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cover of episode How Bubbles Power Breakthroughs

How Bubbles Power Breakthroughs

2025/2/6
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What's Your Problem?

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Jacob Goldstein: 我认为技术突破往往发生在特定时刻,并且具有一些共性。通过研究这些共性,我们可以抽象出推动技术进步的因素。我认为,技术突破往往需要一个社会泡沫,即一群人共享某种狂野的信念,并拥有大量的资金来支持他们的行动。 Byrne Hobart: 我认为社会泡沫之所以重要,是因为它能形成一种反馈循环。当人们开始认真对待某个想法时,其他人也会受到影响,从而形成一种共同的信念。这种共同的信念能够吸引更多的人才和资源,最终推动技术突破。此外,巨额资金的支持也是至关重要的,它能够让人们有足够的资源去尝试各种可能性,即使其中一些尝试最终会失败。

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There are moments in history when people make huge technological advances all of a sudden. Think of the Manhattan Project, the Apollo missions, or, more recently, generative AI. But what do these moments have in common? Is there some set of conditions that lead to massive technological leaps?

Byrne Hobart is the author of a finance newsletter called The Diff, and the co-author of Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnation. In the book, Bryne makes the case for one thing that is really helpful if you want to make a wild technological leap: a bubble.

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