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cover of episode Mad Money w/ Jim Cramer 12/23/24

Mad Money w/ Jim Cramer 12/23/24

2024/12/24
logo of podcast Mad Money w/ Jim Cramer

Mad Money w/ Jim Cramer

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Jim Cramer
通过结合基础分析、技术分析和风险管理,帮助投资者在华尔街投资并避免陷阱的知名投资专家和电视主持人。
Topics
Jim Cramer: 投资纪律比投资信念更重要,即使非常看好一只股票,如果规则要求卖出,就必须卖出。投资规则并非一成不变,而是源于经验总结。基于40年投资经验,总结了一些重要的投资规则,包括:牛市赚钱,熊市赚钱,猪被宰杀(及时获利了结,避免贪婪);及时获利了结,不要因为害怕交税而错过最佳卖出时机;投资亏损时,不要频繁调整,等待明确的信号再做决定;建议退休人员将401(k)投资于低成本的标普500指数基金。投资中犯错不可避免,制定规则来保护自己。不要一次性买入所有股票,应分批买入,以获得更好的价格。区分“受损股票”和“受损公司”,只买入受损股票,而不是受损公司。投资需要做功课,了解公司情况,不要盲目“买入并持有”。投资组合必须多元化,以降低行业风险。投资策略取决于个人时间和偏好,指数基金适合没有时间精力进行个股研究的人。即使公司犯错,如果竞争力弱,也不要轻易放弃。投资时不要恐慌性抛售,要保持冷静,把握反弹机会。市场下跌时,要选择性地抛售股票,集中资金于优质股票。优秀的投资者能够控制自己的情绪,避免冲动决策。不要持有太多股票,专注于少数优质股票。现金是赢家的工具,市场不好时,应持有更多现金。股息再投资是一种有效的策略。投资信息来源广泛,包括各种研究报告。投资时,市盈率并非唯一考虑因素,还要考虑公司增长率和基本面。 Jeff Marks: 与Jim Cramer共同探讨投资策略,并就投资者的提问给出建议。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is discipline important in investing?

Discipline ensures that investors follow rules, even when they are emotionally attached to a stock. Breaking rules can lead to significant losses, as markets are unpredictable and can quickly reverse gains.

What is the 'bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered' rule?

This rule warns against greed in investing. Investors should take profits when they have significant gains, as holding on too long can result in losing all profits, or even more, during market downturns.

Why should investors not fear paying taxes on profits?

Paying taxes on profits is inevitable, and avoiding it can lead to holding onto unsustainable gains. Investors who refuse to take profits due to tax concerns often end up losing all their gains when the market corrects.

What is the importance of buying stocks gradually?

Buying stocks gradually reduces the risk of making a large investment at a peak. It allows investors to average down their cost basis if the stock price declines, which can lead to better returns over time.

How can investors distinguish between damaged stocks and damaged companies?

Damaged stocks are those that have fallen due to market conditions or temporary factors, while damaged companies have fundamental issues that may not be recoverable. Investors should research the underlying business to make this distinction.

Why is doing homework important for stock investors?

Doing homework involves researching companies by listening to conference calls, reading reports, and understanding the business. This helps investors make informed decisions and avoid buying stocks without proper knowledge.

What is the role of diversification in investing?

Diversification reduces sector risk by spreading investments across different industries. This prevents significant losses when one sector underperforms, as seen in tech in 2000 and financials in 2008.

Why should investors avoid panicking during market declines?

Panicking and selling during market declines can lead to missing out on rebounds. Historically, markets have recovered from major declines, and selling in panic often results in locking in losses.

What is the 'he who defends everything defends nothing' rule?

This rule advises investors to focus on their best-performing stocks during market downturns. Holding onto underperforming stocks can lead to significant losses, so it's better to sell them and reinvest in stronger names.

Why should investors avoid owning too many stocks?

Owning too many stocks can dilute returns and make it difficult to manage a portfolio effectively. Focusing on a smaller number of high-quality stocks allows for better research and decision-making.

Chapters
Jim Cramer emphasizes discipline over conviction in investing. He introduces the crucial rule: bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered. He stresses the importance of taking profits and not being greedy, illustrating this with examples from market history and personal experiences.
  • Discipline trumps conviction in investing.
  • Taking profits is crucial to avoid losses.
  • Never be greedy; know when to sell and take profits.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
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Before investing, consider the funds, investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Visit ssga.com for perspectives containing this and other information. Read it carefully. DIA is subject to risks similar to those of stocks. All ATS are subject to risk, including possible loss of principal. Alps Distributors, Inc. Distributor. My mission is simple, to make you money. I'm here to level the playing field for all investors. There's always a bull market somewhere, and I promise to help you find it. Mad Money starts now.

Hey, I'm Kramer. Welcome to Mad Money. Welcome to Kramerica. If you want to make friends, I'm just trying to make you a little money. My job is not just to entertain, but to put it all in context. So call me at 1-800-743-CBC or tweet me at Jim Kramer.

I am constantly on this show telling you that discipline always trumps conviction. I tell it to you over and over and over again. In other words, no matter how much you may love a stock, no matter how enthralled you are with the underlying story, if the rules say sell, you sell it. One thing I've learned from my investing career, no matter how much you might believe in something, you violate the rules of the road at your own peril.

That's why we obey them religiously with the Channel Trust, and they become our core guide for this CMEC investing club, which I want you to be it. But where the heck do these rules come from? It's not like they were handed down from on high and carved into stone tablets. Hey, they're not the lowest five commanders for the history of the world, part one. They're not like the laws of physics. You can't just deduce them from observing the way markets works that you can do, say, gravity. No, the rules come from my experience.

That's right, from my experience. I spent over 40 years in this business, and in that time, you better believe I've learned some powerful lessons. In many cases, I did have to learn them the hard way. And because I don't want you to repeat my mistakes, because I want you to have the benefit of my whole career, tonight I'm going to lay out some of the most important rules for investing, and they are indeed timeless. Some of this stuff may seem basic, but again, you forget the rules in your own peril.

Back in my old hedge fund, I occasionally convinced myself that it was okay to make an exception, to have a cheat day, so to speak, to ignore my discipline just this once. For some reason, this seemed compelling at the time. And whenever I broke my own rules, I almost always got burned. It's like that old joke about the doctor, the guy who goes to the doctor and he says, Hey, doc, doc, listen to me. It hurts when I stretch out and shake my hand around. To which the doctor replies, then don't do that anymore. So...

So what exactly should you be doing or not doing, as the case may be? All right, let's tick down my most important rules for investing. We're going to start with the first one, which is bulls make money. Bears make money.

Pigs? Well, they get slaughtered. Look, I say this all the time because that's because so often in my business I've seen moments where stocks went up and up and up so much that people were intoxicated with their gains. They're like, no, Jesus. However, it's precisely at that point of intoxication that you need to remind yourself that you don't want to act like a pig.

I first heard this phrase in the old trading desk. Legendary Steiner Partners, an amazing old hedge fund. I've been having a big run in some stock, and the brilliant Michael Starnett would tell me that I've made a lot of money, perhaps too much money, and maybe I was being a pig. I had no idea what he was talking about. How do you make too much money? I was just grateful I caught a major gain. Of course, not that long after, we got a vicious sell-off.

And I gave back everything I made and then some. And that's when I enshrined the bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered thesis as one of my own rules. And it's now so deeply ingrained that I got a barnyard full of sound effect buttons to tell the whole story. The bull, the bear, the pig, and of course, the geodude. Just to be clear, bulls don't have a monopoly on piggishness. The same idea applies to investors who press their bets too aggressively on the short side.

We've had some major declines over the years, but other than the dot-com bust in 2000 and the financial crisis in 2008-2009, most stocks bounced back pretty darn quickly. Even in the Fed-induced meltdown that started at the end of 2021, you had to turn positive by the fall of 2022 because if you pushed your luck by staying short too long, you got sent to the slaughterhouse.

So the question is, how do you know when you yourself are being a pig? Look, Leslie, there's no such thing as stupid questions, only stupid answers. But honestly, you really don't need me to tell when you're being a pig. The Nasdaq more than doubled from March of 2020 to November of 2021. If you didn't feel greedy up there, you didn't need an investment advisor. You need a psychiatrist. If you took profits, you sidestepped the huge decline. If you let your winners ride while you gave a lot, if not all the money back.

The financial crisis was even more stark. If you were walking around owning a huge amount of stock in 2008 as the banks started dropping like flies, well, you were beyond piggish.

Why is this rule so important? Simple. One of my chief goals is to help you stay in the game. That's the hardest part of investing. It's holding on through the difficult periods, taking short-term pains so you can have long-term gains, which is what's happened to stock market for a century. The people got wiped out in 2022 or the dot-com collapse before they tended to be the ones who never took anything off the table. They never felt greedy. And their piggishness, well, they never felt it. And so they got slaughtered.

Being cautious and ringing the register near the top ended up keeping you in the dream. Notice I said near, because catching the ultimate top is just so impossible. Just catching near the top, that's great. That's why I remind people every day, have you taken any profits? Have you booked anything? Or are you being a pig? Because you never know when the stocks you own are going to crash. You never know when the market could be wiped out.

You can't have certainty. Stock market doesn't let you have certainty. If you assume stocks will keep going up forever in a straight line, well, you are in for the house of pain. Everyone would own stocks if that were the case. And we know they don't because it's so risky. Sure, there'll be times when stocks just going up and up and up. They just keep going. When I coined the term FANG over a decade ago for Facebook, which became Meta Platforms, Amazon, Netflix and Google, which became Alphabet, I loved them all.

But I did give up on Amazon after an incredible run. I was trying to be disciplined. Yet it did continue to move up another 50%. I did feel, felt like a pig after the stock's extremely proper run. But when I felt like, well, say I felt like a fool after I kept Gallup. You've had the feeling. You know what it's like. That's just the price you have to pay for following the rules. I had been a pig, but the pig kept running. It didn't get slaughtered.

Fortunately, we got back into Amazon for the Chappell Trust when then-President Trump kept bashing them for ripping off the post office. You remember that? Probably even don't. But it was torture to watch it go up without me, and it was terrific to get back in. Now, you need to recognize, though, that for every huge pile of cash that gets left on the table with a situation like Amazon, you're sidestepping gigantic losses that the kind of which you would have had if you had left everything on the table in 2000, 2008, or late 2021. Experiences that turn two generations of investors against stocks, and hopefully I'm trying to preserve the last one.

So never forget, bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs? No. Pigs? Yeah, you get it. And I'm going to keep repeating that forever. I'm going to use the sound effects because it is just that important. How about rule number two? This is one that people, I see them on the street. Almost everyone says this to me when I ask them if they've made some sales. Rule number two is it's okay to pay the tax.

Look, no one ever likes paying taxes. I don't. You don't. But like death, taxes are inevitable and unavoidable. Yet the aversion to paying taxes on stock market winnings often borders on the pathological.

So many times people have gigantic gains, but they simply refuse to take any profits because they don't want to incur taxes that cut into their winnings. Never mind the capital gains rates are pretty darn low versus ordinary income. Wall Street's littered with the broken hearts of investors who made this mistake. Several years ago, for example, I went to a presentation from a prominent hedge fund manager who recommended buying Macy's because of its real estate thing.

The stock had already run a great deal before the presentation, and it was ripe for some profit-taking regardless. But I know people who'd owned it for years with hefty profits, and they did want to ring the register because they would have to write a check to Uncle Sam, and of course they were thinking about how much that real estate was worth. Next thing you know, Macy's saw its stock get cut in half, and it wasn't a two-for-one split. The whole shopping mall space had hit a tipping point courtesy of competition from the Amazon, and the darn thing got obliterated.

Those who didn't want to share their profits with the IRS ended up with no profits at all instead of hoping the stock would go to 100 because it might have a lot of real estate. So I want you to make your peace with the taxman. Some gains are simply unsustainable. A profit on paper is not the same as a profit in your bank account. Gains can be ephemeral. You haven't made any money until you ring the register. The last thing you need is to be worrying about capital gains tax and taxes when it's time to sell.

sell. In short, stop fearing the taxman. Start fearing the lost man. You won't regret it. The bottom line, remember my first two rules. Bulls make money, bears make money, but pigs get slaughtered. Don't be greedy. Be disciplined. And don't be afraid to pay the taxman on profits that you've earned. Let's go to Tyler in California. Tyler.

Hey, Big Blue. I'm from California. How are you doing, Jim? I am doing well. How about you? I am doing good. Thank you, sir. I don't know how many times that I've sold a position and the next day or two watched it reverse. So I'd like to know, when is a good time to just reevaluate and cut my losses? Okay, I think that this is a terrific question. And don't feel bad because it's

I obsess in losses for the travel trust. And I know and I bother Jeff Marks endlessly. We're down on this. We're down. No. What you do is try to look at it once a week. OK, just once, because I don't want you to get down. You're going to miss other opportunities. And what you're looking for is a change at the margin. It's something said on the quarter on the quarterly conference call. It's you don't want to just get up in the morning and say, you know what? I don't like the way that acts. I'm taking the loss. Wait for something definitive. And if there is a bump up.

Don't be afraid to trim the position no matter what. How about Robert in Minnesota? Robert. Hey, Jim. Thanks for taking the call. My pleasure. Yeah, when I retired, my company let me keep my 401, which is in a time-dated fund at the corporate rate, which is very cheap.

But it has limited choices. My question is, should I switch it over to a managed fund with another company like Fidelity or et cetera at a higher standard rate but has more options? Look, I'm big in favor of the S&P 500 as an index fund. I think that'll be terrific. That's what my retirement's in. That's what your retirement should be in. I think that'll be fine. I love diversification. Remember my first two rules. Bulls make money.

Bears make money, but pigs, they get slaughtered. Don't be greedy. Be disciplined. And don't be afraid to pay the tax man on profits you've earned. We love taking profits. Coming up, from portfolio maintenance to learning how to do your homework, I'm hitting my investing rules that I think are the key to mastering this market. You don't want to miss them. So stay with Kramer.

Don't miss a second of Mad Money. Follow at Jim Kramer on X. Have a question? Tweet Kramer. Hashtag Mad Mentions. Send Jim an email to madmoneyatcnbc.com or give us a call at 1-800-743-CNBC. Miss something? Head to madmoney.cnbc.com.

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At the end of the day, we're only human. If you remember only one thing about being an investor, that's it. Nobody's perfect, everyone's fallible, and it's inevitable that we're gonna make mistakes. It's just the nature of the business.

That's why if you want to own individual stocks, you need to follow a set of rules. Rules that are designed to protect you from yourself. Which brings me to my next commandment, and this is a really important one. Never buy all at once. I can't stress it enough. Do not, under any circumstances, buy your whole position at once. This is something you can see us put into practice constantly at the Chattel Trust. One more reason I think you should join the CBC Investing Club shameless promotion. Buy all at once is sheer folly, yet no broker likes to fool around with partial orders.

No financial advisor has the time to buy stocks methodically over time. The game is to get the trade done at one level in a big way. Make the statement buy. Boy, do I hate statement buys. Get to position on the sheets or in the portfolio now. I don't like that either. Where I stand, it's all wrong. 100% wrong. You should never buy all at once and you should never sell all at once. Instead, I need you to stage your buys, work your orders, try to get the best price over time. Why? Okay, when I first started as a professional money manager,

I really wanted to prove to everyone just how clever and smart I was and how right I would be. So if I felt like buying, say, Caterpillar, okay, I said, by golly, I'll buy it now. Big. All at once. Make a statement. Because I was so sure of how right I was. Put me up on 50,000 cat, I'd scream, as if I were the smartest guy in the universe. When I think back about that young Kramer, mostly full head of hair, by the way, all I can say is that I was one arrogant son of a gun. Arrogant and wrong. What was my mistake? If you want

If you want to buy 50,000 shares of Caterpillar, you don't pick them all at once. That's pure hubris. What happens if it goes down? You feel like a dope. And it might go down. That's my rule. Never buy all at once. Instead, I should have bought Cat in increments of, say, 5,000 shares gradually over time during that day, trying to get the best price I could. You put it in a small position, then you cross your fingers, hope it goes down so you can buy more.

at a lower level to get a better cost basis. You know what I said? I don't mind when a stock goes down if I can buy more. Now, I no longer trade institutionally, as you know. I no longer, say, trade in size, as we used to call it. Probably still do. But I still invest in my travel trust. And whenever we have a new name, we buy in small increments, say 500 shares at a time to get, say, a 2,000-share position over the course of multiple days, preferably, again, at lower prices. That's right. We like it if our stocks go down so we can get an even better cost basis.

And we lay out this whole process to members of the club. It makes sense. When you buy all at once, you're basically declaring that the stock absolutely won't go any lower. I mean, come on, that's crazy. Nobody has that kind of insight all the time. Buying gradually in stages is about recognizing that our judgment is fallible. So why don't more people do it my way? Why don't investors, if they want 500 shares in ExxonMobil, decide to buy it on 100 share income? Why won't they?

I think it's because they want to be big, too. They don't want to waste the broker's time. Your broker wants to get the trade done. I know why brokers hate it when my old hedge fund would place incremental orders. But it's just plain hubris to put a major chunk of your net worth into any stock all at once. Who knows? Maybe it will go into free fall. And, of course, this doesn't just apply to having a broker. It applies just to electronic trading, too.

At the same time, many others simply want to pull the trigger on the whole position and then get it over with. They don't want to agonize over each increment. Wrong again. That's why you need to resist feeling like you're making a statement buy when you purchase a stock. I've bought and sold billions of shares of stock in my time, both for my old hedge fund and for my chapel trust. Do you know how often I got in the absolute bottom? How often the last price I paid was the lowest and then it was off to the races? I mean, maybe one trade in 100? And I'm pretty good at this game.

So resist the arrogance. Buy slowly. Even buy over a couple of days if you have to, as I do for the Chapel Trust. Humility beats hubris every time. Next rule. I need you to buy damaged stocks, not damaged companies. Let's say the mall's having a sale, and you pick up a piece of merchandise, only to find out that it's broken when you get home. Maybe it doesn't work. Maybe there's a hole in it. In the real world, you can return that merchandise and get your money back. There are guarantees and warranties galore on Main Street.

Wall Street is different. If you buy a stock that turns out to be a defective company, yeah, it ain't the losses. There's no money-back guarantee. Caveat emptor. And that's why you need to be very careful to distinguish between broken stocks, names that are down for no particularly good reason, and broken companies, which absolutely deserve to see their stocks trade lower. Sometimes damaged companies can be easier to discern. I mean, look, when nearly everybody got their COVID vaccinations,

and we put the pandemic in the rearview mirror, all sorts of COVID winners fell by the wayside. Some of them were unfairly punished, but many of them got obliterated because a big chunk of their business disappeared, as we knew it would happen.

Take Zoom Video, a company that took the world by storm during the worst days of the pandemic, to the point where it became, well, let's say, the very name. It became a verb. We would Zoom, just like we Googled. But once we got quality vaccines, the growth opportunity evaporated, and the company struggled to use all the money it made during the pandemic to pivot into something else. They had a huge cash position. Then gradually, its competitors caught up. Very tough to go up against Microsoft and Google and Cisco. Zoom Video, a company that took the world by storm during the worst days of the pandemic,

Zoom only plunged from 588 at its all-time high in October of 2020 down to the mid-70s less than two years later. There were points on the way down where people assumed it had to be a bargain. But every time they did, they got burned.

Because you can't call a bottom in a stock that's in free fall if the business is changing and getting slower. We saw something very similar with all the financial tech stocks that had roared during the period of ultra-low interest rates that coincide with the pandemic. Lots of buy now, pay later outfits. Affirm, which is one of the better ones. But once the Federal Reserve warned that it would start rapidly raising interest rates, the whole business model was called into question, and this group was annihilated. The worst of these was a company called Upstart.

which is merely supposed to facilitate loans, but they started leaving many of these loans what's known as on the balance sheet, just as the Fed caused the recurring risk to skyrocket. The stock plummeted, get this, from just over 400 at its late 2021 peak down

down to the low T's less than two years later, before eventually rebounding somewhat from its lows. On the other hand, sometimes the stock will sell off for reasons that have nothing to do with the underlying company. It could be caused by ETFs or problems overseas or Washington worries. Just because the stock is down doesn't necessarily mean that there's anything wrong with the underlying business. Damaged stock, not damaged company. So how do you distinguish between a broken company and a broken stock? Complicated. Complicated question.

What I like to do is develop a list of stocks I like very much. I call this the bullpen of my investing club charitable trust portfolio. We give you the bullpen all the time. When Wall Street throws a sale with a whole market coming down, we use that as an opportunity to pick up the stocks on our list, made in the calm of no trading versus the battlefield of when the market's open. We know these stocks ahead of time, so we know there's nothing wrong with the underlying companies because we've done the research ahead. But the bottom line is you never really know

That's why this rule works in tandem with the last one. Never buy a position all at once because what you think is merely a damaged stock might turn out to be a damaged company. If you take your time, you're much more likely, much less likely to end up with a large quantity of broken merchandise. And remember, there's no money back guarantee. The word on the street is caveat amateur. Mad money's back after the break.

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If you want to build a portfolio of individual stocks, that's a big if, since there's nothing wrong with getting all of your equity exposure from a cheap index fund that mirrors the S&P 500. Well, you've got to be rigorous about it, which brings me to my next rule. Do the homework. Listen, growing up, my kids hated doing the homework. They thought it was punishment. Sometimes when I looked at what they were studying, I could see where they were coming from. I mean, what's the relevance of most of the things they teach in high school? How will it help you later in life?

Why even bother? Of course, that's a terrible attitude. As a parent, I always encourage my kids to study because you never know what you'll turn out to be interested in later in life. But I bring this up because I think many of you have the same attitude to the homework you need to do in your stocks. You suspect it might be just as irrelevant to your portfolio as schoolwork seemed to my kids. When I tell people that they need to listen to the, let's say, Starbucks conference call or know what the analysts are expecting from Netflix, they don't want to hear it.

They think I'm being a scold, but that's not true. You need to do the work if you're going to own those kinds of stocks. When I remind people that doing the homework means listening to the conference calls, reading research reports, they want no part of it. They look at me as if I'm some sort of old-fashioned teacher who's asking for way too much in this busy 21st century world. That's just plain wrong. Owning stocks without doing the proper research, frankly, is a lunacy. But people still do it, and they do it for a couple of different reasons.

On the one hand, there's the buy and hold school of thought. The idea that you don't really need to do any work. You don't have to keep track of what's happening at the company because, hey, you're in it for the long haul, so what? On the other hand, you got people who just don't have the time to be diligent. For those of you who don't have the time, I got a simple solution. Get someone else to manage your money, for heaven's sake. Or do what most experts tell you to do and invest in a low-cost S&P 500 index fund. Or there is a third option. Find someone else to help you do the homework for you while teaching you to be your own portfolio manager.

which is what we do with the CBC Investing Club. And I still urge members to do as much of their homework as they can. The truth is, if you can't devote a couple of hours per week to your portfolio, you really shouldn't be messing around with individual stocks unless you join the investing club, which is what we're meant for. Investing may not be a full-time job like trading, but it's definitely a part-time hobby. That said, it's the buy-and-hold premise that's a lot more pernicious.

Back during the 1990s, buy and hold became the be-all and end-all of all investing. You know what? I'm just going to own the buy and hold on to my CMGI because it's got to go back to 100 where I bought it. Yeah, I mean, the experts told you that if you hold things for the long term, everything will work out. Of course, I went to zero. This philosophy took a real blow during the financial crisis when so many people who practice buy and hold

got obliterated. That was easy. Buy and hold became popular again during the pandemic. It keeps popping up anytime there's just a nice smooth period. When the market was flooded with cheap money and almost everything worked, right? I mean, made all that money and buy, buy, buy. Once again, though, it got you burned when the Fed finally started tightening in 2022 and the cheap money just vanished. A lot of people who bought and held the SPACs got crushed because there was nothing worth holding. That was just a travesty, the SPACs.

That's why I've always been evangelist for a new concept, which is buy and homework instead.

What is the homework, though? Before you buy a stock, you should listen to conference calls. Go to the company's website. I really like that. I haven't started with that lately. Read the research if you can get a hold of research. Read the news stories. That's called Google. Everything's available on the web. Everything. You have so much more info available now, so much more knowledge that there's really no excuse. You aren't up there begging at the Goldman Sachs library for some micro-fee statement from three months ago as I did four decades ago right down the block here.

You have everything right at your fingertips. But if you fall back on a buy and hold strategy for any group of stocks and don't pay attention, I can assure you that you'll be soundly beaten by professional money managers with good track records who are actively searching for high quality stocks all the time. More to the point, I'm quite certain that any index fund can beat someone who does no homework, which is why so many experts tell you give up on individual stocks and put your money in a cheap S&P 500 index fund. Buy and hold.

Buy and hold is not a strategy. Like I said, I am in favor of index funds for those who don't have the time, the predilection. The next rule is another essential that I harp on constantly. Diversify, diversify, and diversify. Always be diversified. That controls risk. And managing risk is really the holy grail of this business. What's the biggest risk out there? It's called sector risk. Stocks in the same industry, they tend to trade together, especially at extreme moments. In the old days, only about 50% of the action in a given sector came down to this, in a given stock.

came down to the sector. But thanks to the rise of sector ETFs, that number's gotten much, much higher. In some cases, like 80%, 90%.

I don't care how great a tech stock was in 2000. If you had all your eggs in that one basket, you got scrambled. I've got to prevent that. Same with the financials in 2008. I've got to prevent that. The oils in 2014 through 2016. And, of course, tech during that discrete period in 2022 that was so horrible. And there's only one thing that can keep you from getting nailed by sector risk, and that is diversification.

I always say that diversification is the only free lunch in this business. It's the only investment concept that works for everyone. If you mix up enough different sectors in your portfolio, at least five, well, I'll tell you, you won't be wiped out when the one group gets obliterated. Suddenly it happens far more often than you might think. But if diversification is such a no-brainer, if every advisor and commentator under the sun has been telling people to do it for years, how can anyone still be undiversified?

I think it comes back to the homework issue. A lot of people simply don't know what stocks they own. They don't understand what the companies do. So they end up with stocks that are very similar. I mean, they don't understand that one is a disk drive company and the other is a semiconductor stock. It just drives me crazy. Hey, you know what? Also, others have zero respect for the history of the bear and how it attacks individual sectors.

I still feel quite a few calls from people who genuinely think that owning FAANG is a diversified strategy. Hardly. With Facebook now meta platforms, Amazon, Netflix, and Google now, you own variations of the same thing. Social, mobile, cloud, they trade together. That's what I call FAANG.

Faux diversification. Having an undiversified portfolio is not just an amateur mistake, though. Many professionals don't like to be diversified because of the bizarre way the money management business works in this country. If you concentrate all your bets in one sector, that sector takes off. Well, you pretty much beat everybody right then who's in a diversified fund.

That is the nature of the beast, even though I think it's ill-founded. It's why Cathie Wood of ARK Invest could be the best money manager of 2020, then far from the best in 2021 and among the worst 2022. Her flagship ARK Innovation Fund went almost all in on high-risk growth stocks. That's not diversified. And those all stocks, they tend to trade as a group.

But that one huge year in 2020 made her a household name. And once you're a household name, well, you do get it made in this business. Don't get me wrong. I have no beef with Captain Wood. She's great at picking high-risk growth stocks, and she's never claimed to be running a diversified portfolio, not once. I just want you to be aware that when you go all in on a diversified portfolio, it is likely to blow up in your face a couple times in, I don't know, a few years' time.

Here's the bottom line. Whether you're an amateur or professional, you always need to do your homework and keep your portfolio diversified. This is the kind of routine maintenance that protects you from monster losses down the line. Remember, if you can keep your losses to a minimum and let your gains run, you almost always come out ahead. But don't try to rationalize those losses because stocks don't always come back to even or anywhere near that. Let's go to Trey in Texas. Trey.

Jim, the second greatest investor of all time, Warren Buffett, says individual investors like me should just buy the S&P. My question for you is, what does the greatest investor of all time think we should buy? Well, first, I'm no Warren Buffett. I'm a TV guy who tries to do his best to teach you. I

But I thank you for that. Here's what I have to say. I think it depends on your time and predilection. I think you put away your first $10,000 in an index fund. If you like picking stocks, let's do it well together. Join the CNBC Investing Club. If you don't like picking stocks, then let someone else do it for you. But if you want to be involved, I will help teach you to be a good investor. I can do that. I've done it for a very long time. And fortunately, I've been very successful. Let's go to Anne in Indiana. Anne.

Hi, Jim. Thanks for taking my call. You're quite welcome, ma'am. What's up? I'm a club member, but I've been thinking about this lately, and I wondered if you could talk more about suspending our judgment.

And letting the market take a stock up, even when a CEO does something they said they're not going to do, or a company makes a bunch of mistakes, but they have very little competition, or a CEO makes big mistakes that seem to take a long time to fix. Well...

This is a tough, tough one, Ann, because I've made this mistake. I've stuck with people for too long. I keep thinking, give me another try. Almost every case, it hasn't been worth it. Almost every single case, including situations I'm in now. All right, whether you're an amateur or professional, you always need to do your homework and keep your portfolio diversified.

There's much more ahead. I'm putting my four decades of experience to work, sharing the key rules we follow for the CBC Investing Club. Think of it as a glimpse behind the curtain if you're not a member. So stay with Cramer. I don't want to go all zen in the art of portfolio maintenance on you, but when it comes to managing your own money, you are often your own worst enemy. Don't take it personally. I'm my own worst enemy, too.

If you want to invest wisely, you constantly need to be fighting off your own worst impulses. We're not robots. We have emotions, and those emotions can really throw you off your game. Which brings me to my next rule for investing. Nobody ever made a dime by panicking.

Panic is not a strategy. People do it constantly. A stock gets hammered, then investors sell after the hammering. The market gets crushed on a huge down day. People bail at the end of the day. In short, something gets annihilated and people can't take the pain. So what do they do? They bolt. There's something instinctive about panic, about the desire to flee. If you're a Stone Age hunter-gatherer who accidentally stumbles into a family of grizzly bears, panic is a very helpful strategy. But

but it's not useful emotion when you're investing in the stock market. The truth is, there will always be a better time to sell than whatever moment inspired you to panic in the first place. And don't I know it. Remember the spring of 2020 when COVID hit? Everything shut down. The whole stock market collapsed. The S&P 500 lost a third of its value in a little over a month.

And for months after, almost everybody in the business was convinced the world was ending. That April, though, legendary market historian Larry Williams gave us the all clear. He was looking at other countries and realized we'd mostly be out of lockdown by mid-May. He told you to buy into the teeth of the panic, not flee with the panickers. Sure enough, the S&P was making new highs again by the summer. And once the vaccines came along that November, well, the market just never looked back.

So the next time there's a big market-wide sell-off and you feel like fleeing and never touching a stock again, I want you to do something for me. I want you to take the opposite side of your own trade. The most rewarding trades you can make are those where the decks have been cleared out by terrified folks using market orders who just don't get that the exit doors aren't as big as they think they are.

Mind you, I am absolutely not saying that every stock that gets hit with a panic sell-off is worth buying for the long term. Often when people freak out about an individual company, it's with good reason. But I am saying that after a big decline, you usually get some kind of bounce, which gives you a better moment to sell if that's what you want to do.

Even when things are really bad, bargain hunters will usually take it up from its lows. And that's when you get out. So the next time you want to dump everything, take a deep breath and wait for the rebound before you sell. Hey, speaking of hideous down days, I got another rule that can help you handle big declines. Ready? When the stock market gets unrelentingly negative, remember that he who defends everything defends nothing. It was when Frederick the Great said that centuries ago.

And you know what? It's just as true now. So he who defends everything defends nothing. What exactly does it mean? It's about how you evaluate your holdings. When the market's flying and many stocks are in bull mode, you don't need to worry about most of your positions. The more exposure to a bull market, well, let's just say the better. But when things get difficult, when you're on the defensive, you need to recognize that many of the stocks you bought during better times

might not fit this new environment. In short, when the economy is slowing and the market is getting slammed, you can't hang on to everything you might like. If you try to defend all your positions in a market that turns against you, that's a recipe for getting blown out. And when I say defend, I mean you can't treat a declining market like it's a buying opportunity in every single stock in your portfolio. If you do that, you'll quickly run out of capital, leaving you unprepared to buy more if we go lower still.

And we usually do. Yep. When the market gets negative, you need to get more selective and focus your efforts. That's why I rank all my travel trust stocks at all times for investing club members. Once you're stuck by right now, twos are stuck by the weakness and threes. Well, threes are outright sellers.

Sometimes it is some strength, but if you can get out, it's good. That way I'll know which socks I should defend when things get tough and which ones I'll cut and run with and use that as a source of capital for something better. So let's say tech's getting hammered.

But you think it's going to rebound. It's important that you don't try to hang on to the whole complex. Pick the best tech stocks, the ones you want to buy in the weakness and toss out the rest to raise cash. Use those newfound cash reserves to buy the stocks of higher quality tech companies at lower prices. That's right. The non-essentials, the ones that have no catalyst and that you only owned because you wanted exposure to a bull market.

They get to heave ho immediately when things turn bad. Sell, sell, sell. We used to call this circling the wagons around your best names in my old hedge fund. The first few times you do it, you'll curse yourself because you might be ending up putting down stocks that you've loved for quite some time. But eventually, after you experience enough difficult markets, you'll realize just how valuable this process is because it can protect you from a lot of pitfalls.

The House of Pain.

fight human nature, tooth and nail, hammer and tongs, or any of those other cliche phrases that went out of style ages ago, but still sound really solid. The bottom line, great investors know how to ignore their emotions when those emotions get in the way of making money. So the next time the market gets slammed, please don't panic. Nobody ever made a dime by panicking.

but also don't double down on your whole portfolio into weakness. Vicious negative markets can give you buying opportunities, but you need to focus your capital on your absent favorites rather than chasing bargains and third-rate merchandise that actually deserves to trade lower. Mad Money is back, back after the break.

Welcome back to tonight's Check Yourself Before You Wreck Yourself edition of Mad Money. I'm a big believer in the idea that once you get some money saved up, you are in control of your own financial destiny. But that also means you need to be very careful because you're the one with the most power to derail your financial future.

Look, mistakes will always be part of the investing game. I just want to do my best to ensure that you don't make the same mistakes twice or three times or endlessly. That's why I got rules. Rules for investing protect you from the kind of misjudgments I used to make when I was young and inexperienced. The same rules we preach constantly in the CMEC Investing Club.

Rules like don't own too many stocks. Back at my old hedge fund, I would spend three hours every day analyzing the mistakes of the day before. I'm not kidding. One reason I'd retire, at least for my own well-being. That was a major task, one that I complete every morning before anyone else came into the office, generally between 4 a.m. and 7 a.m. Some people are night owls. I'm an early morning owl.

I would analyze every losing trade. You don't need to analyze the winners. They take care of themselves, right? And then try to figure out how I could have, let's say, made more money or lost less money, more importantly. I was, for lack of a better word, maniacal about it. And after a couple of years, I had an epiphany. I realized that good performance could be linked directly to having fewer positions, owning fewer stocks. In short, when we own fewer stocks, we tended to make more money.

That's why, ever since, I won't buy a stock without first taking a different one off the table, even for my travel trust, which is the only way I can play these days. Yet, don't just buy shares in more and more companies. You need to limit your holdings. That's a great discipline, and you should adopt it pronto. All the bad money managers I know have hundreds of positions. How the

How the heck are you even supposed to keep track of all that? All the really good managers I know have a few names, and they know inside and out those names, which means they can confidently buy them on the way down. That's why I say, please don't own too many stocks. I know it can be constraining. You'll end up selling some stocks that are good for stocks that

aren't as good. It does happen. Hey, hindsight is 20-20. But take it from me. As someone who owns stocks for over 40 years, it's far more likely that you'll be selling marginal companies in order to get better, bigger, and in better stocks. That's how to make a portfolio really work for you. Hey, by the way, the time I lost the most money as a hedge fund manager, my sheets, that's my position sheets, were thick as a brick.

When I made the most money, my sheets were, well, one sheet of paper, double space. And I ran hundreds of millions of dollars. So please remember, when you're a pro or an amateur, okay, either one, it's always possible to have too many positions. Rule of thumb, if you're just investing for yourself and you own more than 10 stocks, you should probably pair something back. So you can have too many stocks. But you know what it's very hard to have too much of? Cash.

Which brings me to my next rule. Cash is for winners. The widespread aversion to cash in this business breaks my heart. At times, cash is such a perfect investment that it drives me crazy how so few people ever recommend it. Nah, they hate the market, so they're only 95% long instead of 100%. Or they think the market stinks, so they decide to short a few high flyers against their longs. No, no, no.

As an investor, that is absolutely the wrong way to approach things. You don't like the market? You don't like any stocks? Then sell stocks. Sell, sell, sell, sell, sell. Measure one, as much as you want, and then raise some cash. Put it in cash. Don't buy put options on the stocks you own or find other stocks that are short to get your current positions. That's just that stuff that makes it. It's just too hard for you. The odds simply do not favor you winning on both stocks, the short and the long. It's a strategy whose goal is mediocrity.

But if you can raise some cash and put it to work at lower levels, that's the best way to protect yourself against a lousy market. Let me tell you a little story. I was one of the biggest options traders on Wall Street for a time, and I can tell you that when I bought put options to hedge my positions, I almost always lost money.

When did I make money? When I bought put options to profit from low-quality companies with shortfalls or stocks that seem severely overvalued versus the fundamentals. If you dislike the market, you don't need to bend yourself into a pretzel to hedge against downside risk. Just sell some stocks and go into cash, which is literally short-term treasuries of the less-than-a-year variety.

People start talking about how little cash earns, although it's a lot more lucrative when the Fed's tightening. Or they say it can't be in cash. That's for losers. No, that's just plain wrong. I say cash is for winners, especially if you think that there's a major disaster ahead. And I don't care what interest you earn on that cash. Now, I grew up in a different time.

I only shorted stocks when I had an edge. I can't short it all right now by contract, not even for the travel trust. Back when I could, I didn't short stocks just for sake of having some short exposure to balance out my longs. I don't care about not having enough exposure. I care about losing money. I was an exception in the money management business. That was my focus. So if you don't like the market, if you think there's nothing compelling to buy into weakness, then just raise cash.

Go sit on the sidelines and wait for the situation to improve. Believe me, it's never the wrong call. When you don't like a taper, you can't find anything that truly makes sense for you. The bottom line, always be careful not to own too many stocks and not to have too little cash. Stick with Kramer.

Good evening, Mr. Kramer. Thank you. Thank you for everything you do. You've been such a wonderful source of information with your teachings. I have to say thanks. Thank you for all your advice and saving us from ourselves. Your advice let me quit a job that I hated. I love you to death. Thank you for everything you do. Thanks for making us money. And more importantly, thanks for keeping us from losing money.

I always say my favorite part of the show is answering questions directly from you. Tonight, I'm bringing in Jeff Marks, my portfolio analyst partner in crime. Help me answer some of your most burning questions, who usually have some tough ones. For those of you who are part of the investing club, Jeff will need no introduction. For those of you who aren't, I hope you will be soon. I would say that Jeff's insight and our back and forth helped me to do a great job

for Mad Money viewers as well as members of the club. Jeff and I do this sort of thing during all our monthly meetings where we give you an in-depth look at our latest portfolio decisions. We talk about every single stock and answer your burning questions. If you like this to be something to keep up with, I need you to join the club. And thank you, by the way, to people who stop me on the street who love the club. It means the world to me.

So let's start with a question from Michael, my home state of Pennsylvania, who asks, what do you think about dividend reinvestment strategies? Okay, so Jeff, one of the first things I learned and what I taught at Goldman Sachs was it's one of the great free lunches of our business.

You just keep letting it ride. And I have seen in my lifetime the dramatic amount of money you make from the dividend reinvestment. Yeah, absolutely. That's how you take advantage of the power of compounding, by reinvesting those dividends quarter after quarter. Now, unless you need the income, of course, depending on where you are,

in your life, that may be a reason not to. But always reinvest. And it works for high dividend stocks like a consumer packaged goods stock or even tech stocks too that offer a dividend. It's a good thing to have. It's another way to dollar cost average into positions as well. Yes. I mean, I remember going over this with my late father where he was adamant you just take the money and run.

And I tried to show him and managed to convince him, no, take the money and be back in, reinvest. Now we're taking a question from John in California who asks, what are your sources of information related to stocks and the overall market economy, sources that you go to daily? All right, well, look, I make no bones about it. We have all the research in the world.

And it's one of the great things, the luck that we have is we get everybody's research. And I tend to let that control things. As, by the way, when I do the Man Dash and I talk about what may be the most important research calls of the day. So we're blessed with that. All right, now let's go to Nino in Maryland who asks, is there a P multiple that we won't buy above in each sector? Well, this is really tricky because when you're in tech, we have to use out years.

So, for instance, NVIDIA, if I had discipline and said that I wouldn't pay more than 20 times earnings, I would have kept out of NVIDIA for a decade because NVIDIA is about future earnings. Yeah, and I think you also have to look at a company's growth rate, too. It's all relative. PE is so you can compare the growth rates relative to their multiples. I don't think there's necessarily one that would keep me out. But also, on the other hand, you can't look at a low multiple in two and say that's a good bargain because sometimes there's value drafts.

Value traps, they're a low multiple for a reason. They could have declining earnings or there just might be another issue fundamentally at the company. That's a great point. I mean, when people look at the automobile stocks, they've historically had very low multiples and just trade on dividends. If they ever really got the growth of a Tesla, this stock should be tripled. So anyway, thank you, Jeff. I'd like to say there's always bull market somewhere. Promise you're going to find it just for you right here on Mad Money. I'm Jim Cramer. See you next.

All opinions expressed by Jim Cramer on this podcast are solely Cramer's opinions and do not reflect the opinions of CNBC, NBCUniversal, or their parent company or affiliates, and may have been previously disseminated by Cramer on television, radio, internet, or another medium.

You should not treat any opinion expressed by Jim Cramer as a specific inducement to make a particular investment or follow a particular strategy, but only as an expression of his opinion. Cramer's opinions are based upon information he considers reliable, but neither CNBC nor its affiliates and or subsidiaries warrant its completeness or accuracy, and it should not be relied upon as such. To view the full Mad Money Disclaimer, please visit cnbc.com forward slash madmoneydisclaimer.

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