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cover of episode The 2024 presidential race went from deja vu to unprecedented overnight

The 2024 presidential race went from deja vu to unprecedented overnight

2024/11/1
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Consider This from NPR

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Ari Shapiro
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主持著名true crime播客《Crime Junkie》的播音员和创始人。
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播音员:2024年总统竞选初期,形势与上一届相似,候选人都是特朗普和拜登。人们普遍认为这将是一场乏味的竞选。然而,一系列重大事件,包括对特朗普的暗杀未遂事件和拜登退出竞选,使这场竞选成为美国历史上最戏剧性、多事和出人意料的竞选。拜登在与特朗普的辩论后,面临来自民主党内部的压力,要求他退出竞选。尽管拜登坚持继续竞选,但佩洛西等民主党人对他的未来表示担忧。特朗普在宾夕法尼亚州的一次集会上遭到枪击,这导致他选择了一个新的竞选搭档J.D. Vance。共和党全国代表大会上,特朗普在接受提名时提到了暗杀未遂事件。拜登因感染新冠病毒而退出竞选,并支持哈里斯成为民主党候选人。哈里斯成为民主党总统候选人后,选择了一个竞选搭档。民主党全国代表大会庆祝哈里斯成为首位领导民主党总统竞选的女性。哈里斯和特朗普在纽约进行了一场辩论,讨论了包括经济在内的政策问题。特朗普在辩论中对海地移民发表了虚假言论,导致针对俄亥俄州斯普林菲尔德社区的威胁和暴力行为。特朗普在佛罗里达州的高尔夫球场再次面临生命威胁。特朗普在麦迪逊广场花园发表了竞选闭幕词,使用了分裂性言论,承诺驱逐非法移民,并反对批判性种族理论和跨性别议题。哈里斯在椭圆形办公室发表了竞选闭幕词,并与特朗普形成鲜明对比,强调她将专注于为美国人民服务。大选前的民调显示,哈里斯和特朗普之间的竞争非常激烈。 Ari Shapiro: 2024年总统竞选在短短几个月内变得极其动荡,最终结果难以预测。 特朗普: (在集会上)为了让美国再次伟大光荣,我今晚宣布竞选美国总统。我将继续竞选连任,因为我了解美国,我知道我们都是善良正直的人民。(在接受共和党提名时)我今晚能够站在这里,只是靠着全能上帝的恩典。 (在闭幕词中)上任第一天,我将启动美国历史上规模最大的驱逐出境计划。我们将把批判性种族理论和跨性别疯狂从我们的学校中清除出去。 拜登: (在辩论后)如果你们确信我无法击败唐纳德·特朗普,我会退出。 (在宣布退出竞选时)我决定,最好的前进方式是将火炬传递给新一代。这是团结我们国家最好的方式。 哈里斯: (在接受民主党提名时)我接受你们提名我担任美国总统的提名。(在辩论中)民调显示,80%、85%甚至90%的人认为特朗普的经济政策很好,而他们的经济政策很糟糕。唐纳德·特朗普没有为你们制定任何计划。当你们查看他的经济计划时,它完全是关于为最富有的人减税。我正在提供我所描述的机遇经济。(在闭幕词中)当选后,我会带着一份待办事项清单走马上任,这份清单上列满了我会为美国人民完成的优先事项。 佩洛西:总统应该自己决定是否参选。我们都在鼓励他做出决定,因为时间不多了。 J.D. Vance: 他只是说,听着,我认为我要去拯救这个国家。我认为你是最能帮助我的人。你可以帮助我治理国家,你可以帮助我赢得选举。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the 2024 presidential race become so dramatic and unexpected?

The race saw multiple high-profile events, including a shooting at a Trump rally, an assassination attempt on Trump, and Biden dropping out of the race, leading to a chaotic and unpredictable campaign.

How did Biden's performance in the early debate impact his campaign?

Biden's lackluster performance in the early debate led to calls within the Democratic Party for him to drop out, causing a tailspin in his campaign.

What major event rocked the Trump campaign in July?

A man shot at a Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, grazing Trump's ear and causing one death and two critical injuries.

How did Trump's choice of J.D. Vance as his running mate affect the campaign?

Vance's selection energized the Republican base, and the convention that followed had a religious fervor, boosting Trump's campaign momentum.

Why did Biden decide to drop out of the 2024 race?

Biden cited the need to pass the torch to a new generation and to unite the nation, ultimately endorsing Kamala Harris as his replacement.

What was the significance of Harris's choice of running mate?

Harris chose a running mate from a key battleground state, Pennsylvania, which was crucial for her campaign strategy.

How did the first and only debate between Harris and Trump impact the race?

The debate highlighted stark differences in their policy positions, particularly on the economy and immigration, escalating tensions and drawing clear contrasts between the candidates.

What was the final appeal of both candidates before Election Day?

Trump focused on divisive rhetoric, promising to launch the largest deportation program and remove critical race theory from schools, while Harris emphasized a to-do list of priorities for the American people.

Chapters
The 2024 presidential campaign started predictably but quickly became one of the most dramatic and unexpected in history.
  • Donald Trump and Joe Biden were the presumptive nominees.
  • The campaign was initially expected to be a boring sequel.
  • Dramatic events turned the campaign into a chaotic spectacle.

Shownotes Transcript

When the 2024 presidential campaign began, it looked a lot like the last one. Former President Donald Trump and sitting President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominees for their parties in March. This year was set to be the first U.S. presidential rematch since 1956. We all know sequels are rarely more interesting than the original, and it seemed like this election might be downright boring. But the joke was on us, because Americans have just lived through the most dramatic, eventful, unexpected presidential campaign of our lives. We revisit the key moments that brought us to this point in the race.For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org. Email us at [email protected] more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)