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Welcome, everybody. Thursday edition of the Clay Travis and Buck Sexton show kicks off now. And we've got a lot to break down with all of you. Our friends, plural there. I had to make sure I threw in the plural. Our friends, Julie Kelly and Ryan Groduski will be joining Julie in the second hour on the judicial coup that is still very much underway and a major challenge for the Trump agenda. But one, I think they are up to the task of
And then Ryan Groduski on some of the numbers, including Clay. That discussion yesterday that we had, I had a lot of people reaching out to me off air, either about hearing us on the show, talking about that, or even just in my life who had seen those numbers. And we've got to put some of these questions out there again, like,
College-educated white women. Zelensky is the thing that they are the biggest outliers on how much they love Volodymyr Zelensky. There's some crazy... And DEI. Those two things go together. I think also I saw today, and it ties in with what we were talking about yesterday, I think, because I said if we overlaid
The different groups, I think what you would find is that white college-educated women are the least happy of all of those groups, whether it's non-college-educated white men and women or men who went to college. Did you see this today, Buck? It's actually really kind of sad. The United States Overall Happiness Index, to the extent that they track this,
hit an all-time low, and it's being driven by people under the age of 30, and I would bet that it's women under the age of 30, overwhelmingly, who are unhappy. And I think it's hard not to believe at this point that all of this isn't directly connected to social media.
I mean, if you go look at the charts, overall mental health rates, now certainly COVID didn't help, but overall mental health rates just collapsed about 2014 when social media became prevalent in everybody's lives. And I think we're going to find out that this is like the nicotine or cigarettes of...
of our generation where we allowed these phones and these social media apps, particularly for young people, to really kind of lead us astray in terms of our life's pursuits. So there's an early big picture idea that I think ties in with yesterday. So we've also got some updates on the border. Tom Holman pointing out that they are...
rocking on all cylinders here to enforce the law, comparing it to Biden. We'll give you those updates. Trump on the recession that people are predicting. This is not a recession. He is not worried at all, which is, I'm sure, not a surprise to any of you. The war against Tesla, which we discussed a bit yesterday. There's more on that. It is shocking.
Just insane and destructive and wrong on every level. And I know yesterday I shared that I'm thinking about getting a Tesla. I'm trying to convince Carrie. The problem is we don't really use the car that we have that much. We still have a lease on it. Do you have two parking spots or one? Two parking spots, one car. But we have a lot of guests who come over here. So we have friends that come visit. So it's nice to have a little guest spot. Anyway, thinking about getting a Tesla and people say, oh, Tesla's for rich people.
You can get a Tesla right now. I know I sound like a Tesla salesman for about what you can get a like reasonably equipped, you know, Toyota Corolla for a new Toyota Corolla. I mean, you can get a Tesla for like three something a month.
which is really low compared to what you can see across the car marketplace. Cars have been very expensive recently. Anyway, we have that. And used cars prices have been, it's not cheap to buy a car anywhere, to be frank.
So I know people have their problems with the EVs and everything else. Okay, I get it. But the point is they're going after Elon and they're trying to hurt his company and they're celebrating in its madness. But let's talk about something else for a second here or something that has gotten both of our attention on this week. And that is the Chuck Schumer. Chuck Schumer as a leader, I guess, of the Democrat Party still. You know, he's one of the gray hairs. He's been around for a long time, been in the game a long time.
And you're starting to hear a little bit of the resentful. It reminds me of the Obama era. You didn't build that because Trump has completely cornered the narrative on robust capitalism, winners, building, creating.
wealth for the country and you know individual prosperity and all that stuff democrats are the party i don't know and here's chuck schumer on the view complaining about americans who want to keep more this is 14 keep more of their money
You know what their attitude is? I made my money all by myself. How dare your government take my money from me? I don't want to pay taxes. Or I built my company with my bare hands. How dare your government tell me how I should treat my customers, the land and water that I own, or my employees? They hate government. Government's a barrier to people, a barrier to stop them from doing things. They want to destroy it. We are not letting them do it, and we're united.
They're just a left-wing authoritarian party, Clay. That's really what the Democrats have become. They want to tell you what to do with everything, and they control everything, even though they're imbeciles. I want Democrats to have to answer the question. And I know we're not very far away from April 15th, which is not a very happy day for a lot of our listeners out there. But what is a fair share? I pay 40% of my income to the federal government most years now.
40%, boom, I work until May, and so I'm still working basically for the federal government. What would be a fair share? We have an insanely, an insanely aggressive tax policy for people who actually pay taxes. First of all, and very few people talk about this, income taxes are only paid by about 50% of the United States population.
So, first of all, right off the top, over, I think it's 51% of people don't pay a single dollar in federal income tax. Now, payroll taxes is different, right? I'm talking about federal income taxes. And then a lot of you...
You live in New York, you're listening to us right now. You live in California. You live in Illinois. Then you have to pay another 12% or 13% state income tax, and then that doesn't even get into what your property taxes are going to be or what your sales taxes are going to be. I mean, the government is taxing us like crazy. I haven't lived in New York in years.
I haven't lived in New York in, what, going on three years now, two and a half years? And they still want me paying taxes there somehow. It's crazy, okay? The system we have is absolutely nuts. I got taxed because Fox Sports is based in L.A., and I would travel a lot.
to L.A. to do television shows. And, Buck, I remember when they would take that money out of my paycheck. It's by the day. It's by the work day. Same thing in New York City. Same thing, I think, in Utah, if I remember correctly. When I've been to Salt Lake City in the past, I've had to pay, like,
hundreds of dollars in income tax for the privilege of being in salt lake it's a beautiful place uh it is lovely but i just i was surprised that utah was uh was grabbing uh grabbing into my pocket there point we appreciate everybody who listens in salt lake city where i believe we're number one and we are yeah you're number one consistently for three uh three plus years now thank you salt lake great station
I will say, when you look at these arguments, isn't it interesting they never get pushed back? They say, you should pay your fair share. That's their line. What is the fair share? And I think a lot more people are looking around in the Doge era when we're recognizing how much money is wasted, and this conversation becomes even more paramount than it should be, which is it's important all year round and all the time, but I think Elon has elevated it.
There's also some big philosophical distinctions here that I think should be made. Clay, for example, as we have seen from the efforts of Elon and Doge, thank you, Trump, for putting them in the game to do this. Every dollar of government spending is somehow sacred to Democrats. This is what we've seen. Have they actually said...
On anything that Doge has done, look at what Doge has been finding. Look at some of the ways that your money, you know, we talked about the transgender Muppet shows in Mongolia and all this stuff that's going on. Every dollar the government spends is both sacred and it's not enough.
There always should be. You can never cut and there always should be more. Meanwhile, the American people whose hours, labor, creativity, and effort are what is actually the economy. This is the thing that Democrats in the government don't really understand. It's not that
the government creates the economy, the government, if it's operating well, should create some of the guidelines, the rules of the road, and enforcement mechanisms for contracts within the economy. But it is all of you listening who show up somewhere and build a good, provide a service, do something that is worthwhile to society, and you get money for that. That is the actual economy, the productive economy.
And anybody within that who feels like the government, that every dollar is sacred and never is it enough spending, if we say that something needs to change, that's terrible. Yes. This whole thinking needs to be flipped on its head because...
What are you really getting for your money with so many of these things? What is really worthwhile? Remember, we have a state government, too. The fact that Trump's about to shut the Department of Education, right? That executive order is going to come down and people go, oh, no, education. The Department of Education has nothing to do with educating your children. All it does is make it worse and create a holding pen for boring bureaucrats that get paid to do nothing.
And we're wrong about everything COVID. I was reading Buck yesterday to credit of the New York Times, which has suddenly realized, hey, we screwed up everything with COVID. They had a story about Oakland area kids, Buck. And I've met a bunch of these kids as I've been traveling around and started to speak on some college campuses.
These kids in many parts of New York State and California and Illinois, but this particular kid's in Oakland, Buck. They shut down their schools on March 15th of 2020. They never came back to school if you were a junior.
I don't know that we talk enough about how many kids out there, and I know some of you are listening to us right now. I remember we had a caller from Utah, a young woman who was voting for the first time, 18-year-old, talking about how angry she and some of her classmates were. It was a great call. Good memory.
But I mean, it hit me because can you imagine if you're out there listening to us right now, think about all the things that happen to you when you're 16, 17 and 18 years old and how embedded in an integral fashion so much of your life experience happens now.
16, 17, 18. You remember, everybody out there, you'll remember things when you're 16 better than something that happened when you're 36, 46, or 56 because all the years start to run together. It imprints on you in an interesting way. Those kids went home
In many parts of our country, in March of 2020, and they never came back. You miss your junior year prom. You miss your junior year spring sports season. You never return. Buck, the article in the New York Times talking about these kids came back
at the end of May for graduation, and they had to be six foot distant, and they didn't even recognize each other, because also think about how much you change in that year and a half. They just all went home, and they never were in physical location together again. I get angrier the more I think about it, even though it's been five years, and so I think
You tell me that I have to cut checks. It's one thing if I think the government's doing a great job. It's another thing if I'm still furious about what they did, in particular the Department of Education, to keep our kids from being able to be in school.
And they now are at the point where I think they're on the edge of seeing the Department of Education get officially shut down. There have already been cuts made. I know a judge is going to reverse it if he hasn't or she hasn't already, and they'll also reverse the shutdown. And the whole plan here is essentially to have the judicial coup in effect for really Trump's whole term, if they can get away with it, to stop him from doing what he should be able to do.
But yeah, the Department of Education, it employs around 4,200 people until the most recent round of cuts. When you look at what does it do, what does the Department of Education actually do? Everything that it does is either superfluous or
Political or could be done by the states much more effectively and much more within the federalist system that we have. Right. Why should if you if you live in if you live in Texas, why should some bureaucrats in D.C. be influencing the curriculum of your school in Texas? Amen. Oh, because they have to make sure what they have to make sure the test scores don't actually budge. And if anything get worse over the last 40 years, because that's what's happened.
It failure within government needs to be treated like much more like failure within the private sector where you and I've been at places, Clay, where it's a fire sale and everyone's getting fired and it stinks. And like, you know, but that is what happens. And this notion that the government is and always will be not just existing as it is, but growing and getting more money. That is a change in the way that we are governed. That absolutely needs to happen. And look, we were just talking about the the tax situation here.
IRS is a pain, all right? I mean, I'm hoping that the IRS gets a nice doge audit of itself going here. But the IRS is a rough agency to have to deal with. And you don't need me to remind you the IRS is the world's most powerful collection agency. You already know that.
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We have our friend Ryan Groduski joining us at the bottom to talk about some data and particularly diving into what we learned about college educated, white college educated women yesterday. They idolize Vladimir Zelensky.
which is very strange for a lot of women who I think have probably very likely very few of them ever seen combat, know anything about war or the military, but they're all about Zelensky. So the propaganda there has clearly, clearly been effective. We'll talk to Ryan about that. Democrats are turning on Schumer.
which is not a surprise because they're in the panic phase of things. This is where in Lord of the Flies, they all start sharpening sticks and just poking each other with them because they don't know what else to do, and there's no real leadership. It's a great book. You remember reading Lord of the Flies in school back in the day? Lord of the Flies, Buck, is my argument.
Yeah, everybody has one friend who reads like one book and tries to analogize everything that ever happened. You know, like not somebody who reads a lot of books. I had a buddy who read like one book in his whole life and it was Lord of the Flies and he would try to analogize.
anything that happened to the one book that he had ever read, which was Lord of the Flies. Well, that's like a lot of people now with Harry Potter. No offense, because I know you read a lot of other things, too, and you're a Harry Potter guy, but everything is Voldemort. Everything is the Quidditch. You know, Harry Potter became so dominant. At least there are seven Harry Potters, although a lot of people didn't even read them. They just watched the movies.
I did neither, so there we go. I probably should get on that. Now, we have the Democrats turning at each other, turning on Schumer, and we've got all that happening. But I wanted to spend some time here on the war on Tesla and how it factors into, as well, the Democrat approach to the economy. So let's just look at what's going on here right now. The fact that you have these Democrats openly rooting against Trump
An all-American car company, one that the cars are manufactured here. They've got the huge facility in Texas. I think 80,000 people work for Tesla, Clay, 80,000 jobs.
If you believe that climate change is any kind of threat, never mind existential, you should think that what Tesla's doing, because remember, it's not just the cars. It's the technology. It's autonomous driving. It's the interface. It's the battery technology. It's...
How far are we from Starlink being able to control all the cars and maybe we get VTOL, so vertical takeoff and landing, meaning basically flying cars. Things are going to get really interesting in our lifetime, folks. So that's pretty cool, right? Well, not if you're Tim Walz, who thinks he can beat you up, I might add. And I mean you, not Clay. Tim Walz thinks he can take you in a fight.
I think we have legions of guys over 75 that would smoke Tim Walls. Did you see our 86-year-old listener who emailed me? I need to read that email at some point because that was a great email. I know the conservative talk radio audience, and there are guys over 75 that would whoop my ass. So I definitely know they would take Tim Walls in a fight. But...
Caroline Leavitt at the White House speaking as the press secretary just goes after this. I mean, it's astonishing. It's outrageous.
that he is rooting for the failure of a company again because elon wants to cut government waste play eight governor waltz saying last night he frequently checks tesla stock in doing so to quote give me a little boost during the day how should americans view politicians who take pride in the downfall of an american car company i think that's quite sad but i think uh governor waltz unfortunately is living a sad existence after his devastating defeat on november 5th
It is sad, and his defeat was devastating. It's sad, though, that somebody would be rooting for America. Think about what that means. It's not just Tesla. It is a... I mean, you and I have never sat here and been like, you know what I want? I want Amazon to go bankrupt because it employs huge numbers of people. It's an enormously valuable company, and it has been incredibly effective. I mean, it has saved...
millions, maybe billions of man hours for people. And look, I know Jeff Bezos is more on our team now than he used to be, but he's still not really on our team. We're all very aware of this.
But to root for a huge American company, it'd be like sitting here, Clay, and just saying, you know, I want Ford and General Motors to just cease to exist and all their people to get fired because I don't like what this, I don't like who the CEO voted for. There's something deranged about this. I think two things that are important here. One, if you truly cared about climate change,
then the idea that you would want Tesla to fail is the most heretical thing that you could possibly say because I'm not sure there's any company in America that has done more to fight climate change. And this is supposed to be, as we talked about yesterday, an existential threat
To the entire world. And to our nation. And yet you have Tim Walz out there. Saying that he's checking to see what the stock price is. Because he's rooting for Tesla to fail. That doesn't add up. If you actually believe that climate change. Is the existential threat. And I think what it forces Democrats to do. Is decide what do we hate more. Climate change. Or Trump. And the reality is they hate Trump more than anything. And so the Elon connection to Trump. Means they root against it. Second.
choosing whether or not to spend your money on products based on whether they share your values or not is, I think, a very rational choice to make. I would argue that Tesla actually shares the values of Democrats, but leaving that aside...
What is not is when, for instance, we said, hey, Bud Light's got a trans spokesperson, maybe drink another beer. We didn't say and throw Molotov cocktails at people driving around in Budweiser trucks. What the left has done with Elon is not only reject their own principles upon which they stand, but actually take it to the next step. They're lighting Tesla's on fire everywhere.
People are getting busted on the Tesla cameras, keying Tesla vehicles all over the place, behaving in a fundamentally ridiculous and, frankly, violent manner over this. And to me, it just kind of ties in with it's one thing to make a decision about a product that you like or don't like. We said, hey, you make a great product. The benefit typically is even if you disagree with the product,
you'll probably still consume it. What do we say? Chick-fil-A. There's nobody who, I'm sorry, there's nobody who makes a better chicken sandwich than Chick-fil-A. And one of the great things about the Chick-fil-A sandwich, by the way, Buck, is the pickle. Lots of gay people, lots of gay people out there rolled into Chick-fil-A like crazy. They're like, ah, you know, I wish they supported gay marriage. But man, their chicken nuggets are just so good, I'm going to go in and get them anyway, right?
Second, we talked about this yesterday before you had it stricken from the record. Yes. When you talked about how much your wife, Carrie, loves Costco. I also love Costco. Costco has stayed committed to DEI. I think they're wrong there. They're still the best warehouse shopping center option out there.
And I still really like their samples. And I'm still going to spend money at Costco. Their brand is so good, much like Chick-fil-A, that even if they have politics that are somewhat different than me, that I'm not going to shop. I'm going to continue to shop there. Tesla makes the best electric vehicle in the world, is my understanding. I'm not an expert on this, but the people who have Teslas...
Rave about them, Buck. And this is one reason I'm looking at potentially buying one. You're looking at potentially buying one. I want to stand up and say, hey, I believe in American exceptionalism. I think Elon Musk is an exceptional American capitalist in all facets. And I would like to believe that it is rational Americans out there who aren't going to punish him because he's trying to make the government more efficient, Buck.
in his free time. Like, he didn't have to do this at all. He's just giving back to the country to try to make sure that our deficit doesn't drown all of us in red ink. And you've got a couple of voices weighing in on this, defending the... Remember, it's not really about defending Elon personally. This is about the company. This is about Tesla, which is doing great things. It's innovating. It's employing people. It's making incredible products.
There's so much about it. It's pure in America. The cars are made here in America. We're not having some sweatshop somewhere putting together iPhones. Just saying. Again, I wish I could tell you I don't have an iPhone. I do, but it's because I don't like the other options. But I'm aware of what goes on here. It's not always perfect to make these choices.
make these kinds of choices. Kevin O'Leary, though, points out that Tim Walz is a bozo. This is Mr. Wonderful, cut nine. I'm talking about Tim Walz and his comments about the Tesla stock. He says it gives him a boost to see that stock going down. That poor guy didn't check his portfolio in his own pension plan for states.
It's beyond stupid what he did. He's talking down a 3.5% weighting in his own pension plan. I mean, what's the matter with that guy? He doesn't check the well-being of his own constituents in the state. That's their investment fund. What a bozo.
He's pointing out the economic illiteracy of somebody like it's in walls. Companies like Tesla are what have been moving the market in recent years, which means 401ks, which means pension plans. The, you know, the growth of the major American corporations is lifting up the overall market. And even if you think, oh, I'm not in the market. Oh, no, you're in the market.
because it affects the cost of borrowing, it affects the cost of your rent or your mortgage or the payments on your car or the credit card interest rates that you have. There is no escaping the market if you're operating in America today and to want companies, whether it's Tesla or Nvidia or the magnificent seven stocks I'll talk about, when you root for those to fail, you're rooting actually for the American economy to feel pain and there to be less wealth in this country.
And that's what they're doing because they don't like Elon because he's too nice to Trump. And again, they're also rooting for climate change, which is like at its most basic level. Did you see this idiot astronaut Mark Kelly, Senator from Arizona, went and traded in his Tesla and went and got a gas guzzling SUV to replace it? So what is the story that you support, right? I mean, again,
I think part of being adulthood, you mentioned the iPhone. Part of being an adult is recognizing that everybody's not going to agree with you on every single thing and still making decisions that are somewhat rational when it comes to products. I don't want my toilet paper to have a strong position on any political issue. I just want them to make toilet paper that doesn't fail, that actually works.
And I think most Americans, I don't want my cat litter brand to send me an email about what they think about BLM. I think most Americans just want the product itself to not take a particular stand. Elon has not said that
that Tesla has a particular stand, right? This is Elon Musk individual donating his time to try to make the government more efficient. It isn't actually directly connected to Tesla at all. It would be different if he had said, hey, I don't want any Democrat to drive my car. I would think that's a really bad move. I'm old school, Buck. I'm like Michael Jordan, Republicans buy sneakers too, right? Like you should try to appeal to everyone.
The Commerce Secretary, Howard Lutnick, who has been very outspoken about a lot of things in the economy, he spoke, he straight up said, now he's a senior government official cabinet member,
Well, I'll let you listen to what he said about Tesla. Play 10. He's the guy who's going to build the next generation technology. I think if you want to learn something on this show tonight, buy Tesla. It's unbelievable that this guy's stock is this cheap. It'll never be this cheap again. When people understand the things he's building, the robots he's building, the technology he's building, people are going to be dreaming of today and Jesse Waters and thinking, gosh, I should have bought Tesla.
Elon Musk's stock. I mean, who wouldn't invest in Elon Musk? You got to be kidding. All right. So you're calling the bottom. This is it. Whether today's the bottom or not, I tell you what, Elon Musk is probably the best person to bet on I've ever met. There you go. Pretty strong endorsement, Buck. Yeah. Commerce Secretary effectively saying this is the most impressive CEO living today in the world.
It's a big deal, I thought. And he's trying to help the government instead of just running his incredible companies. So it says something. And again, I just, Tesla's not doing anything. Bud Light did something, right? We didn't say, oh, the Bud Light CEO did something, and therefore you can't drink Bud Light anymore.
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News and politics, but also a little comic relief. Clay Travis and Buck Sexton. Find them on the free iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts. All right, welcome back into Clay and Buck. Our friend Ryan Groduski joins us now. It's a numbers game is his podcast. It's also true about life, but it's his podcast on the Clay and Buck Network. Go subscribe. Also, National Populist Newsletter is his sub stack.
Make sure you subscribe to the podcast first, though. Mr. Grodowski. Yeah. Great to have you with us. How are you? Yeah, we're good, man. So so we have a lot of things to run by you. But first off, what was your biggest takeaway when you looked at those numbers that were released yesterday? Were the outlier extraordinaire was white college educated women who are apparently obsessed with Zelensky and D.E.I.?
Yeah, I don't think that shocked anybody. That's what the NBC polls that they held from Sunday. They just live white men without a college degree and white women with a college degree don't live in the same country. I mean, they just fundamentally don't men without a white man without a college degree live in Texas and white women without a cop with a college degree live in like Sweden.
So it's just, it's not, they don't, they don't have the same concerns. They don't have the same issues. It's, it's bizarre. And when I can kind of, I can kind of like sit there and really break it down to an ideology is that one has a very comfortable level of living and one does not. If your biggest issue is Zelensky, you're probably not ready.
worry that much about your monthly bills or an illegal alien, you know, attacking you or breaking into your ranch. If you live on the border, this is just a completely different life that they live. And yeah, I mean, it's, it's a totally different world and it makes for bad politics because white women with a college degree who are on the left are getting more radicalized. They're getting further to the left and that's a problem.
So does the problem get resolved in any way if abortion becomes less of a national political issue and more of an individual state issue? Because it seems like to me, and I'm curious if you buy this thesis, Ryan, that Democrats have uniquely exploited the fears of educated white women in
when it comes to reproductive rights and that that is the motivating factor for many of them, particularly if you're in your 20s or 30s. Given the fact that abortion, whatever you think about it, the numbers haven't really changed that much since Roe v. Wade was overturned. Is the impact of abortion as a national political issue maybe something that could bring these women back to some measure of political sanity or not?
No, I don't think that it's abortion. I mean, I think abortion is part of the question, but part of it is certainly a large part. But the second, the biggest group of white women to vote for Democrats were white women in their late 20s, early 30s. That would be the abortion group. The second largest were white women over the age of 70, but under the age of 80.
So if it was just an abortion thing. So sorry to cut you off, but that's fascinating. What do you think is motivating those white women college educated 70 to 80? Because, again, abortion to your point, I don't think they're getting abortions.
Yeah, they're watching MSNBC and Rachel Maddow and they are BLM and they are... Listen, the baby boomer generation was the second most progressive generation to millennials. I mean, they are a progressive generation and...
if your entire life is basically politics, which I mean, for a lot of women in their 70s and 80s who either A, don't have husbands because they passed away or they never married or they don't have children or grandchildren because their millennial children never had children, politics becomes a bigger and bigger and bigger issue in your life.
And what we saw in the other thing that came out on Monday, which I wrote about for the National Poppist Newsletter, David Shore's thing, David Shore's big piece on data was that people who paid attention to politics a lot voted very, very heavily to Kamala Harris and people who got their news from mainstream media outlets. If you look at the average CNN or MSNBC viewer, they are over the age of 70.
years old. They are 70 year olds, usually college educated or not college, but mostly college educated white women who obsess about politics. It is their religion. It's their QVC. It's their it's the children that they didn't have or the grandchildren they didn't have. It becomes their whole world. And that's why it's it's it's become so toxic. And they also fall in line on every issue. They're not only for BLM, they have long COVID.
They don't only have long COVID. They need to protect abortion rights. They don't only need to protect abortion rights. They need to protect trans rights in Angola through the USAID. Every single tyranny is on the run every single second of every single day. If you hear them, it's exhausting to live that way. But that's the second biggest group outside of like late 20, early 30s. It's not abortion. It's just straight up ideology. And perhaps because
They live in such comfortable environments, suburbs, wealthy parts of cities. They don't have to worry about crime or the fact that they don't have money coming in the next month. They're probably living pretty comfortably. So, Ryan, I wanted to ask you about this.
slew of people, including Gayle King, Nancy Pelosi, and others who are really giving Schumer some rough stuff. Is this just about the CR that he went along with so that the government didn't shut down? I mean, we could expect that. Or is this going deeper to the power struggle within the Democrat Party right now? And if so, who is angling to take over what feels like a ship that has sprung many leaks over at Democrat land?
Well, I think the fact that not only did he vote for the CR, but he left vulnerable House Democrats. I mean, they all voted against it except for Jared Golden up in Maine second. You have a dozen Democrats who live in Trump districts who just voted to shut down the government.
And they just vote against all the things that that means, all the funding for military and veterans and seniors and everything. And there will be a campaign commercial coming to every one of those districts in the next year, in 13 months or 15 months, saying, you know...
insert Democrat here voted to shut down your government and suspend your, you know, payments to your veterans. That is going to hurt them. And it's going to be so toxic and it makes them look like they can't govern. And, you know, they say they didn't get anything out of it. They got the old Biden budget. I mean, there was like 10 billion in cuts. There was nothing really in cuts substantial, but it makes them look bad. It makes it look like they can't govern. And who replaces Schumer? I don't know who's going to, it used to be with like Dick Durbin. He's 83. He's on his way out. Uh,
It won't be Bernie. I mean, Elizabeth Warren is 76. It has to be somebody who can bring in a lot of money because that's really a big part of the job as being leaders who can raise a lot of money. It's not Kirsten Gillibrand. They have a big, big issue. Who is the best? Who is the best fundraiser, Ryan? Because you'd actually know this. And I'm just curious because you're who's the best Democrat fundraiser now who's under 65?
The best fundraiser on the Republican side is, I think, I'm pretty sure it's Tim Scott, for sure, on the Senate side. Tim Scott's the best fundraiser. On the Democratic side, I believe it's Schumer and his PACs. Schumer and his PACs raise over $100 million a year. But I'm talking about the younger generation. Is there anybody who's already starting to... AOC, for sure. Cori Bush is raising... AOC. Yeah, AOC raises a bucket loads of money. Yeah, and she usually gives it all away.
We're talking to Ryan Gerduski. Ryan, I love the data that you bring to bear. I encourage people to check out your podcast. The data reflects that Trump did not actually do better with white voters, right? The white voters from like 2016 to 2024 have stayed basically similar and that, in fact, moved a little bit Democrat maybe, but that the reason why Trump won in all 50 states, black, Hispanic, Asian support rising.
I'm curious, is that Trump? Yeah. Is that Trump support you think as we look ahead to 26 and 28? How much of that do you think is attributable to Trump himself as opposed to the Republican Party? In other words, does that movement continue if it's J.D. Vance or someone like that? Or is Trump a unique political unicorn in that respect?
So this is the episode for a numbers game podcast that's coming out next Monday. I'm super excited about this data comes from David Shore, who's a Democrat, a data scientist. He's brilliant. Very, very smart. His data. And he did a really deep data, not only like exit polling, but where people were voting and looking at voting files.
What happened was between 2016 and 2020, Trump lost about 1 to 2% of the white vote in between those two elections. He gained all that back in 2024. So there were Trump or Gary Johnson, Biden, Trump voters. There was that swing. Basically, all the people who voted for Gary Johnson instead of Hillary and then voted for Biden came back to Trump.
That was worth 1.5% of his three-point national game. Half came from white people. The other half came from minorities. He didn't gain that much with blacks. It was a small amount. The biggest was black conservatives. He gained about eight points over the course of the last eight years. But among Hispanic moderates, he gained 23 points. In 2016, Hillary won eight.
81% of Hispanic moderates Trump 150 sorry Kamala 158% eight years later so from 81 to 58 the other part was Asian moderates Hillary 178 Kamala 167 a double digit drop among moderates in the Asian community.
Is this a Trump thing? Partially, but it's part of a larger national story. In England, you see the Conservative Party doing better among minorities. In Canada, you see the Conservatives doing better among minorities. It is a thing along the entire West where you've started seeing part of minority as part of minority coalition vote their ideology instead of their race, which they usually vote their race over their ideology. Is it a Trump thing? That's a great question.
Actually, Trump was more of a deterrent than a supplier of this. The people who don't trust the Democratic Party is higher than the people who voted for Trump. Had everybody been voting, have forced to vote, David Shore's estimate is that Trump wouldn't have won by 1.7 percent. He would have won by 5 percent.
Because when you ask on issues like everything from like AI to poverty to not only just the economy and immigration, but student loans, they trust Republicans way more than Democrats. The only issue Democrats have a sizable advantage that people care on an issue that people care about is health care. That is the only issue that they have over Republicans. On everything else, they have a deep, deep distrust of the Democratic Party.
And I'll say one more thing. Voters who got their information from social media were much more inclined to vote for Trump. The biggest demographic to vote for Trump, according to the David Shore data, white men under the age of 20. 75% of white men under 20 voted for Trump.
That is the largest demographic of any group ever, more than seniors, more than any other racial group. Trump won a majority of voters under 20, white women, white men, and non-white men. The only group under 20 that Trump lost to Kamala Harris were non-white women. That's amazing stat. That is amazing. Yeah. Do you think that's COVID? Yeah, it's...
Yes, it's completely COVID. It is the lockdown generation. Lockdowns split Gen Z Zoomers in half. So older Zoomers who had already gone through the high school experience and graduated or even past college, they are much more liberal than those who were locked down and missed graduations, games, football.
They were they were getting all their news on the Internet and they were coming at a time where the BLM riots were happening, that Me Too was happening. And there was a surge of Internet personalities, everyone from Jordan Peterson to Ben Shapiro to, you know, more nefarious characters on the Internet. But nonetheless, still, they were being inundated with information from social media free of the gates that.
that the regular media provides. And so the younger generation right now is the most Republican 18 to 20 year olds in the last election are the most Republican generation, according to the David Shore data, which I do trust the most Republican generation since the greatest generation that fought World War Two. That is how far right wing, especially white men under the age of 20, the most Republican generation we have seen probably in 60 to 70 years.
Go check out more from Ryan Groduski with It's a Numbers Game, his podcast on the Clay and Buck Network. He does the best data analysis of anybody in the game. And subscribe to his national populist newsletter on Substack. Ryan, really interesting as always, man. Thanks for being here. Thank you. Out of North Carolina is the best-kept secret in the firearms industry, Bear Creek Arsenal. You should keep them in mind the next time you're going to go get yourself another rifle, a handgun, or a new upper perhaps.
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Keep up with the biggest political comeback in world history on the Team 47 podcast. Clay and Buck highlight Trump replays from the week. Sundays at noon Eastern. Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
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Welcome back in. Clay Travis, Buck Sexton Show. Appreciate all of you hanging out with us. We are joined now by our good friend, Julie Kelly. We were just talking earlier in the program at the top of this hour about all of the craziness coming from the federal district court judges. And Julie, I'll start off with this.
I said that I am somewhat optimistic that things are going to get better with the judiciary in the years ahead because Trump won. And I think one reason Democrats lost was because they went so political. You have been covering, and they try to put him in prison, and they try to bankrupt him and all those things. You've been covering these cases like crazy.
We've never seen anything like the resistance that Trump is getting from the federal district courts right now. Are you optimistic in the future, or do you think our judicial system is just a huge pile of steaming poo?
Well, I hate to disagree with you, but I'm going to go with the latter because, of course, I have covered, especially in Washington, D.C., and I've talked about with you guys what's happened with the J6 proceedings in Washington and the case against the president. These judges feel impervious.
And they have not been held accountable. When Chief Justice John Roberts said that really inappropriate, I think, statement about impeachment, it's not his place, number one. The problem is not that impeachment is thrown around or overused. The problem is that impeachment has not been used.
I think 14 federal judges have been impeached. Only eight have been convicted. Congress has completely advocated its oversight role of the federal judiciary. So this is how you get Jim Bosberg, and this is how you get Tanya Chuckton and Beryl Howell and these other judges, because they know they're not accountable.
So until these judges are held accountable and not by being reversed by the Supreme Court, I saw that in the immunity case. I saw that in the Fisher, the overturning of the 1512 B2 against J6ers. These lower court judges don't care. And if they're Democrats, they don't think that the Supreme Court is legitimate anyway. So this is a serious crisis. This is why the public's trust in the federal judiciary is at an all-time low.
And Republicans who are threatening to file articles of impeachment, I think some have been filed, or to strip jurisdiction from some of the most egregious political actors on the bench, or simply to shut down the D.C. federal court system, which I've advocated for years. Strong measures need to be taken. Otherwise, this is going to actually help.
It really bothers me, Julie, to see how much the D.C. Circuit Court is essentially an extra branch of government. It's like the fail-safe for the deep state, right? They can bring any case they want there, and they know that unless the Supreme Court steps in, they'll get their way. And this is very clear. The fact that they didn't, I always have to remind people of this, that none of the J6-related individuals were able to get a different case
a different venue for the trial. I think even I think Timothy McVeigh was given a different venue for his trial from Oklahoma City, if memory serves. Like this is a standard thing in the justice system for people if there's considered to be a prejudiced jury to be able to get it. No one. Right. No one got it. Got the court or got the jurisdiction. The venue moved from D.C. So that's very troubling. Some of these district judges, other stuff that they've come up with, the ones that to me are
Well, the turning around of the plane with the trend of Aragua guys, that seems to be the most egregious, I think, to most of us. But a couple of other ones, Julie, and you're familiar with these different judges I know, too, so that's a thing. You know who these individuals are from covering them.
The judge who said that you can't ban transgenders from serving in the military. And now there's a judge that I believe has ordered the DOJ to return men to a women's prison who say they're transgender. Like, this is just they're just making up laws now.
They are, and they're completely undermining. And these are all related to presidential executive orders. So what you're talking about is Anna Reyes, who is the first LGBTQ Biden-appointed district court judge in Washington, basically reversing, vacating the president's executive order on transgenders in the military. Royce Lambert, a Reagan appointee.
who I watched just absolutely throw the book at Jay Sixers, throwing grandmothers in prison for 57 months on the obstruction count that was later overturned. And he himself rejecting the president's executive order and ordering the government, us,
to pay for hormone therapy and transitional surgery for these transgenders who are in prison. These are criminals, right? We're not just paying for whoever wants it. They are in federal custody. And then, of course, Jim Bosberg ordering verbally for the Department of Justice and BHS to return flights that were already in the air
out of U.S. airspace, very likely traveling over either Mexico or Central America, ordering the return of those flights carrying known illegal immigrants for suspected Venezuelan terrorists tied to that PDA day. Who do these judges think that they are?
And so now what Bosberg is doing is, I think, setting up a contempt trap because he was saying, well, I made this verbal order. You should have turned the planes around. No plane should have taken off that day at all because I was holding this hearing. And this is a temporary restraining order that he issued, actually two of them, on Saturday that will last 14 days.
And again, preventing the president and his team from executing his proclamation over the weekend of the Alien Enemies Act. So, excuse me, this is very reckless, very destructive and dangerous. No one should be defending what these judges are doing. Now, of course, all of these are going on appeal. There's oral arguments in the Senate's Wayland Terrace case on Monday afternoon. I'll be covering that live tomorrow.
But I'll tell you, as bad as I knew these judges were and how they just repeatedly denied SharePoint due process for J6ers, refusing in every single case to move those trials out of Washington, D.C., to now see them leap to the rescue and allegedly protect the quote-unquote due process rights of illegal and suspected gang members from Venezuela that pose a legitimate threat to this country, not that J6ers did.
it's pretty head spinning hypocrisy. We're talking to Julie Kelly. Julie, you mentioned the Jan Sixers. And when you first started coming on with us four years ago, you were one of the very few people out there actually shining a light on how they were being treated.
Given the Democrat obsession with January 6th and the years that they spent on it, are you somewhat surprised that Trump came in, immediately pardoned every January 6th-er, and the story just vanished?
I mean, isn't that kind of interesting? Because there were all these arguments out there. Oh, if Trump pardons all the Jan Sixers, this will be a constitutional crime. And he did it. And no one even mentions hardly January 6th anymore. Are you surprised at how quickly it's kind of vanished?
Yes, I will say that I am. As you guys know, I talked to the president a few days before Inauguration Day, talked to him at length about what had happened to the G6ers, you know, the various pardon proposals he expressed. He was very committed to blanket pardon with a few exceptions, and that's, of course, exactly what happened.
He did. And there was some noise about it for, what, a week or 10 days? And that has completely disappeared. And the Democrats even want to forget about January 6th. I think it was Jamie Raskin said a few weeks ago, oh, can we stop talking about January 6th already? Right.
It's really funny. Right. Yeah. So, um, but yes, I, I am very surprised. Um, but happily so. And, uh, you know, it's great to see these people starting to pick up the pieces of their lives, but, you know, I was reading one of the filings today in the Venezuelan terrorism case and these illegals have stables of lawyers defending them. And,
and fighting the government on behalf of the alleged rights that these illegals have. And it's really disturbing that we saw none of that for American citizens wrongly prosecuted for participating in the events of January 6th. I mean, this whole legal judicial system is so upside down. Can I just jump in really quick, Julie, to say that from my understanding from friends in the legal world, if you defend, like if you would defend Osama bin Laden,
You obviously that won't happen, but if someone could do that, that would be considered a feather in their legal cap going forward. They could say it's like John Adams defending the Redcoats like everyone deserves. But no one felt that way in a lot of the big law firms and in sort of the big law world about J6 Americans. Yeah. Yeah.
Absolutely not. Most of them relied on public defenders. Some of those public defenders were very good. Others were terrible. And I saw both sides to that. But going back to Jeb Bosberg, I was in his courtroom in December, the week before Christmas. He put a woman who went inside the Capitol for nine minutes, committed no violence charge with four misdemeanors. He put her on trial the week before Christmas. Okay.
Before a D.C. jury, jurors from a city that had just voted 92% for Kamala Harris, he completely ignored her pleas to postpone the trial until after the president was inaugurated, knowing that she would be getting a pardon because, of course, she only had misdemeanors. And he denied postponing that trial, put her on trial. For three days, she was immediately convicted by this D.C. jury.
So that's the mindset of these judges. No due process, no protection of constitutional rights for American citizens because they're Trump supporters. But he swooped in Saturday as soon as he possibly could, ordering claims to be turned around, carrying Venezuelan terrorists and now fighting the government for disclosures.
of those deportations like. Just, I mean, how can you, how can the government deal with someone like that? You can't. Buck, I'm glad you brought that up about the quality of legal representation because I remember this was one of the first things we talked about with you, Julie, was you were raising money so that the lawyers could be better and
John Adams defended the Boston Massacre British soldiers in a pre-revolutionary America for people out there that have forgotten because it used to be a basically foundational belief of lawyers that everybody deserved the best possible legal representation, even people who were accused of heinous crimes.
And to Buck's point, and I know you saw this, Julie, everybody wants to line up. I've got friends who worked on 9-11 prosecutions. The people who were involved in flying planes into our buildings have elite representation. Look, I don't begrudge that because I think that is the American system of justice. But, Julie, just to kind of finish here,
How many elite lawyers were willing to step forward and volunteer their time to rep the J6ers? There were no elite white shoe law firms that stepped up to defend a single J6er, not one. Again, there were some very good lawyers, some that were retained privately, most that were court-appointed or public defenders, but not a single. You see all of these law firms lined up, not just defendants,
Defending these terrorists, but fighting the Trump administration on anything. These are all big name law firms. No, none of none of them stepped up for American citizens because they considered them terrorists. You know, the Venezuelan gang members, the tattoos all over the place who have suspected ties to TDA. They're not terrorists. They're victims.
But you walk inside the Capitol for nine minutes, commit no violence, and you have the chief judge of the D.C. District Court putting you on trial in the most democratic city in the country for a quick conviction. So, no, none of them did. So shame on these law firms. And this is why I'm so glad to see the president.
doing what he can to vilify these law firms, strip them of security clearances, access to documents and buildings, and doing, yes, damage to their business because that's exactly what they deserve. Julie, keep up the good work. Look forward to talking to you again, and thank you for the last four years, how awesome you've been talking to us and keeping us updated on all this. You guys are awesome for always having me on. Thank you so much. Talk to you soon.
Good stuff. Look, the Clay and Buck March Madness brackets. They're posted. Steak bet on the line. And good ranchers. Man, it's a good thing they have good steaks because Buck is going to have to buy me a great steak when his bracket crumbles and I surge into a victory situation.
But we had last week in the Travis household, or the week before last, we were out of town on spring break last week. Week before last, we had amazing steaks. My wife, Laura, cooked them straight from Good Ranchers, delivered to the door. Variety of subscription boxes out there, including my personal favorite, the tailgate box. It's got everything you could possibly want. Go check it out online at goodranchers.com. These are safe options.
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You can get chicken. You can get great steaks that are the equivalent of fabulous steakhouses where you would go out and pay a bundle, eat them at home like we did a couple of weeks ago. The boys loved them. You'll love them. Take care of your family at GoodRanchers.com. My name, Clay, for $25 off delivered straight to your home. Again, GoodRanchers.com. C-L-A-Y to save $25.
Want to be in the know when you're on the go? The Team 47 Podcast. Trump highlights from the week, Sundays at noon Eastern in the Clay and Buck Podcast feed. Find it on the iHeartRadio app or wherever you get your podcasts.
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