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cover of episode The 2024 presidential race went from deja vu to unprecedented overnight

The 2024 presidential race went from deja vu to unprecedented overnight

2024/11/1
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Ari Shapiro
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主持著名true crime播客《Crime Junkie》的播音员和创始人。
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播音员:2024年总统竞选初期,形势与上一届相似,候选人都是特朗普和拜登。人们普遍认为这将是一场乏味的竞选。然而,一系列重大事件,包括对特朗普的暗杀未遂事件和拜登退出竞选,使这场竞选成为美国历史上最戏剧性、多事和出人意料的竞选。拜登在与特朗普的辩论后,面临来自民主党内部的压力,要求他退出竞选。尽管拜登坚持继续竞选,但佩洛西等民主党人对他的未来表示担忧。特朗普在宾夕法尼亚州的一次集会上遭到枪击,这导致他选择了一个新的竞选搭档J.D. Vance。共和党全国代表大会上,特朗普在接受提名时提到了暗杀未遂事件。拜登因感染新冠病毒而退出竞选,并支持哈里斯成为民主党候选人。哈里斯成为民主党总统候选人后,选择了一个竞选搭档。民主党全国代表大会庆祝哈里斯成为首位领导民主党总统竞选的女性。哈里斯和特朗普在纽约进行了一场辩论,讨论了包括经济在内的政策问题。特朗普在辩论中对海地移民发表了虚假言论,导致针对俄亥俄州斯普林菲尔德社区的威胁和暴力行为。特朗普在佛罗里达州的高尔夫球场再次面临生命威胁。特朗普在麦迪逊广场花园发表了竞选闭幕词,使用了分裂性言论,承诺驱逐非法移民,并反对批判性种族理论和跨性别议题。哈里斯在椭圆形办公室发表了竞选闭幕词,并与特朗普形成鲜明对比,强调她将专注于为美国人民服务。大选前的民调显示,哈里斯和特朗普之间的竞争非常激烈。 Ari Shapiro: 2024年总统竞选在短短几个月内变得极其动荡,最终结果难以预测。 特朗普: (在集会上)为了让美国再次伟大光荣,我今晚宣布竞选美国总统。我将继续竞选连任,因为我了解美国,我知道我们都是善良正直的人民。(在接受共和党提名时)我今晚能够站在这里,只是靠着全能上帝的恩典。 (在闭幕词中)上任第一天,我将启动美国历史上规模最大的驱逐出境计划。我们将把批判性种族理论和跨性别疯狂从我们的学校中清除出去。 拜登: (在辩论后)如果你们确信我无法击败唐纳德·特朗普,我会退出。 (在宣布退出竞选时)我决定,最好的前进方式是将火炬传递给新一代。这是团结我们国家最好的方式。 哈里斯: (在接受民主党提名时)我接受你们提名我担任美国总统的提名。(在辩论中)民调显示,80%、85%甚至90%的人认为特朗普的经济政策很好,而他们的经济政策很糟糕。唐纳德·特朗普没有为你们制定任何计划。当你们查看他的经济计划时,它完全是关于为最富有的人减税。我正在提供我所描述的机遇经济。(在闭幕词中)当选后,我会带着一份待办事项清单走马上任,这份清单上列满了我会为美国人民完成的优先事项。 佩洛西:总统应该自己决定是否参选。我们都在鼓励他做出决定,因为时间不多了。 J.D. Vance: 他只是说,听着,我认为我要去拯救这个国家。我认为你是最能帮助我的人。你可以帮助我治理国家,你可以帮助我赢得选举。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the 2024 presidential race become so dramatic and unexpected?

The race saw multiple high-profile events, including a shooting at a Trump rally, an assassination attempt on Trump, and Biden dropping out of the race, leading to a chaotic and unpredictable campaign.

How did Biden's performance in the early debate impact his campaign?

Biden's lackluster performance in the early debate led to calls within the Democratic Party for him to drop out, causing a tailspin in his campaign.

What major event rocked the Trump campaign in July?

A man shot at a Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, grazing Trump's ear and causing one death and two critical injuries.

How did Trump's choice of J.D. Vance as his running mate affect the campaign?

Vance's selection energized the Republican base, and the convention that followed had a religious fervor, boosting Trump's campaign momentum.

Why did Biden decide to drop out of the 2024 race?

Biden cited the need to pass the torch to a new generation and to unite the nation, ultimately endorsing Kamala Harris as his replacement.

What was the significance of Harris's choice of running mate?

Harris chose a running mate from a key battleground state, Pennsylvania, which was crucial for her campaign strategy.

How did the first and only debate between Harris and Trump impact the race?

The debate highlighted stark differences in their policy positions, particularly on the economy and immigration, escalating tensions and drawing clear contrasts between the candidates.

What was the final appeal of both candidates before Election Day?

Trump focused on divisive rhetoric, promising to launch the largest deportation program and remove critical race theory from schools, while Harris emphasized a to-do list of priorities for the American people.

Chapters
The 2024 presidential campaign started predictably but quickly became one of the most dramatic and unexpected in history.
  • Donald Trump and Joe Biden were the presumptive nominees.
  • The campaign was initially expected to be a boring sequel.
  • Dramatic events turned the campaign into a chaotic spectacle.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

It can be hard to remember from where we sit today, but when this presidential campaign began, it looked a lot like the last one. Everything sounded familiar, down to the candidates. In order to make America great and glorious again, I am tonight announcing my candidacy for president of the United States. That's why I'm running for re-election, because I know America.

I know we're good and decent people. Former President Donald Trump and sitting President Joe Biden became the presumptive nominees for their parties in March. This year was set to be the first U.S. presidential rematch since 1956. And everyone thought, OK, we all know sequels are rarely more interesting than the original. In fact, it seemed like this election might be downright boring.

Well, the joke was on us, because while we can't say what the outcome of this election will be, we can say that Americans have just lived through the most dramatic, eventful, unexpected presidential campaign of our lives.

More Democrats seem to be getting cold feet over President Biden's re-election campaign. We are watching live at a rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, where former President Trump was speaking on the stage. A shooting at former President Trump's campaign rally is being investigated as an attempted assassination. President Joe Biden has just announced that he is dropping out of the 2024 presidential race. A second apparent attempt on former President Trump's life. This time, the incident...

Consider this. In a few short months, the 2024 presidential race became one of the most turbulent campaigns we've seen. Now, with less than a week to go until Election Day, it's anyone's guess who will win. From NPR, I'm Ari Shapiro. ♪

It's Consider This from NPR. The 2024 presidential campaign went from deja vu to utter chaos in a matter of months. So today we're revisiting the key moments that brought us to this point in the race. Let's start with the evening of June 27th, 2024. ♪

We're live from Georgia, a key battleground state in the race for the White House. The debate between President Biden and former President Trump in Atlanta. This was unusually early in the calendar for a presidential debate, and that timing would turn out to be crucial because Biden's performance sent Democrats into a tailspin. I'm eligible for what I've been able to do with the COVID, excuse me, with dealing with

everything we have to do with, look, if we finally beat Medicare. Members of the Democratic Party began calling for Biden to drop out. But the president was resolute. Here's what he told ABC's George Stephanopoulos the week after the debate. If you can be convinced that you cannot defeat Donald Trump, will you stand down?

With the friends of the Lord Almighty comes out and tells me that I'm not too bad. Biden sent a letter to congressional Democrats saying, quote, I am firmly committed to staying in this race.

But former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi didn't seem to get the message. She said this on MSNBC's Morning Joe. It's up to the president to decide if he is going to run. We're all encouraging him to make that decision because time is running short. And just like that, she reignited the debate over Biden's future. Then, while Democrats were wringing their hands, a major event rocked the Trump campaign. Take a look at what happened over there.

On July 13th, a man outside of a Trump rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, shot the former president, grazing his ear. One person died and two were critically wounded. The next morning, Trump posted on social media, quote, we will fear not, but instead remain resilient in our faith and defiant in the face of wickedness. We have breaking news here. Former President Donald Trump just announced that J.D. Vance,

Two days after the attempt on his life, Trump chose his running mate, Ohio Senator J.D. Vance. It was the start of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee. And that night, Vance told Fox News about getting the call from Trump. You know, he just said, look, I think I'm going to go save this country. I think you're the guy who can help me in the best way. You can help me govern. You can help me win.

Republicans kicked off their convention feeling like they were on a roll. The event almost had a religious fervor, with people wearing bandages over their ears in solidarity with Trump. In his July 19th speech accepting the Republican nomination for president, Trump referenced that assassination attempt. I'm not supposed to be here tonight. Not supposed to be here. Yes, you are. Yes, you are. Yes, you are. Yes, you are. Thank you.

But I'm not. And I'll tell you, I stand before you in this arena only by the grace of Almighty God.

And while Republicans were celebrating in Milwaukee, Biden was sidelined with COVID. Finally, on July 21st, the president posted on social media that he was ending his campaign. President Joe Biden has just announced that he is dropping out of the 2024... He offered his, quote, full support and endorsement for Vice President Kamala Harris to be the party's nominee, cementing the decision in a formal address two days later. So I've decided the best way forward...

is to pass the torch to a new generation. That's the best way to unite our nation. Harris would have the shortest runway of any presidential campaign in modern history. She would need to introduce herself to voters, explain a policy agenda, draw a contrast with Trump, and also choose a running mate. On August 16th in Philadelphia, she announced her pick. So Pennsylvania, I'm here today because I found such a leader. Minnesota!

A few days later, the Democratic convention in Chicago came with a rush of adrenaline as the party celebrated the first woman of color to lead the Democratic ticket. On behalf of everyone whose story could only be written in the greatest nation on earth, I accept your nomination to be president of the United States of America.

The first and only debate between the two presidential candidates came on September 10th in New York City. They debated policy positions, including on the economy. The polls say 80 and 85 and even 90 percent that the Trump economy was great, that their economy was terrible. Donald Trump has no plan for you.

And when you look at his economic plan, it's all about tax breaks for the richest people. I am offering what I describe as an opportunity economy. Trump also pushed a false claim about Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio. The people that came in, they're eating the cats. They're eating the pets of the people that live there. That led to weeks of threats and violence against the community in Springfield.

Five days later, Trump was golfing when his life came under threat once again. Secret Service agents spotted a gunman lurking at the Trump International Golf Club in West Palm Beach, Florida. He didn't fire and Trump wasn't harmed. A few days ago, we had an incident. I have to say Secret Service did a hell of a job. They really did. They caught him.

And that brings us to the last week before Election Day, as Harris and Trump made their final appeals to the American people. On Sunday, former President Trump gave his closing argument at Madison Square Garden in New York City. It was a homecoming rally of sorts, where he and his opening acts leaned into divisive rhetoric. On day one, I will launch the largest deportation program in American history.

We will get critical race theory and transgender insanity the hell out of our schools.

And on Tuesday, Vice President Harris made her closing argument at the Ellipse in Washington, D.C., the same place where Donald Trump encouraged a crowd to march on the Capitol on January 6th, 2021. Harris went through key parts of her platform, from grocery prices to reproductive rights, and drew a stark contrast with Trump. On day one, if elected, Donald Trump would walk into that office with an enemies list.

When elected, I will walk in with a to-do list full of priorities of what I will get done for the American people.

And now, after four turbulent months, the final polls going into Election Day show a closer race than the U.S. has seen in years. The two candidates appear to be in a dead heat, a tie. Which means as we reach the finish line, this dramatic and unpredictable presidential race is living up to its reputation even down to the very last stretch. ♪

This episode was produced by Catherine Fink. It was edited by Courtney Dorning. Our executive producer is Sammy Yenigan. Thanks to our Consider This Plus listeners who support the work of NPR journalists and help keep public radio strong. Supporters also hear every episode without messages from sponsors. Learn more at plus.npr.org. It's Consider This from NPR. I'm Ari Shapiro.

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