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cover of episode 69.  Tensions between NATO and Kyiv?

69. Tensions between NATO and Kyiv?

2023/7/14
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Battleground

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Patrick Bishop
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Saul David
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Patrick Bishop: 本周北约峰会在维尔纽斯举行,虽然承诺继续大力支持乌克兰,但就乌克兰加入北约的时间表上没有取得进展。这反映出西方国家内部以及西方国家与乌克兰之间存在紧张关系。美国和英国都暗示乌克兰应该对西方提供的援助表示更多感激。 乌克兰反攻进展缓慢,伤亡惨重,但也有迹象表明在巴赫穆特等地取得了一些进展。弹药短缺是乌克兰军队面临的一个严重问题。俄罗斯则能够有效地干扰乌克兰无人机。 西方国家在提供远程导弹和先进无人机方面存在犹豫,反而提供了集束炸弹,这并非理想的解决方案。法国承诺向乌克兰提供SCALP巡航导弹。 关于瓦格纳事件,普里戈津似乎已经得到普京的原谅,并获得了新的工作机会。 土耳其放松了对瑞典加入北约的反对。 Saul David: 北约峰会就支持乌克兰达成了共识,同意提供多年援助计划、建立北约-乌克兰协调委员会,并取消乌克兰加入北约的成员行动计划(MAP),这加快了乌克兰加入北约的进程。七国集团也签署了联合声明,承诺向乌克兰提供支持。 乌克兰反攻进展缓慢,但这是因为乌克兰的作战方式与俄罗斯不同,更注重减少人员伤亡。 乌克兰在巴赫穆特的行动可能具有宣传意义,但其战略价值有限。 俄罗斯军队在克里米纳地区集结,这可能是美国向乌克兰提供集束弹药的原因之一。 关于俄罗斯内部局势,一些俄罗斯高层人士可能试图推翻普京,结束战争。 但不太可能将普京移交给国际刑事法院。 乌克兰战争对未来军事战略和武器装备的影响,传统武器系统仍然重要,不能仅仅依赖新技术。

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The NATO summit concluded with firm pledges of military support for Ukraine but no movement on NATO membership. Tensions were evident between NATO members and Kyiv, with demands for more gratitude from Ukraine. Despite these tensions, NATO agreed to a three-part package to support Ukraine, including a multi-year assistance program and the creation of a NATO-Ukrainian Coordination Council.

Shownotes Transcript

Reflecting on what has been news packed week, Patrick and Saul analyse the important developments. In Vilnius, the NATO summit has just ended with some signs that tensions are growing between leading Nato members and Kyiv, on the battlefield there are reports that Ukrainian forces are suffering heavy casualties as the counteroffensive grinds on, but there are indications that progress is being made. And as we’ve come to expect there have been more fascinating twists in the Wagner saga – with reports that Prigozhin himself has had a cosy chat with the Vladmir Putin, to discuss his future employment.

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