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cover of episode Ready, Set . . . Go!

Ready, Set . . . Go!

2023/8/4
logo of podcast Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen

Beyond the Polls with Henry Olsen
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D
Dante Scala
D
Dave Weigel
K
Karlyn Bowman
R
Ruy Teixeira
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戴夫·魏格尔认为，特朗普在共和党初选中取得巨大领先优势，是因为共和党内部建立起一套机制，允许人们忽视他的负面新闻。共和党长期以来默许这种做法，将特朗普塑造成最具魅力和当选潜力的候选人。即使面对指控和败选，共和党也倾向于质疑其合法性。魏格尔还指出，对特朗普的起诉可能对他的筹款产生积极影响，因为共和党人普遍认为这些指控是无效的，是对亨特·拜登调查的干扰。一些富有的特朗普捐助者正在转向其他共和党候选人，但大部分捐助者仍然认为这些调查是无效的，因此值得资助特朗普的辩护。魏格尔认为，如果特朗普把所有钱都花在法律辩护上，他就无法在共和党选民面前为自己辩护，这可能会影响他的竞选。然而，他认为特朗普的知名度很高，其他候选人需要花钱来提高知名度，而特朗普已经家喻户晓，不需要像其他候选人那样努力工作。关于特朗普法律辩护的新闻反而会提醒共和党选民特朗普正在竞选总统，并且“深层政府”不希望他获胜。魏格尔认为，其他候选人只有在爱荷华州的初选结果非常接近的情况下，才有可能在全国范围内对特朗普构成威胁。一些共和党人认为特朗普疏远了太多人，但这并不是所有共和党人的共识。魏格尔认为，要挑战特朗普，其他候选人需要提出超越特朗普的论点，而不是仅仅攻击他。特朗普的竞选仍然有可能失败，因为意外事件可能会发生，候选人可能会犯错误。

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Chapters
Dave Weigel discusses Trump's lead in polls due to the Republican Party's structure built around him and the permission structure that allows for his dominance.

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Presidential election season is approaching. Thankfully Henry Olsen and his guests are back to provide detailed examination of the facts, figures, twists and turns that will whittle down today's crowded field. We'll be going beyond the polls!Today we're hearing from Semafor's Dave Weigel to assess the Republican Rumble; we'll take a Democratic Deep Dive with Ruy Teixeira, politcal editor of **The Liberal Patriot; AEI's Karlyn Bowman joins to guage the Polling Barometer; and Dante Scala, professor of political science at the University of New Hampshire, give us the State of Play for that oh-so-important primary battleground.Join us as we go... Beyond the Polls!