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cover of episode Microsoft Blindsided by OpenAI's $12B CoreWeave Deal

Microsoft Blindsided by OpenAI's $12B CoreWeave Deal

2025/4/17
logo of podcast ChatGPT: OpenAI, Sam Altman, AI, Joe Rogan, Artificial Intelligence, Practical AI

ChatGPT: OpenAI, Sam Altman, AI, Joe Rogan, Artificial Intelligence, Practical AI

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我今天要讨论的是AI领域的一笔数十亿美元交易,涉及CoreWeave和OpenAI。这是一个引人入胜的合作关系,OpenAI最近达成了这项协议。我将深入探讨这笔交易的细节,以及它可能如何损害OpenAI与微软的关系,以及CoreWeave的计划。 OpenAI向CoreWeave投资120亿美元,这是一个巨大的数额。如果大家还记得,几年前OpenAI从微软获得了100亿美元的投资,占公司50%的股份,这曾是轰动一时的新闻。而现在,他们又向另一家公司投资了120亿美元。CoreWeave究竟是做什么的?他们为什么要这么做?这背后究竟发生了什么? 这实际上是一项为期五年的119亿美元协议,略低于120亿美元。CoreWeave是一家GPU密集型云服务提供商,它允许用户在云端使用GPU。因此,如果OpenAI试图训练大量的AI模型,而他们没有足够的GPU或基础设施,他们可以使用CoreWeave来帮助他们完成这项工作。 这非常有趣且具有战略意义,因为就在一两周前,Sam Altman表示他们正在耗尽GPU,没有足够的GPU。他说,在过去的几个月里,他担心埃隆·马斯克的xAI拥有比他们更多的GPU,因为他们利用与特斯拉和SpaceX的共享资源以及其他一些巧妙的方法获得了大量的GPU用于训练。这使得OpenAI感到担忧,如果其他公司能够获得更多的GPU,这将对其业务构成威胁。因此,他们正在建立大型合作伙伴关系,并且不仅仅是建立合作伙伴关系,他们还在直接投资这家公司,这样他们就可以获得CoreWeave的GPU及其云服务提供商的优先级。 有趣的是,OpenAI并不是CoreWeave唯一的竞争对手,甚至在之前也不是其最大的客户。在此之前,微软占据了CoreWeave约62%的收入,这只是去年的数据,2024年。令人难以置信的是,其收入增长到了19亿美元,而2023年只有2.28亿美元。这显然是一笔巨大的交易,CoreWeave上周刚刚申请上市。它尚未确定上市时间或价格,人们猜测其IPO估值将达到40亿美元。 这并不是一家默默无闻的公司,它得到了英伟达的支持,英伟达持有CoreWeave约6%的股份。它专注于AI云服务提供商,目前拥有约32个数据中心。这是一家我多年来一直在播客中谈论的公司,因为他们不断进行令人瞠目结舌的融资。他们绝对是这个领域的主要参与者,许多人都在使用他们来帮助训练他们的AI模型。 他们目前运营着超过25万个英伟达GPU。如果我没记错的话,这与Grok AI管理的GPU数量相似,我认为他们有20万个。一家公司能够获得如此多的GPU,这非常令人印象深刻。这是截至今年年底的数据。CoreWeave的工作方式是将GPU出租给需要它们的人,这是一种基于用量的模式。 自去年年底(2024年)以来,英伟达增加了更多GPU,数量超过25万。我不确定现在的确切数字,但他们还增加了英伟达最新的产品Blackwell,它支持AI推理,是最新产品。每个人都在谈论的问题是,19亿美元的收入,比前一年增长了8倍,这太棒了,这正是你希望在一家公司中看到的。但真正让投资者感到担忧的是,62%的收入来自一个客户,即微软。如果微软出于任何原因表示不喜欢这家公司,或者找到了更好的选择,或者打算将所有工作都内部化,那么CoreWeave将损失62%的收入。这可不是什么好事。 现在OpenAI介入,与他们签订了一项多年协议,金额高达120亿美元,分五年支付。这显然不是一次性支付。我认为,当亚马逊或AWS投资Anthropic时,我们也看到了很多类似的交易。他们分多年支付,希望他们达到不同的基准。有很多不同的因素,他们不会一次性支付所有款项。部分原因是,我认为OpenAI要获得这笔交易的批准和融资,他们银行里没有120亿美元的现金。因此,他们实际上是在根据未来的增长预测借钱。我非常好奇他们的未来增长预测是什么,尤其是在OpenAI最近谈到推出2万美元、1万美元和2000美元的AI代理时。 无论如何,OpenAI不仅将能够访问微软一直在使用的相同云平台,而且他们还将拥有该公司的部分所有权。OpenAI和微软的关系有点复杂,人们称他们为“欢喜冤家”。他们说他们的关系正在恶化,因为他们之间存在竞争。OpenAI使用微软的Azure作为其云提供商。如果微软使用CoreWeave来获得更多GPU,那么OpenAI也可能会通过微软获得CoreWeave的访问权限,这将减少微软的收入。这很有道理,但可以想象微软对此并不太高兴。 微软是OpenAI的大型投资者,投入了大量资金。现在,由于他们直接竞争,关系变得有些紧张。OpenAI直接与微软的企业客户竞争。1月份,当OpenAI宣布与软银和甲骨文达成大型Stargate AI基础设施协议时,微软不再是OpenAI唯一的云提供商。他们开始与甲骨文合作,现在他们需要更多的计算资源。他们表示GPU不足,因此这可能是一个很好的解决方法。但这不仅仅是OpenAI在打压微软,并蚕食其客户。微软也在开发与OpenAI相同的技术,他们正在开发自己的AI模型,以及自己的推理模型,就像OpenAI一样。因此,尽管他们关系良好,并有着良好的合作关系,但他们都在直接竞争。 OpenAI聘请了Sam Altman的竞争对手Mustafa Suleiman,因为他当时负责Inflection Pi,这是ChatGPT的直接竞争对手。他们聘请他担任微软AI负责人,现在正在构建微软自己的内部ChatGPT版本,这将与OpenAI直接竞争,尤其是在他们即将推出的新推理模型方面。 CoreWeave在这一切中扮演着某种“棋子”的角色。CoreWeave这家公司很有趣,它是由一群对冲基金经理创立的。它最初是一家加密货币矿业公司,他们使用这些GPU来挖掘加密货币。然后,当AI出现时,他们意识到可以将这些GPU出租给试图训练AI模型的人。他们拥有所有这些基础设施,因此这很有意义。 但这是一项成本非常高的业务。该公司有三位联合创始人。有趣的是,在他们筹集的所有资金中,他们已经套现了约4.8亿美元的股份,三位联合创始人每人套现超过1.5亿美元。他们现在做得相当不错。令人震惊的是,CoreWeave目前的债务约为79亿美元。这不仅仅是一家需要筹集资金来支付开发人员工资的软件公司,这是一家正在建设数据中心、购买GPU的公司。因此,80亿美元的债务并不令人惊讶,这只是他们能够建设所需成本。 他们希望这次IPO能够筹集到数十亿美元的新资金,用于偿还部分债务。考虑到今天的利率,偿还80亿美元的债务利息,我想这将非常痛苦。他们将尝试进行IPO,筹集大量资金,并偿还部分债务,这非常引人入胜。有趣的是,三位创始人曾经试图利用GPU来赚钱,挖掘加密货币。现在,他们似乎已经实现了目标,虽然不是通过加密货币,而是通过出租GPU来赚钱,他们正在用GPU赚钱。看来他们已经完成了他们的使命。我会随时关注此事的所有进展。这显然是一笔巨大的交易,120亿美元投资于CoreWeave,我们非常期待看到IPO的进展。我肯定会报道他们筹集了多少钱,定价是多少,上市时间表是什么,以及上市后公司的表现。 这是一个非常引人注目的领域,CoreWeave是AI领域的一家非常大的公司。

Deep Dive

Chapters
OpenAI's massive $12 billion investment in CoreWeave, a GPU-heavy cloud service provider, raises questions about its relationship with Microsoft and the future of AI infrastructure. The deal highlights the growing demand for GPUs in AI model training and OpenAI's strategic move to secure access to these resources.
  • OpenAI's $12 billion investment in CoreWeave
  • CoreWeave's role as a GPU-heavy cloud service provider
  • Sam Altman's concerns about GPU shortages
  • OpenAI's strategic partnership to secure GPU access

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Today on the podcast, we're talking about a multi-billion dollar deal that is happening in the AI space, and that involves CoreWeave and OpenAI. Now, this is a fascinating combination and partnership that OpenAI has recently done. I'm going to be getting into all of that, why this might be fraying the relationship of OpenAI and Microsoft, and what

CoreWeave plans on doing with this essentially as their position in itself for what is, you know, a lot of people are saying is a $4 billion IPO coming up. So we're going to get into all of this. Before we do, if you've ever wanted to grow and scale your company using AI tools or your career online,

level it up with AI tools, you need to join the AI Hustle school community. Every single week, I record exclusive content where I break down the tools, processes, and systems that I use with AI to grow and scale my company. So I share exact numbers. I share exact workflows. Everything I can't share publicly is

published on there. It's $19 a month. In the past, I had this at over $100 a month, but I've dropped the price. And if you're interested in locking in that $19 a month price now, when I raise the price in the future, it won't be raised on you. So if you're interested, there's a link in the description to my school community called AI Hustle. I'd love to have you as a member. There's over 300 members that are all sharing what they're doing, getting great feedback. It's an amazing group. All right, let's get into what is going on.

So OpenAI is pouring $12 billion into CoreWeave. This is a colossal amount. I mean, if you remember, OpenAI originally took $10 billion from Microsoft a couple of years ago for like 50% of the company. And that was like massive groundbreaking news. And now they're putting $10

$12 billion into another company. So what exactly does CoreWeave do? Why are they doing this? What's going on? This is actually a five-year $11.9 billion agreement, just a little bit shy of the $12 billion, but

CoreWeave is a GPU heavy cloud service provider, which essentially allows you to use GPUs on the cloud. So OpenAI could, if they're trying to train a ton of AI models and they don't have enough GPUs, they don't have enough infrastructure, they could go and use something like CoreWeave to help

them do this. And this is really interesting and strategic because just recently, I think like a week or two weeks ago, Sam Allman said, we are running out of GPUs. We don't have enough GPUs. He said in the past months, he's concerned that Elon Musk's, uh,

X AI has access to more GPUs than him because I think they kind of relied on like sharing with Tesla and SpaceX and they did some other like clever things to get a whole bunch of GPUs in there to train. And this is making OpenAI concerned like this is a, you know, a threat to their business if other companies are able to get larger amounts of GPUs. So they're making big partnerships and beyond just making a partnership, they're

directly investing into this company so that, you know, people know or so that they have access, I would assume, to priority from CoreWeave's GPU and their cloud service provider. Now, what's interesting here is OpenANN is not the only competitor

competitor, and up until now, wasn't even their biggest customer. So before this actually happened, Microsoft accounted for about 62% of CoreWeave's revenue. This is just last year, 2024. And what's incredible is that the revenue grew to $1.9 billion. That's about

what it was in 2023, which was 228 million. So this is obviously a massive deal and CoreWeave just filed to go public last week. So it hasn't priced or scheduled when it's going to go public or priced out exactly what it's going to go public at. People are speculating it's going to be a $4 billion IPO. This is fascinating. And this isn't a company that is just kind of come out of obscurity. They're backed by NVIDIA. NVIDIA owns about 6% of CoreWeave. And

And essentially, this is an AI specific. So they really focus on AI cloud service provider. They have a network of about 32 data centers at this point. Now, this is a company I've been talking about on the podcast for years because they keep raising these eye watering rounds of funding. They're definitely a massive player in the space. And a lot of people are using them to help train their AI models.

But they are currently operating over 250,000 NVIDIA GPUs. Now, if I remember correctly, this is similar to what, you know, Grok AI has under management. I'm trying to remember if they have... I think they have 200,000. And so...

for one company to get their hands on this many is very, very impressive. And this is as of the end of this year. And then the thing that CoreWeave's doing is they're kind of just like renting them out. So people need them, they use them, and it's just like usage-based. So...

Since then, NVIDIA has added a bunch more GPUs since the end of last year, 2024 at 250. So I'm not sure the exact number now, but they've also added NVIDIA's the latest product, which is Blackwell. And essentially what this does is it's just supporting the AI reasoning. It's kind of the newest product. So the issue here that everyone has been talking about is, okay, fantastic, $1.9 billion, 8X growth since like the year before. This is amazing. This is exactly what you want to see in a company. But the thing that really...

kind of scares investors is 62% of the revenue is coming from one customer, Microsoft. So for any reason, Microsoft said, hey, look, we don't like the company or we found a better place or we're going to do this all in-house. That's, you know, 62% of all their revenue. They're down because of one customer walking away. So this is not good, right? That's to be down to 38% of the revenue total. And then, yeah, not great at all. So what's really interesting is now we have

OpenAI coming in and actually paying them this multi-year deal to

tons and tons of money, $12 billion over five years. So it's obviously not all at once. I feel like we see a bunch of these deals when Amazon or AWS is investing in Anthropic. They did it over multiple years. They want them to hit different benchmarks. There's a bunch of different things. They don't just get it all at once. And partially this is because I would assume for OpenAI to get approval and financing for a deal like this, they don't have $12 billion cash in the bank.

And so they're just like essentially borrowing money for this IOU based off of future growth projections that they have. And those I'm really curious what those future growth projections are, especially as OpenAI has been recently talking about having this like $20,000 AI agent that they're going to be pumping out and a $10,000 and a $2,000 AI agent a month.

month so like a $20,000 a month AI agent that can do a you know PhD research and all this other stuff so what's really interesting is I'd be super curious what their financial projections are what they think they can make and kind of what the terms of their debt or their financing they need in order to pay this money or what percentage they give in cash and etc etc so very very interesting

regardless, not only is OpenAI now going to have access to the same cloud that Microsoft has been using, but they also are going to actually have some ownership in this. And this is right. OpenAI and Microsoft have this sort of frame relationship. People are calling them frenemies. They say their relationship is deteriorating. And this is because there's a bit of a competition going on. And OpenAI

OpenAI uses Microsoft and Microsoft Azure is their cloud provider. If Microsoft is going and using CoreWeave to get access to more GPUs, presumably, it's like OpenAI, you could imagine, it might even be getting access to CoreWeave through Microsoft. So like, it'll just go directly to it, which breaks down Microsoft's revenue, blah, blah, blah, blah. It makes a lot of sense, but you could imagine Microsoft isn't super happy about it. So,

Microsoft, of course, big backer of OpenAI, put a ton of money in. And now, you know, there's some shaky grounds because they're kind of competing directly. OpenAI competes directly for Microsoft's enterprise customers. Yeah.

And back in January, when OpenAI announced their big Stargate AI infrastructure deal that they're doing with SoftBank and Oracle, Microsoft stopped being OpenAI's only cloud provider. They started working with Oracle, and now they need more compute resources, right? So they're saying they're out of GPUs, and so this might be a great way around it. But

This isn't just, you know, OpenAI getting under Microsoft's skin and kind of cutting at their customers. Microsoft is, you know, developing the same things that OpenAI has. They're developing their own AI models. And currently they're developing their own reasoning models, just like OpenAI has. So like they're both very much competing with each other.

head to head, even though they're like friends and they have a great partnership. OpenAI went and hired Sam Altman's rival, Mustafa Suleiman, because Mustafa Suleiman was running Inflection Pi, which was a direct competitor to ChatGPT. They hired him to be the head of Microsoft AI and now is building Microsoft's own in-house version of ChatGPT, which is going to compete directly with them, especially with these new reasoning models they have coming up.

So CoreWeave is sort of a, you know, a chess move in all of this. And what's interesting about the company CoreWeave is this was founded by a bunch of hedge fund guys. It actually started out as a crypto mining operation. So they were using all of these to mine crypto. And then when AI came out, they're like, hey, well, why don't we just rent these out to people that are trying to train AI models? They have all this infrastructure. So it makes a lot of a lot of sense.

But this is a very costly business to get into. So there's three co-founders. And what's interesting is of all the money they've raised, they have already cashed out about $480 million worth of shares. So that's over $150 million each for the three co-founders that they've pulled out. So they are doing quite well right now. And what's really astounding is that CoreWeave has about $7.9 billion of debt now.

Of course, this isn't just like a software company that needs to raise money to pay developers to make software or providers. This is a company that is building data centers, buying GPUs. So $8 billion of debt on their books isn't astounding. That's just what it costs for what they've been able to build.

They're hoping that this new IPO is going to make a ton of money, billions of dollars in new capital that essentially they're going to use to pay down a punch of their debt, which I'm assuming with interest rates today is not... It's pretty painful, I would imagine, to make that happen.

make interest payments on $8 billion of debt if today's interest rates. So they're going to try to do an IPO, raise a bunch of money and pay down some of that debt, which is really fascinating. What's interesting is the three founders were at one point trying to use GPUs to, you know, create money, mine crypto. And now they're apparently accomplishing this, except not necessarily the crypto, but they're renting them out and making money, uh,

you know, they're minting money with their GPUs. So it seems like they have accomplished their mission. I'll keep you up to date on everything going on with this. This is obviously a colossal deal, $12 billion to Core. We're really excited to see where the IPO goes. I'll definitely be reporting on how much money they raise, what the pricing is, what the schedule for this thing to come out. And once it launches, how the company is doing.

absolutely fascinating spot and very, very big company in the AI space. Thanks so much for tuning in. Make sure to join the AI Hustle school community if you want to learn how to use AI tools to boost your business and career. And also, if you want to join an amazing community of people using AI to create side hustles, to grow their businesses and to grow their careers. Link is in the description. Hope that you have a fantastic rest of your day.