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cover of episode DOGE's Greatest Opportunity: Unleashing American Growth by Cutting Regulations

DOGE's Greatest Opportunity: Unleashing American Growth by Cutting Regulations

2024/11/26
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All-In Podcast

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C
Chamath
D
David Sacks
一位在房地产法和技术政策领域都有影响力的律师和学者。
Topics
Jason: 我认为,对于狗狗币来说,最容易解决的问题是命名、谴责、审计以及我们实际支出的透明度。因为许多审计都没有完成,人们不知道钱花在了哪里。如果你向美国人展示......12000美元的锤子,或者那些职位名称很高却不出勤,或者每周只来办公室一天,每月只来一天的人,这会激怒纳税人。我认为有一种非常简单的方法可以解决所有这些问题。你只需创建一个排行榜,你不仅可以谴责浪费纳税人钱财的人,还可以表彰那些成为英雄的人......那些开始显示节俭和成本节约的人。他们将通过一个英雄和替罪羊的排行榜来做到这一点。这不仅可以团结共和党,正如萨克斯所指出的那样,我认为这可以团结整个国家。有没有纳税人想看到钱被浪费,想看到我们付给那些不出勤的人高薪?Chamath,你对此事的看法是什么? Chamath: 我认为你正在强调他们可以立即做到的事情,我认为这非常有效,那就是利用埃隆现在拥有的这些传播渠道来建立一个强大的问责机制。我认为阳光法案是一个非常棒的平台......消毒剂。 David Sacks: 我认为,如果可能的话,他们可以开始做的最好的事情是在你实际进行会计核算之前停止向供应商付款,从而弄清楚,正如你所说,现在有多少个600美元的肥皂分配器被买卖。这种......无论你称之为腐败还是欺诈,它并不会占到数千亿美元或数万亿美元,但我确实认为这是一个非常具有道德意义和象征意义的胜利,它表明我们将开始变得更加理性,并且它开始让普通美国人真正感觉他们拥有了一点控制权,并且他们对政府如何花钱有了更大的既得利益。但我实际上想先退一步。在我谈论狗狗币能做什么之前,我只想强调一下加州发生的事情,因为我认为这解释了很多问题。在加州,我只是要读一下这个数据,因为它令人难以置信。加州作为州的监管负担从1997年到2015年,这是我找到的数据的可用时间,增加了近50%。截至2022年5月,加州有近61000项个体法规。那么这意味着什么,它从哪里来呢?Nick,如果你能把这条推文发出来,它是在政府成为该州绝对唯一的就业来源的一段时间内发生的。我们之前讨论过这个问题,当你查看GDP和就业增长时,这也是联邦层面上的一个问题,因为它看起来很多这些工作实际上是虚假的,是政府制造的工作。那么为什么这是一个问题呢?你在加州已经看到,我们面临的问题是,如果你增加了员工数量,在这种情况下是在加州,最近记忆中的所有就业增长都是州政府雇员。副产品是什么?法规增加了。那又是什么副产品呢?实际上没有私营部门的工作,更重要的是,私营部门逃跑了。所以现在让我们把它放大,看看联邦政府。Nick,如果你想展示我发给你的那张图表。令人难以置信的是,J. Cal,政府雇佣的人越多,你看,联邦机构发布的法规数量就持续不断地逐年增加。你不能这样管理一个国家。因为这些东西会累积起来,对吧?国会越来越少地尝试制定国家应该如何运作的框架。这个空白空间被联邦机构填补,正如Freebrook所说。它复合并累积。这不是在取代法律。这些法规都没有失效日期。因此,我认为你可能对美国经济造成了难以置信的限制。我认为美国经济的增长率可以达到4%或5%。但它没有以405%的速度增长的原因就在那张图表中。当你脖子上背着这个包袱时,你不可能达到你的经济潜力。所以我认为狗狗币的真正机会基本上是利用法律来消除这些法规。我们比......把它们全部削减到零,然后找到我们真正需要的那些,然后重新通过,要好得多,而不是这样一点一点地进行。顺便说一句,这产生了一些令人难以置信的想法。Nick,我不知道你能不能找到这条推文,但Doge询问了人们对国税局的看法。有大量的活动基本上说,给我们一个平板税,取消税法。人们对他们愿意支付的税额非常灵活。但你能想象一下税法的简化及其影响吗?顺便说一句,10天前我开始旅行时在新加坡。Nick Beep帮助了我即将说的人的名字,但我与他在那里进行了长时间的会面。我问他处理税收的复杂性,他说,你是什么意思?我们采用非常简单的税制。新加坡没有资本利得。因此,我们的申报要求非常小。但因此,像他这样的人,也就是伟大的企业家,可以把所有时间都花在考虑要建造什么上,而不是如何......不是税务优化。没错,或者如何解释它。那么你能想象一下,如果这些人基本上利用狗狗币作为一种机制来缩小税法,可能创造一个平板税?我知道这必须由国会通过。我明白这一点。但仅仅是把这一切都砍掉,然后通过这个过程找到你真正需要的东西的想法......我认为,可以为美国经济带来100到200个基点的增长。这可能是一场经济复兴。我的意思是,仅仅是把所有法规都取消,你可能会......把一些婴儿和洗澡水一起扔掉,所以为什么不给他们设定一个时钟,然后说,每当这个法令颁布五年后,它就会失效,或者两年后,无论几个月后,然后你就可以让它们chamath每月失效,我认为这是一个好主意,但这必须是每季度一次,我认为这是一个好主意,但jay cal,我认为你首先必须取消所有这些法规,然后说,我们需要什么,我们就重新制定什么。关于五年时限,然后必须在新一届国会任期内更新这一点,我认为这是非常健康的。因为你知道吗?人会死。范式会转变。然后没有人记得这些法规了。你必须进行考古学研究才能弄清楚是谁创造了这个,意图是什么,你永远不会这样做。萨克斯,你永远不会和所有这些规则一起生活。最后一点评论。公平地说,对于这些政府雇员......一件事是,这不是他们的错,对吧?意思是,他们被雇佣到一个制度中,这个制度的激励机制是进行监管,以便你有一些事情可以监督。所以他们做了他们的工作。事实上,我会说他们做得非常好。但关键是,现在我们需要让他们去做一项完全不同的工作。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Dogecoin's potential role in promoting transparency and accountability in government spending is discussed. The focus is on using public platforms to expose wasteful spending and celebrate cost-saving measures, potentially unifying the country and giving taxpayers a sense of control.
  • Audits of government spending are often incomplete, leaving the public unaware of how their tax dollars are used.
  • A leaderboard system could be implemented to publicly shame wasteful spending and celebrate cost-saving measures.
  • Increased transparency and accountability could restore public trust and potentially unify the country.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

I think the easiest thing for them to get done with Doge is the naming, the shaming, the auditing, the transparency of what we're actually spending. Because so many of the audits, Chamath, are just not completed. People don't know what's being spent. And if you show Americans...

a $12,000 hammer or people with job titles not coming into the office or coming into the office one day a week, one day a month, that's gonna infuriate taxpayers. And I think there's a very easy way to navigate all this. You just create the leaderboard and you not only shame people who are wasting our tax dollars, you celebrate the people who are heroes

who start showing frugality and cost saving. And they're going to do this with a leaderboard of the heroes and the goats. This could be the unifying not just the Republican Party as a sax is pointing out, Shamath. I think this could unify the whole country. Is there anybody paying taxes that wants to see money wasted that wants to see us pay people high salaries to not come to work? Shamath, what's your take on the sequence of events here?

What are easy layups that they could actually get done? And then where is the machine going to fight and try to stop this thing? I think you are highlighting something that they can do right away, which I think is very powerful, which is just using these distribution channels that Elon has now to create a massive layer of accountability. I do think that Sunshine is a really incredible platform.

disinfectant, I think the best way that they could start, if possible, is to stop paying their vendors until you actually have some amount of accounting to figure out, as you said, how many $600 soap dispensers are actually being bought and sold now.

That kind of, whatever you want to call that, corruption or grift, it's not going to account for hundreds of billions or trillions of dollars, but I do think that it is a very moral and symbolic win that says we're going to start to get much more rational, and it starts to allow the average American to actually feel like they have a little bit of control and they have a more vested interest

in how the government spends money. But I actually want to take a step back for a second. And before I talk about what Doge can do, I just want to highlight something that's been going on in California, because I think it explains a lot. In California, and I'm just going to read this stat because it's incredible. The regulatory burden in California as a state from 1997 to 2015, this is when the data is available that I found, has increased by almost 50%.

As of May of 2022, there are almost 61,000 individual regulations in the state of California. So what does that mean and where does it come from? And Nick, if you can just put out the tweet, it has happened over a period of time in which the government has been the absolute singular source of employment in the state.

And we talked about this before, where this is also a problem at the federal level when you look at GDP and job growth, because it looks like a lot of these jobs are actually fake, manufactured government type jobs. So why is this a problem? You've seen in California, the issue that we have is that if you have a growth in the number of employees, in this case in California, all the job growth in recent memory,

has been state employees. What is the byproduct? Regulations go up. What is the byproduct of that? There are actually no private sector jobs and more to the point, the private sector flees. So now let's bubble that up and look at the federal government. Nick, if you want to just show that chart that I sent you. What is incredible, J. Cal, is that the more people are hired by the government,

Lo and behold, what do you see? The number of regulations issued by federal agencies has just continued unabated year in, year out. You cannot run a country like this. So because these these accumulate, right? Congress is doing less and less of a job actually trying to frame how the country should work.

That white space is filled in, as Freebrook said, by these federal agencies. It compounds and accumulates. This is not replacing laws. None of these regulations have expiry dates. And so as a result, I think what you probably have is an incredible restraint on the U.S. economy. I think that the U.S. economy could be growing at 4% or 5%.

But the reason that it doesn't grow at 405% is in that one single chart. It is impossible to be able to live up to your economic potential when you have this burden on your neck. So I think the real opportunity for Doge is to basically do whatever it needs to do using the law to wipe as many of these regulations off the books. We are better than...

cutting them all to zero, and then finding the ones we really need, and then repassing those, then we are going at this piecemeal. And there's some incredible ideas, by the way, that this creates. Nick, I don't know if you can find this tweet, but Doge asked what people think of the IRS. And there was an enormous amount of activity that essentially said, give us a flat tax and wipe out the tax code.

And people were very flexible in the amount of tax that they were willing to pay. But could you imagine the simplification in the tax code and the implications of that? I was in Singapore, by the way, 10 days ago when I started my trip. Nick Beep helped the name of the person I'm about to say, but I had a long meeting with who is there. And I was asking him the complexity of

of dealing with taxes, he's like, what do you mean? We pay a very simple tax system. There's no capital gains in Singapore. And so as a result, our filing requirements are de minimisly small. But as a result, people like him, meaning great entrepreneurs,

can spend all their time thinking about what to build, not how to- Not tax optimization. Exactly, or how to account for it. So could you imagine if these guys basically used Doge as a mechanism to shrink the tax code, create a flat tax potentially? I know that that has to be passed by Congress. I understand that. But the idea of just cutting this all the way down and then finding through that process what you actually need

I think, can find America 100, 200 basis points of GDP growth. It could be an economic renaissance. I mean, just to build on that, cutting all the regulations to zero, you might

have throw out some babies in the bathwater so why not put a clock on them and just say whenever this was enacted plus five years and then it rolls off or plus two years whatever number of months and then you could have them chamath rolling off every month i think that's a good idea but it has to be quarterly i think that's a good idea but jay cal i think you first have to cancel all these regulations and then say whatever we need we will reenact

To your point, on a five-year shot clock that then has to be renewed in a new congressional period. And I think that that's extremely healthy. Well, because you know what? People die. Paradigms shift. And then nobody even remembers these regulations. You have to do archaeology to figure out who created this, what was the intent, and you would never do that. You would never live, Sachs, with all of these rules forever. Just one last comment. In fairness to these government employees...

The one thing is that it's not their fault, right? Meaning in the sense that they were hired into a regime where the incentive was to regulate so that you had things to oversee. And so they did their job. In fact, I would say they did their job incredibly well. But the point is that now we need to pivot for them to do a totally different job.