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cover of episode 34. Mutiny in the Russian Ranks?

34. Mutiny in the Russian Ranks?

2023/3/17
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Battleground

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Patrick Bishop
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Saul David
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Saul David 和 Patrick Bishop:对乌克兰在巴赫穆特持续作战的战略逻辑进行分析,探讨其背后是精明计划还是出于宣传目的。同时,分析俄罗斯对乌克兰民用电力基础设施的导弹袭击,以及俄罗斯军队中出现的哗变和逃兵现象。他们还讨论了历史上的类似战役,如斯大林格勒战役和凡尔登战役,并分析了这些战役与巴赫穆特战役的相似之处。 他们还讨论了俄罗斯军方领导层可能故意消耗瓦格纳部队和精英部队以削弱普里戈津影响力的可能性,以及乌克兰争取时间使得通往克拉马托尔斯克的道路难以通行的说法。 最后,他们还讨论了对乌克兰基础设施的导弹袭击,以及俄罗斯军队中出现的哗变和逃兵现象,并对这些事件进行了分析和解读。 Patrick Bishop:详细分析了乌克兰在巴赫穆特战场上取得的成果,指出尽管代价巨大,但似乎正在奏效,给俄罗斯军队造成了重大伤亡。同时,他还分析了俄罗斯军队面临的困境,包括后勤压力、医院超负荷以及瓦格纳集团不再允许招募俄罗斯囚犯等问题。 他还分析了俄罗斯对乌克兰基础设施的导弹袭击,认为其具有表演性,效果有限,并与二战期间德国的V1和V2导弹袭击进行了比较。 最后,他还讨论了俄罗斯军队中出现的哗变和逃兵现象,并对这些事件进行了分析和解读。 其他发言人:John Mearsheimer认为俄罗斯将赢得这场消耗战,乌克兰应该重启谈判;Phillips O'Brien认为俄罗斯对乌克兰基础设施的导弹袭击是俄罗斯战略和军事失败的标志;伊利亚·波诺马连科对乌克兰继续在巴赫穆特作战的决定提出了质疑。

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The podcast discusses Ukraine's decision to continue fighting for Bakhmut, despite high costs, and questions whether it's a strategic move or a propaganda tactic. They also consider the impact of heavy Russian casualties and the strategic implications for both sides.

Shownotes Transcript

In the latest episode of Battleground Ukraine, Saul and Patrick consider the logic of Ukraine’s decision to continue fighting for the city of Bakhmut, and they discuss reports that elements of the Russian armed forces – including the elite Spetsnaz special forces - are suffering high desertions rates and, in some instances, are mutinying in the face of certain death. They also discuss listeners thoughts and questions.

If you have any thoughts or questions, you can send them to - [email protected]

Producer: James Hodgson

Twitter: @PodBattleground

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