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cover of episode Pros and cons of a US sovereign wealth fund

Pros and cons of a US sovereign wealth fund

2025/2/18
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Unhedged

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A
Aidan Reiter
K
Katie Martin
一名在《金融时报》工作的金融记者和评论员,专注于全球经济政策和市场趋势分析。
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Aidan Reiter: 我认为设立主权财富基金的优点在于,它可以利用市场力量来为美国人民积累一大笔资金。如果成功,这将对社会保障和医疗保健等领域大有裨益。此外,从理论上讲,它为总统提供了一种灵活的方式,可以投资于其国内或国际优先事项,这对于那些相信强有力的行政权力的人来说是一个优势。 然而,我认为缺点更多。首先,美国实际上并没有足够的财富,需要通过借贷来实现,这将损害特朗普政府此前承诺的财政赤字削减目标。 其次,它存在许多潜在的风险。如果在市场上亏损,将面临巨大的政治反弹。此外,它可能滋生裙带资本主义,如果投入数万亿美元的资金到市场中,可能会稀释回报率。我认为人们不会对此感到高兴。 总的来说,我认为设立主权财富基金并不明智,它似乎只是为了绕过立法程序的一种手段。但我愿意听取其他意见。 Katie Martin: 我对政府政策的利弊分析已经感到厌倦,因为今年到目前为止,你看到一些事情,你会想,哇,这是一个糟糕的主意,不要那样做。哦,我看到你已经做了。所以,你知道,这不是由我决定的。因此,你知道,我们必须接受我们发现的世界。我同意你的观点,这里有很多潜在的风险。但我感觉,如果这是唐纳德·特朗普想要的,那么这很可能就是唐纳德·特朗普会得到的。所以我们只能拭目以待市场的影响。但我猜我想知道,好吧,当你接到唐纳德·特朗普或斯科特·佩森的电话,说,嘿,艾丹,怎么样?你想管理吗?哦,让我看看。2万亿美元的资产。你方便吗?你的服务方便吗?好吧,鉴于我和所有这些管理Doge的家伙年龄相同,我想我合格了。但我认为我必须等到今年的FT竞赛的股票挑选回报出来后,才能让自己去管理美国的钱。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The episode explores the pros and cons of the US creating a sovereign wealth fund, similar to those in the Middle East and Norway. The discussion includes the potential sources of funding, the risks involved, and the political implications of such a move.
  • Donald Trump's proposal for a US sovereign wealth fund.
  • Comparison with Norway's oil fund and the UK's approach.
  • Concerns about funding sources, transparency, and potential misuse of funds.
  • Potential for market manipulation and inflationary effects.
  • Alternative methods for strategic investment, such as legislation (e.g., the Inflation Reduction Act).
  • Political implications of bypassing Congress and the power of the purse.

Shownotes Transcript

Donald Trump and his Treasury secretary have signaled their support for a sovereign wealth fund. Joe Biden and Kamala Harris also discussed it. But is it a good idea? Today on the show, Katie Martin and Aiden Reiter make the case for and against a radical new plan for American capital. Also, they go long the reappearance of Chinese billionaire Jack Ma, and long Diet Coke. 

For a free 30-day trial to the Unhedged newsletter go to: https://www.ft.com/unhedgedoffer).

You can email Robert Armstrong and Katie Martin at [email protected]).

Read a transcript of this episode on FT.com) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy) for more information.