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How AI Will Change Personal Tech in 2025

2024/12/30

WSJ Tech News Briefing

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript

People

Nicole Nguyen

Topics

Nicole Nguyen: 2025年，人工智能将在个人科技领域掀起巨变。首先，在天气预报方面，Google的GenCast模型脱颖而出，其基于机器学习的预测能力远超传统模型，预测准确率高达97%，预测时间可达15天。这得益于其利用欧洲模型的历史数据和当前观测数据，以及谷歌云TPU的高速计算能力，使得预测时间缩短至8分钟。GenCast的代码是开源的，公众将在2025年初体验到其实时天气预报。与此同时，AI技术也为诈骗者提供了新的工具。生成式AI可以创建深度伪造的语音和视频，以及编写更具迷惑性的诈骗信息，使得诈骗活动更加难以防范。企业将成为诈骗的主要目标，尤其要警惕那些看起来真实的网络链接。为了保护自己，建议与上司约定安全词，并加强密码保护。在健康科技方面，‘健康寿命’（healthspan）的概念越来越受到关注。可穿戴设备和AI技术可以测量生物年龄，帮助人们更好地管理健康。持续血糖监测技术也得到了广泛应用，新的AI应用可以根据食物图片预测血糖水平，帮助用户管理血糖。新的血糖监测平台结合了谷歌Gemini技术，可以分析血糖水平与睡眠、饮食习惯等生活方式因素之间的联系，为用户提供更全面的健康管理建议。 Danny Lewis: 作为主持人，Danny Lewis主要负责引导话题，提出问题，并对Nicole Nguyen的观点进行总结和补充。他表达了对AI技术发展速度之快的惊讶，并对AI诈骗的潜在危险表示担忧。他还引导讨论了健康科技的最新发展趋势，例如生物年龄的测量和持续血糖监测技术。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

How will AI improve weather forecasting accuracy in 2025?

Google's DeepMind has developed GenCast, an AI weather model that predicts weather up to 15 days in advance with 97% better accuracy than traditional models. It uses historical data from the European weather model and runs on Google Cloud TPU, enabling forecasts in just eight minutes compared to hours for traditional models.

Why are AI-powered scams expected to increase in 2025?

Fraudsters are leveraging generative AI and deepfake technology to create convincing scams, such as impersonating bosses or colleagues to trick employees into transferring funds. These tools eliminate linguistic errors and can generate legitimate-looking websites, making scams harder to detect.

What is healthspan, and how is AI measuring it?

Healthspan refers to the period of life spent in good health, distinct from lifespan. AI tools like wearables (e.g., Aura, Fitbit) and apps (e.g., Novo Labs' AI face age test) measure biological age by analyzing factors like heart rate and facial features. Continuous glucose monitors are also being adopted by non-diabetics to manage blood sugar levels linked to chronic issues.

What new health tech tools will debut in 2025?

In 2025, tools like January AI will use generative AI to predict blood sugar levels based on food photos, while Dexcom's Stello sensor, powered by Google Gemini, will provide insights into how blood sugar connects to sleep, diet, and lifestyle. These innovations aim to help users manage their health more effectively.

How can individuals protect themselves from AI-powered scams?

To combat AI scams, individuals should use safe words with colleagues, verify suspicious messages directly via phone, and strengthen passwords for sensitive accounts. Password managers are recommended for added security.

Chapters

Google's DeepMind AI Lab has developed GenCast, a machine learning model for weather forecasting that's significantly more accurate than traditional models. It can predict up to 15 days in advance with 97% better accuracy and produces forecasts in minutes instead of hours. The code is open-source, and real-time forecasts will be available to the public in early 2025.

GenCast, a new AI weather forecasting model, offers significantly improved accuracy.
It uses a Google Cloud TPU for faster processing.
GenCast's forecasts are up to 15 days in advance and 97% better than traditional models.
The code is open-source, and real-time forecasts will be publicly available in early 2025.

Shownotes Transcript

We’re hearing from our reporters and columnists about some of the biggest companies, trends and people in tech and what could be in store for 2025. Artificial intelligence has continued to work its way into many aspects of our lives in 2024, in everything from apps to phones. WSJ personal tech columnist Nicole Nguyen joins us to talk about the tech that will change our lives) in the new year. Danny Lewis hosts.

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