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Macron, Starmer & Trump: Ukraine’s fate at stake
2025/2/24
World in 10
P
Peter Conradi
Alex Dibble 和 Stuart Willey: 欧洲领导人对特朗普关于乌克兰的立场转变感到震惊，这导致了欧洲可能需要独自承担支持乌克兰重担的担忧。
Peter Conradi: 特朗普对乌克兰问题的立场与拜登政府截然不同，这使得欧洲面临不确定性，并促使他们采取行动争取自身利益。马克龙将试图通过奉承和强调战略利益来劝说特朗普改变对乌克兰问题的立场。英国首相苏纳克将与马克龙采取类似策略，并强调英国和欧盟在乌克兰部署有限规模的维和部队的计划。马克龙和苏纳克与特朗普的会面，其结果将受到个人关系和国家利益的复杂影响。德国即将上任的领导人默兹表示，德国需要寻求对美国的独立性，这表明欧洲对美国在未来可靠性存在疑问。尽管默兹的言论令人惊讶，但欧洲国家需要在战略上更加独立，并加强彼此间的合作。
Emmanuel Macron: (推测) 将试图说服特朗普，与普京达成协议对美国和特朗普本人的战略利益有害，并强调只有公平对待乌克兰才能展现美国的胜利。
Keir Starmer: (推测) 将强调英国和欧盟在乌克兰的合作，以及部署有限维和部队的计划，以向美国展示欧洲的承诺和行动。
Friedrich Merz: 德国需要寻求对美国的独立性，以应对变化的国际环境。
supporting_evidences
Peter Conradi: 'Surprised is a bit of an understatement. Shocked, completely taken aback by horrified, I think, would be a more accurate description. The basic message is that Donald Trump is very keen to deal with issues Vladimir Putin, over Ukraine to end the war.'
Peter Conradi: 'He's basically going to try and persuade Trump to change course. He's essentially going to flatter Trump.'
Peter Conradi: 'Starmer is going to talk about, we think, a so-called reassurance force that Britain and the EU want to place in Ukraine.'
Peter Conradi: 'He said America is indifferent to the fate of Europe and that achieving independence from the US will be his priority.'
Deep Dive
The absence of high-ranking US officials at the three-year anniversary of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine raises concerns about Europe's ability to support Ukraine alone. Macron and Starmer's meetings with Trump aim to address Trump's unexpected policy shift and secure continued US support. The proposed reassurance force of 30,000 troops from Britain and the EU is a response to this uncertainty.
- Absence of top US officials at Ukraine invasion anniversary fuels European fears.
- Macron and Starmer to meet Trump to discuss Ukraine.
- Proposed reassurance force of 30,000 troops from Britain and EU.
Shownotes Transcript