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The truth about Y2K

2024/12/6
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Kyle Mooney
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Zachary Loeb
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Kyle Mooney讲述了他执导的电影《Y2K》的创作理念,以及这部电影对90年代末青少年文化和科技恐惧的反映。他谈到了电影中描绘的科技失控和暴力场景,以及他希望这部电影能够引发观众的多种情绪反应。他还分享了在拍摄过程中为演员们准备的90年代文化资料,以及他认为电影中角色的普遍情感能够跨越时代引起共鸣。Mooney还谈到了Y2K复古风潮的回归,以及这如何帮助他的电影获得制作方的支持。最后,他总结了Y2K事件的经验教训,即人们对潜在风险的准备可能过度,但也存在一些默默无闻的英雄为避免灾难付出了努力,这提醒人们应该谨慎对待潜在威胁,但不必过度焦虑。 Zachary Loeb教授则从历史学家的角度分析了Y2K事件。他指出,Y2K事件的核心在于社会对计算机技术的过度依赖,以及人们往往在危机时刻才真正面对风险。他回顾了Y2K问题的历史起源,以及从上世纪70年代开始,人们逐渐意识到这个问题的严重性。Loeb教授还描述了媒体对Y2K事件的报道如何加剧了公众的恐慌情绪,以及政府和IT部门在解决这个问题上的努力。他强调,虽然最终没有发生大规模灾难,但许多小问题仍然存在,这提醒人们需要持续关注并维护计算机基础设施。Loeb教授还探讨了如何在没有迫在眉睫的威胁的情况下,有效地应对重大问题,例如气候变化等。他认为,Y2K事件的经验教训之一是,当专家们预见到问题时,人们应该听取专家的意见,并调动必要的资源来解决问题,以避免灾难的发生。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the real Y2K not result in a widespread technological disaster?

Despite widespread concern, the Y2K issue was largely mitigated by extensive preparations and the work of IT professionals and government officials who ensured systems were updated and ready for the year 2000 transition.

What were some of the specific issues that did occur during the Y2K transition?

While no major disasters happened, there were documented issues such as problems with satellites and nuclear power plants, highlighting the widespread reliance on computer systems at the time.

Why did Y2K become a significant concern in the late 1990s?

The issue originated in the 1950s and 1960s when programmers used two-digit year codes to save memory, leading to concerns in the 1970s and 1980s. By the 1990s, the impending year 2000 deadline made it a critical issue that required global attention and coordination.

How did the media contribute to the Y2K hysteria?

Media outlets often sensationalized the potential for a Y2K disaster, with cover stories like Newsweek's 'The Day the World Crashes' in 1997. This coverage helped to amplify public fears and preparations for a potential apocalypse.

What can we learn from the Y2K experience about addressing future technological challenges?

Y2K demonstrated the importance of proactive problem-solving and international cooperation. It showed that when experts identify potential issues, it's crucial to listen and mobilize resources to prevent crises, even if the eventual outcome is less dramatic than anticipated.

How did the Y2K issue reflect society's increasing reliance on technology?

Y2K highlighted that by the end of the 20th century, daily life was heavily dependent on computer systems, from the electric grid to grocery store inventory. It underscored the need to maintain and update this infrastructure as critically as traditional physical infrastructure.

Why did some people move to Alaska in preparation for Y2K?

Some individuals believed that Y2K could lead to societal collapse, prompting them to move to remote areas like Alaska to be self-sufficient and protect their families from potential chaos.

What role did the government play in addressing the Y2K issue?

The U.S. government, particularly from 1996 onwards, took the Y2K issue seriously, with bipartisan efforts in Congress and coordination with international partners to ensure that critical systems were updated and ready for the year 2000 transition.

How did the entertainment industry portray Y2K?

The entertainment industry often depicted Y2K as a potential apocalypse, with shows like The Simpsons featuring segments where technology malfunctions lead to chaos. This portrayal helped to cement the public's perception of Y2K as a significant threat.

What was the public's reaction to the Y2K issue as the year 2000 approached?

The public was generally well-prepared, with many stocking up on essentials and making contingency plans. However, the lack of a major disaster led to a collective sigh of relief and a sense of anticlimax once the new year arrived without incident.

Shownotes Transcript

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25 years ago, if you were alive, you or someone close to you was wondering what would happen when the clock struck midnight on New Year's Eve. Would the power go out? Would planes crash? Would ATMs start spitting out money all over the world? But then, nothing happened. But what if something did?

I was 15 when Y2K happened, and for those of us who were alive during Y2K, it was a letdown. Nothing really happened, and I think I've always been sort of minorly obsessed with that. So one day, the idea kind of struck me to make up a movie about teenagers go to a party and Y2K actually happens. On Today Explained, Kyle Mooney is going to tell us about his new movie, Y2K, and then we're going to hear why Y2K didn't happen.

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Sean Robbins for him. You might know me from Today Explained. Kyle Mooney, you might know from his pitch-perfect Inside SoCal Quick Hits. All right, love is your boys. Without them, you are weak. They give you strength and believe in you and are always down to let you be who you are. Even if sometimes you're not down to drink and smoke. Let's face it, you're always going to be down to drink and smoke. Or from his flexing Baby Yoda on Saturday Night Live. Baby Groot, do me a favor. Keep my name out your little tree mouth before I stab you like a...

Or maybe you heard he made a movie called Y2K that opens in theaters today. Y2K is real. We asked Kyle what he was doing on New Year's Eve 1999.

I hung out with my friend Mark. We watched the MTV New Year's Eve special. So I would have, I guess, been enjoying Carson Daly riffing with Kathy Griffin. Carson Daly with Kathy Griffin. I just talked to my folks in California. Got to say happy New Year to them. Hi, Mom and Dad.

I don't know that I was particularly super nervous or frightened as to what could happen when midnight arrived. It is officially the year 2000. If you can hear my voice, the Y2K bug is certainly not around, and what a historical moment. But my mom prepped, and she got some goodies just in case, I guess, the world was destroyed in some way or another. I guess, I mean, in the moment, it just sort of,

came and went. I don't know what thought I gave to it until I just started minorly obsessing over it. It would just hit me every once in a while, the story we were always interested in telling

was to a degree a riff on teen culture of the era, specifically like all of these movies were coming out that were geared towards us. It was She's All That. Did he ask you to the prom? Can't Hardly Wait, American Pie, 10 Things I Hate About You. Number one, no dating till you graduate. Number two, no dating till you graduate. To a degree, I don't know that I thought in terms of like this is speaking to teenage-dom as to like

This is sort of like the culture that was kind of being blasted to me, and I wanted to return to that. Of course, unlike all those movies you just named, this movie takes a fairly dark turn. As much as you're willing to share with people, what happens when the clocks strike 12 in Y2K, your movie? At midnight, the machines go crazy and start killing people, essentially. Fuck!

Oh, shit. A Tamagotchi just drilled through a chick's head. Come on, we gotta go. It's weird. I don't feel like I've ever made anything that has maybe been...

so violent, but I was really excited by just taking left turns and like doing something that elicits reaction. Like, I really hope that if people see it, you know, there are some laughs, there are some tears, and there are some moments of like, oh my shit, that's fucking crazy. Did I say, oh my shit? Oh my shit. That's actually not, I kind of, I don't hate that.

I think you should run with that. You mentioned there are a lot of movies when we were teenagers that came out that were for and about teenagers. We've also got a long lineage of movies in which technology turns on us and terrorizes us. And Y2K, your movie, is the latest in a long line. Why do we love to watch technology try and kill us? Did you think about that while you were making this movie? I mean...

I think that fear is constantly present. You know, it's like HAL 9000 or something like that. Open the pod bay doors, HAL. I'm sorry, Dave. I'm afraid I can't do that. I feel like with the introduction of electronics and robotics, there's always been that thought that when is the point that these things are going to turn on us? And even in the course of

working on this movie we started writing in 2019 and now it's 2024 that it's coming out like

We've seen an evolution of AI and like it's seemingly become more threatening and more real than even it was when we were first started talking about this. A lot of the actors in your movie weren't even alive on New Year's Eve 1999. Did you have to have like, you know, Camp Y2K where you kind of gave them the essentials of what life was like back then? We made playlists for them. We sent them lists of movies to watch and

And, you know, any phrase or reference they didn't know, obviously we'd fill them in. It was really on them to decide how much they wanted to invest in learning about

the culture and the time. Like, I think the characters, like, even though they are these archetypes of the period and, like, some of them are very distinctly late 90s, early 2000s, there is a universal quality to them. And I think that, like, even our young actors, I think, could relate. Like, I know a comp to this and I know the vulnerability of being this age.

And some of our older listeners might be listening to us, like, reminiscing about 25 years ago and be like, son, it wasn't that different. Right, right.

It feels especially true because Y2K, beyond your movie even, is having a moment. I mean, there are like Y2K vintage clothing stores. Charli XCX, who had a huge year, has a song on her album called Von Dutch. Did the fact that Y2K is back in so many ways...

you know, kids using digital point-and-shoot cameras again, help you sell this movie to the studio that ultimately made it, A24? I think so. I mean, I can't say that I'm, like, the king of the zeitgeist by any means. You know what I mean? I'm not, like... Unfortunately, I'm not incredibly aware of what's happening in the moment at times. But, like, you kind of got a sense that Y2K as a fashion aesthetic was coming back,

But it's grown in the time from like the conceptualization to now. And now I feel like now I'm just like lucky that we're getting it out sort of in time because I feel like we're probably at a moment where people will be sick of it after this. You know what I mean? And we could be like a month or two away. Yeah. And then we'll see what comes back next. Do you think we can learn anything from Y2K from your experience making this movie? You know, Y2K was something that we were overprepared for.

And like we said, nothing happened. And that's also not to say... I mean, I feel like every time I say that or anyone says that, there were people doing stuff. You know, there were people...

working on these computers and, like, making sure that we were ready. So, like, there are these sort of unsung heroes that who knows what would have happened if they hadn't done the work that they did. But, you know, I think we've seen in our fairly recent culture and history that, like, there are moments that we were not prepared for and that then, like, kind of shifted our lives. And so there is something...

to always being thoughtful about like, okay, we should maybe take this somewhat seriously and think about it and make sure we're all good if something bad were to happen. I think let's not be super obsessive about it, but let's be smart about it. Kyle Mooney's new movie is Y2K. See it wherever you see your movies, except...

At home, I don't think you can watch it at home just yet. When we're back on Today Explained, we're going to find out why the machines didn't turn on us 25 years ago. Support for Today Explained comes from Aura. Aura believes that sharing pictures is a great way to keep up with family. And Aura says it's never been easier thanks to their digital picture frames. They were named the number one digital photo frame by Wirecutter. Aura frames make it easy to share unlimited photos and videos directly from your phone to the frame.

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And I came to die.

Today Explained. Zachary Loeb teaches history at Purdue University, and he's especially into the history of Y2K. You can find him on campus trying to convince his students that Y2K is still worth thinking about 25 years later. I think it's a great way to start a conversation.

I think that it's important to continue thinking about Y2K because at the core of Y2K is really a confrontation with how reliant we as a society and we as a world have become on computer technology. Far too often, the dangers that we expose ourselves to, the risks that we expose ourselves to, they only become things that we really confront. They only become things that we really deal with in these moments of crisis.

And so Y2K is this moment of crisis that forces us to think about how reliant we had become on computer technology. And I think it would be a good thing for us to be thinking about and aware of these issues as they persist today without needing something going horribly wrong to make us pay attention to it.

But the deadline probably helped. Oh, of course. I mean, there's nothing like having a discrete deadline to which you can count down that really, really drives the issue. It really builds it up. For all of our listeners who are too young to remember or who maybe just didn't care about the hysteria in 1999, can you remind us when exactly it was that someone said, hey—

You know, there might be a huge computer glitch on New Year's Eve 1999. So pretty much from the beginning of this problem, and it has its origins in the 1950s and 1960s, the computer programmers who are making the decision which eventually is going to become the Y2K problem, they're aware that eventually this is going to become a problem.

Nobody really anticipated that we would be worried about a 100 year span, but people from 1900 are still alive. One of the most fateful cost cutting measures was to deliberately leave out the first two digits of the year date. The source of the year 2000 bug is this: older computer programs have a two digit area to store the year, 85 or 97 for instance.

but it's always something that is very far distant, it's down the road. Starting in the 1970s, you start to see people talking about this a little bit more specifically. The computer scientist Bob Beamer writes an article in 1971 talking about this future problem that it's going to represent. "The worst part is the embedded chips.

Those are the little things that run your coffee maker, open and close the security gates on a bank or a plant. You can actually find the first coverage of this in the New York Times in 1988. Huh! 1993?

is really the point at which the IT sector really starts waking up to this issue, really starts working on this issue, really starts talking about this much more internally. The point at which the government really starts paying attention to this is actually 1996. Without the conversion to the four-digit date as is needed for the year 2000, our entire government computer system could potentially fail.

And as we know in today's world, computers throughout this nation and around the world are interrelated and interdependent. The potential problems are widespread. The systems impacted by this software glitch range from personal computers to the computer systems which operate at the Department of Defense. And by the time the public really starts to pay much more attention to this,

The irony is those working in IT, those on the government side, are already pretty confident that the problem is being handled. They are less concerned by the point that the public starts having its freak out to the extent that that happens. What was the extent to which people freaked out? Was there a panic? I'm not sure there really was panic.

I think that there were lots of media outlets that were really, really eager to report on the end of the world because reporting on the end of the world is big and flashy and exciting. And in 1997, there's this cover story in Newsweek magazine that's like, the day the world crashes. And it has like a computer monitor crashing through the magazine cover. And that's like big and exciting.

And within a lot of that media coverage, once the public starts paying more attention, there's all of this effort to find the people who think the world is ending and to kind of elevate these people who are saying it's the end of days, it's the end of time, buy a shotgun and head for the hinterlands. It's making people buy water, buy generators, electricity.

You know, they're stocking up, you know, we got this big problem coming, you know. I know some people moved to Alaska because of this. I don't know that it's necessarily going to be a computer problem. I think it's going to be a social and people problem. I think we're going to be setting ourselves back to about the 1800s. I don't want to sound like a...

a wacko gun nut or something. But you have to be able to hunt, you have to be able to protect your family. Because, look, it's fun to imagine society collapsing in a way that it isn't fun to imagine a bunch of IT workers dutifully doing their jobs and repairing code.

60 Minutes did a good long piece on Y2K. If you want to, there are plenty of things to worry about as we approach the end of the 20th century: global warming, biological warfare, meteors from outer space. And now, Y2K. And it's easy to look at that and be like, "Oh yeah."

Listen to these strange people who are preparing for the end of the world and then forget that in the next clip, there was some government official being like, no, we're taking care of this. Don't worry. The Simpsons 1999 Halloween episode, their treehouse of horror, they had a segment called Life's a Glitch in which Homer Simpson was responsible for doing the Y2K maintenance at the Springfield nuclear power reactor and he fails to do it.

That's Homer Simpson's computer. Oh, God, it's spreading! The world kind of ends, and it's easy to remember that. It's the Simpsons. It's satirical. Well, look at the wonders of the computer age now. Wonders, Lisa, or blunders? I think that was implied by what I said. Implied, Lisa, or implode? Mom, make him stop. And...

Luckily, the world of nuclear maintenance, the world of computer maintenance, isn't filled with Homer Simpsons. Yeah.

Sometimes it feels like the world is filled with Homer Simpson's. But I think you're getting at an essential point that I really want to stress here because our collective memory of Y2K is the ultimate nothing burger. But what you're suggesting here is that there are a lot of people working behind the scenes, unsung heroes perhaps, who made it a nothing burger. Did things actually go wrong? Yeah.

on New Year's Eve 1999? Can we correct the record here? - So I think that it's important to answer this question in two ways.

When we talk about what the expectations were for what was going to happen, it's really important to note that by the time you get to 1998 to 1999, most of the people in the IT sector, most of the people in the government who are working on this, are saying that Y2K is going to be a bump in the road. We do not at the moment expect that this will be, as the websites are calling it, Tia Tawaki.

That's the acronym for the end of the world as we know it. People around the Clinton administration likes to particularly use the phrase like a winter storm. Prepare as you would for a heavy winter storm with possible ramifications and possible complexities. I would have certainly some amount of water in my basement. I would have some food in my basement, flashlights. Now, in terms of what actually happened,

when 1999 became 2000. Well, I imagine some people drank champagne, some people maybe kissed somebody. I imagine that as this recent film makes clear, there were some teenagers who were getting involved in hijinks, but the computers did not come crashing down, the lights did not fail. But that doesn't mean that nothing

And if you look at, for example, the crisis averted report, which is the Senate Special Committee on the year 2000 problems, final report that they put out in the early months of the year 2000, there are pages and pages and pages of things that went wrong that they're documenting. Issues with satellites, issues at nuclear power plants, lots and lots of issues that were Y2K related that did in fact happen.

So one of the things that Y2K really drove home was the extent to which by the end of the 20th century, so much of daily life had become dependent on computer systems, computer-related infrastructure.

Y2K wasn't just about people's new desktop computers. Y2K was about the fact that the electric grid was relying on computers, that keeping the grocery stores stocked properly was also reliant on computers. And just as it's important for us to make sure that we are taking care of and maintaining our more traditional infrastructure, bridges, tunnels, stuff like that,

As computing becomes infrastructural, we also need to make sure that we are maintaining and properly taking care of it. But the advantage of Y2K was, as we discussed at the top, the deadline, right? We are better at working together as a planet when there's an asteroid heading towards Earth. And when there's no asteroid, we hate each other. We fight with each other. We're petty as hell.

How do we address our biggest problems, be they technology, be they climate change, be they the asteroid that's just out there that might hit Earth but it's not on a direct collision course yet without the looming threat? Yeah, if I knew the answer to this, that would be wonderful. I would sleep much better at night.

I do think that unfortunately, sometimes it does take a looming threat with a hard deadline to push people to work together on something. And Y2K certainly did involve lots and lots of people working very hard together. The level of bipartisanship in the U.S. government at the same time that

President Clinton is being impeached, mind you. The bipartisanship around working on Y2K is really, really impressive in Congress. The work that companies are doing sharing best practices and information is very important. And the work that is being done internationally between countries sharing expertise is also really, really important.

I think that one of the things that Y2K can also teach us is that sometimes when we see that problem coming and the experts are like, hey, we've got this problem coming, we can listen to the experts and we can marshal the resources that they are saying are necessary. And perhaps we can solve the problem before it becomes a catastrophe.

Now, the result of doing that is that it often means that then 20 or 24 or almost exactly 25 years later, people wind up looking back at it and laughing and thinking it was funny and they don't recognize all of the...

real serious work that went into mobilizing to fix the problem. But we are able to look back and laugh because luckily a lot of people at the time knew that this wasn't a joke.

Zachary Loeb, Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana. He's working on a book about Y2K. Abhishek Artsy made our show today. He was edited by Amna Alsadi, fact-checked by Anouk Dussault, and mixed by Patrick Boyd and Rob Byers. The rest of the Dream Team, Victoria Chamberlain, Halima Shah, Amanda Llewellyn, Hadi Mawagdi, Miles Bryan, Andrea Christensdottir,

Peter Balanon-Rosen, and our power forward, Noelle King. Laura Bullard is our senior researcher. Matthew Collette is a supervising editor. Miranda Kennedy is our executive producer, and we use music by Breakmaster Cylinder. Today Explained is distributed by WNYC. The show is a part of Vox. You can support our journalism by joining our membership program today. You can go to vox.com slash members to sign up.

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