Lizzy McNeill Series producer: Tom Colls Production coordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Steve Greenwood Editor: Richard Vadon