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'No good options' for the military if Trump refuses to concede

2020/10/31

The Run Up

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Danny Sjursen

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Danny Sjursen: 美国军队并非铁板一块，内部存在多种观点和派系。全志愿兵役制导致军队人员构成存在地域和人口统计学上的偏差，作战部队中白人男性比例更高。军官和士兵之间也存在分歧，许多士兵对战争持负面态度，但同时也是特朗普的支持者。如果特朗普拒不交权，军队将面临艰难抉择，任何选择都将付出代价，军队甚至可能因此不复存在。美国社会也存在多种因素导致其面临分裂的风险，例如新冠疫情、经济不安全感、种族问题、宗教信仰等。执法部门已经被特朗普军事化、政治化和武器化，这比军队更令人担忧。许多准军事组织成员来自军队或执法部门，而黑人社区也开始组建民兵组织。虽然发生大规模暴力冲突的可能性较低，但其风险极高，不容忽视。全志愿兵役制导致军队与社会脱节，需要重新思考军队与公民的关系。 Mark Steiner: 对美国大选结果以及特朗普可能拒不交权的担忧，引发了关于军队是否应该介入的讨论。一些退役军官认为军队应该介入，另一些人则认为这将是灾难性的。军队内部也存在对特朗普的不同看法，这反映了美国社会日益加剧的政治分歧。

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The divisions between leadership, rank and file, and politicized law enforcement would be exposed by a contested election, says veteran Danny Sjursen, and the military institution may not survive in the form it has today.

'No good options' for the military if Trump refuses to concede

The Run Up

Deep Dive

What are the potential scenarios if Trump refuses to concede the election?

How diverse and divided is the U.S. military in terms of political views?

What are the implications for the military if it has to intervene in a contested election?

How might the military and other law enforcement agencies respond to a highly polarized post-election scenario?

What are the historical and cultural factors that could influence the military's role in a post-election crisis?

How do internal divisions within the military and law enforcement affect their potential responses to a crisis?

What are the long-term implications of the current military structure for the health of the republic?

How might historical parallels and current tensions shape the military's role in the upcoming election?

What are the potential risks and outcomes of a highly contested post-election period?

Shownotes Transcript

'No good options' for the military if Trump refuses to concede 23:56 Share

The Run Up

Deep Dive

What are the potential scenarios if Trump refuses to concede the election?

How diverse and divided is the U.S. military in terms of political views?

What are the implications for the military if it has to intervene in a contested election?

How might the military and other law enforcement agencies respond to a highly polarized post-election scenario?

What are the historical and cultural factors that could influence the military's role in a post-election crisis?

How do internal divisions within the military and law enforcement affect their potential responses to a crisis?

What are the long-term implications of the current military structure for the health of the republic?

How might historical parallels and current tensions shape the military's role in the upcoming election?

What are the potential risks and outcomes of a highly contested post-election period?

Shownotes Transcript

'No good options' for the military if Trump refuses to concede