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Why Latino Consumers Are Spending Less

2025/6/18
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The Journal.

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D
Dennis Kim
I
Isabel Aguilar
L
Laura Cooper
M
Manuel Medina
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Isabel Aguilar: 作为一名摊贩,我注意到顾客的购买量减少了,他们因为物价上涨、失业和害怕被驱逐而感到紧张。为了避免风险,我改变了购物的方式和地点,有时甚至待在家里。现在生意不好做,大家都很谨慎。 Laura Cooper: 我们了解到,人们因为对移民和ICE的担忧以及工作时间减少而减少消费,这让许多公司受到了影响,包括Constellation、可口可乐、Colgate、Wingstop和Boston Beer。拉丁裔消费者改变购物习惯,主要是因为移民执法,他们避免去需要出示身份证的商店,并倾向于去大型零售连锁店。总的来说,恐惧和经济压力是主要原因。 Dennis Kim: 作为一家便利店的店主,自从ICE来到镇上后,我的销售额下降了近三分之一,而且如果停车场有执法人员,顾客往往会避开。我认为大部分人可能有合法身份,但他们担心没有合法身份的亲属会惹上麻烦。我能做的就是尽力经营好自己的生意,吸引顾客。 Manuel Medina: 作为一名顾客,我感到随着必需品价格上涨,所有中产阶级都在挣扎,而且许多人因为害怕ICE而待在家里,这严重打击了西班牙裔企业。人们因为害怕遇到ICE探员而不敢购物。现在的情况很糟糕,我希望情况能有所改善。

Deep Dive

Chapters
In Houston's Hispanic neighborhoods, vendors like Isabel Aguilar notice decreased sales due to increased prices, job losses, and fear of deportation following ICE operations. Customers are buying less and avoiding stores perceived as unfriendly to immigrants.
  • Decreased sales at farmer's markets in predominantly Hispanic areas.
  • Customers buying less due to financial strain and fear of deportation.
  • Increased prices of goods contributing to reduced spending.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

We got some plums, some limes, some mangoes. That's our colleague Laura Cooper. She's at a farmer's market in Houston. The market is in a predominantly Hispanic neighborhood. Many of its stalls sell goods imported from Mexico, things like herbs and dried chilies, spicy candy for piñatas, and traditional ceramic products. What do you need? I need some of this.

In one of the stalls, Laura met a vendor named Isabel Aguilar. Isabel was helping a customer buy some moringa seeds, which are used to make tea. If you take the pound, I can give you 35.30, if you want the pound. How much do you say it was for the half pound?

— Over the last few months, business at her stall hasn't been great. Isabel says she's noticed that her customers are buying less. She says they're nervous to spend money. — Isabel says the prices of goods have gone up, and customers have told her that they're struggling.

Some have lost their jobs. Others have had their work hours cut. So they're tightening their belts. And another reason customers aren't spending is fear. Fear of deportation. After Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, ramped up operations in the community in February, Isabel says many customers stopped coming. And Isabel gets it.

She doesn't have legal status, and she's been avoiding stores that are rumored to be unfriendly to immigrants, or where she's heard there's a high police presence. Isabel says she'd rather not run any risks, and she's changed where and how she shops.

Sometimes, she just stays home. Like Isabel, many Latinos are hunkering down. And that lost economic activity is hurting some companies' sales. Here's our colleague Laura Cooper again. The main thing we learned is that people are scared. They are not spending money. Whether that has to do with concerns about immigration and ICE, which we heard a lot about.

Or it has to do with people having their job hours cut, so they're spending less. Welcome to The Journal, our show about money, business, and power. I'm Jessica Mendoza. It's Wednesday, June 18th. Coming up on the show, Latino consumers are pulling back and businesses are feeling the effects. This episode is brought to you by U.S. Bank. They don't just cheer you on. They help every move count.

With U.S. Bank's smartly checking and savings account to help track your spending and grow your savings, your finances can go further. Because when you have the right partner on your side, there's no limit to what you can achieve. That's the power of us. Visit usbank.com today to learn more. Copyright 2025, U.S. Bank.

Are you a forward thinker? Then you need an HR and finance platform that thinks like you do. Workday is the AI platform that helps propel your organization, your workforce, and your industry into the future. Workday, moving business forever forward. Normally, our colleague Laura Cooper covers the beverage industry, the companies behind drinks like Coke, Sunny D, and Gatorade.

What brought Laura to Houston was a data point that caught her eye from one of the companies she covers, Constellation Brands. Constellation, which owns Modelo and also Corona, they talked about how they had a drop in sales. When we say, like, their sales are down, by how much? You know, it's not a humongous number.

Constellation's beer sales to retailers fell 1% in their most recent reporting quarter, which was back in April. Though 1% sounds like not a big number, that's significant because it's the first time that their sales have fallen since 2013. The drop in sales came largely from Latino consumers, a group that makes up about half of Modelo's customer base in the U.S. Modelo is currently the most popular beer in America.

So because the Hispanic population is so important to Constellation, they have been open on their earnings calls, talking about the softness. Welcome to the Constellation Brands Q4 fiscal year 2025 earnings call. They also have done a lot of talking to people out in different markets to ask them, are you going to the supermarket? Where are you going? Are you drinking beer? Are you having parties?

And the fact is, a lot of consumers in the Hispanic community are concerned right now. Two-thirds of them are concerned about higher prices on things like food, gas and other essentials. Over half are concerned relative to immigration issues and how those impact. A number of them are concerned about job losses in industries that have a high Latino employment base.

Another company that reported a loss in sales is Coca-Cola. And like Constellation, the company has seen Latinos pull back on spending because of inflation and economic uncertainty. But Coca-Cola also had the added situation of a social media bread boycott. Coca-Cola is now being boycotted, guys. Essentially earlier this year, there was a video circulating on Facebook

social media that purported that Coca-Cola had called immigration on its employees. Coca-Cola has said many times that this is false, this is unequivocally false. However, the videos and others like it have spread all over social media. So that obviously had an impact on

on sales. But altogether, you know, the boycott, the pullback by Hispanic consumers, and like, you know, general inflation issues led to Coca-Cola having a volume drop of 3% in North America last quarter. And that's generally not something that you'll see. Coca-Cola is a pretty strong performer, and that kind of shows the impact that's happening there.

And Laura says that impact goes beyond Constellation and Coca-Cola. Hispanic spending has been falling across all kinds of industries. So what other companies are seeing this trend? How widespread is it?

So it's pretty widespread. Like I said, we've seen it from Constellation Brands, which makes Modelo, but we've also heard about it from companies like toothpaste maker Colgate, you know, Wingstop. To that Hispanic consumer, lower middle income, and where we saw a meaningful pullback in our business. Boston Beer, which makes Twisted Tea and Truly Seltzer. Pullback from the Hispanic consumers. They're just not going out as much.

So I think that it really spans different retailers and different kinds of things. So not just beverages. The Hispanic population has been one that companies want to court. They want Hispanic consumers that are a huge part of the U.S. population to be buying their products, right? This is a huge buying group that is really important from a corporate perspective. ♪

Laura talked to analysts, company executives, store owners, and Latino shoppers. And she heard that across the country, Latinos are changing shopping habits in large part because of immigration enforcement. Specifically in places like Southern California and Texas, many immigrants are avoiding liquor stores because of the show ID to make a purchase. And they may not want to do that, even if they are legally here, because they might have a family member or a friend that they think might be put in danger.

There's also situations where Latino shoppers are shifting their shopping to large retail chains. And that's kind of in an effort to blend in in a crowd instead of going to smaller bodegas or, you know, supermarkets that might primarily serve Hispanic consumers. After the break, Laura goes to a community in Texas that's feeling the financial impact of ICE enforcement firsthand. This episode is brought to you by Indeed.

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Hiring, indeed, is all you need. This episode is brought to you by AARP. They have reskilling courses and career tools to help your income live as long as you do. The younger you are, the more you need AARP. Learn more at aarp.org slash skills. Okay, we're going to make a right on 2.3 miles on Hercules Road. And then we have to do some kind of squiggly thing.

Laura visited a cluster of rural communities in Liberty County, about 40 miles northeast of downtown Houston. It's a wooded, flat area of Texas that's grown quickly in recent years. New businesses and homes of all kinds are everywhere, attracting scores of immigrants. This would kind of be the American dream to live in one of these homes. These are cute houses, but they vary, right? Like, that's a trailer that's been converted into a house. There's a lot of trailers.

Since 2023, the area has been the target of scrutiny from conservatives in Texas. Some have called the area a haven for undocumented immigrants. And in February, ICE and the Texas Department of Public Safety, or DPS, launched a high-profile operation. Tonight, ICE agents descended on a controversial development in Liberty County targeting criminals and illegal immigrants. The governor's office said they arrested over 110 undocumented people during the operation.

On her trip, Laura met with a local businessman, Dennis Kim. He owns a convenience store called Let's Go Market and several other stores in the area. I'm curious, what's the best seller here in terms of beverages? Is it Modelo? Beverages? Modelo, for sure. Everybody, like the contractors. Yeah, everybody.

Dennis grew up in the region, and he's seen it transform over the years. As the area attracted more Latinos, he's updated what he sells to meet their needs. I mean, take for example here, we have all like Hispanic-inspired like quesos and cheeses. I mean, this is from, you know, Salvador, Honduran, you know, we have different type of, you know, crema or chips. Like we have a section of imported chips here.

And honestly, like these Cheetos, it tastes like Cheetos, but it has more of a corn taste. Dennis says that when ICE came to town in February, his sales fell by nearly a third. Since then, sales are back up, but they haven't fully recovered as foot traffic continues to be slow. And if there's law enforcement in his parking lot, whether ICE or not, Dennis says his customers tend to stay away.

We do notice that people are, you know, sometimes a little hesitant to come out when they see an influx of cars here, you know, like police officers or whatever, DPS and stuff like that, of course, yeah. Have you had any, like, police or DPS in your parking lot? Yeah, but usually, I mean, to be honest, for me as an operator and convenience store, I guess I'm kind of used to it, but we always welcome the local police officers here, you know? Right.

Of course, of course, especially in this current context, you know. This is what I think. This is my honest opinion. I think the majority of people have their papers, but they might have a relative that does not. So they don't want their relative to get in trouble or something like that, you know. So I think that's what causes the fear. Other store owners told Laura they regularly see ICE agents in their parking lots, which often scares away customers.

Store owners also said that they've seen parents send their U.S.-born children out to buy eggs, milk, and other essentials. Outside, Laura met with one of Dennis' customers, Manuel Medina. He stopped by for some gas and a bottle of mineral water. Manuel is retired, on a limited budget, and he says he's had to cut his spending across the board. We're, I mean, most of us are taking the bill. Not just us Hispanics, but...

Manuel says that as prices for essentials go up, everyone in the middle class is struggling, not just Hispanics. But he says he's heard from many in his community who are staying home, hoping to avoid ICE. And he says it's hitting Hispanic businesses hard. Before, here on Sundays, there were a lot of businesses there to make their fair, but now they don't. And that's it.

On weekends, food vendors would gather in the area, in parking lots and roadsides, selling tacos and freshly squeezed juice. But many of those businesses aren't showing up anymore. And when Manuel walks into a store, he walks in with apprehension because he might run into an ICE agent. I get down and then with expectations. But that's the problem that's happening. People are not going to buy. I'm interested in all this.

That's the problem, Manuel says. People aren't shopping. And while deportations are going on, it will only get worse. So, Laura, given everything that's going on with economic pressures and the threat of deportation, is there anything that can be done to reassure Hispanic shoppers?

So that's a good question. I've asked a lot of people what they're doing to try and get to the consumers, and there's not really an easy answer, right? I've asked a lot of companies, what are you doing to bring back Hispanic consumers? And especially with a situation like immigration, it's not a clear-cut answer. Right. It's not clear what a company can do to change the environment in which they're selling their products. Right. That's not really something they can control at all. ♪

What is this telling you about, like, what's going on in this Hispanic community? I mean, the main theme that I got when we were out there was just, like, there's a lot of fear and there is...

For Dennis Kim, the owner of Let's Go Market, he says there's not much he can do about the current moment.

What could I possibly do? Honestly, like these are all big level nationwide issues, right? So, and to me, like in order to keep my head level, I can only control what I control. Like for me, maybe the one thing I can control is to have the best possible business here and attract other customers here. I don't know, you know, that's part of my everyday, you know, plan.

That's all for today, Wednesday, June 18th. The Journal is a co-production of Spotify and The Wall Street Journal. Additional reporting in this episode by Arian Campo Flores and Enrique Perez de la Rosa. Thanks for listening. See you tomorrow.