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cover of episode Government Shutdown Deadline; Fed Fueled Selloff on Wall Street

Government Shutdown Deadline; Fed Fueled Selloff on Wall Street

2024/12/19
logo of podcast Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
People
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Bill Ferrys
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Claudia Somm
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Dan Hanson
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Jeffrey Rosenberg
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Jerome Powell
现任美联储主席,曾任投资银行家和律师,领导美联储应对COVID-19疫情和控制通胀。
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John Stashower
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Julius Randle
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Karen Moscow
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Laura Davison
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Max Fried
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Nathan Hager
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Steve Scalise
Topics
Nathan Hager: 我和Karen Moscow报道了美国政府可能关门的消息,一项临时支出法案因特朗普的反对而失败,谈判回到原点。 Karen Moscow: 众议院多数党领袖Steve Scalise表示,关于政府拨款的谈判没有达成协议,一切回到原点;少数党领袖Hakeem Jeffries则认为共和党应该为政府关门负责。 Laura Davison: 特朗普除了要求一项简单的支出法案外,还要求立即就提高债务上限进行投票,这在政治上将非常棘手,可能导致政府关门。 Bill Ferrys: 政府面临部分关门风险,国会正在努力寻找替代方案。特朗普反对临时决议中的额外支出项目,希望获得一份“干净的”临时决议,并在当前国会期间就提高债务上限达成协议,希望民主党人参与提高债务上限的投票。特朗普与共和党人之间的冲突将是未来政治斗争的预兆。 Jerome Powell: 通货膨胀低于预期是市场反应的主要因素,美联储希望看到通货膨胀取得进展。 Jeffrey Rosenberg: 市场对美联储的鹰派立场感到意外,这与市场预期相反,不利于风险承担。 Claudia Somm: 美联储是数据驱动的,未来的政策将取决于明年的实际数据。 Dan Hanson: 英国央行可能在2025年进一步降息。 Julius Randle: 我回顾了自己在尼克斯队的时光,在那里付出了很多努力。 Max Fried: 我与扬基队签署了一份为期8年,价值2.18亿美元的合同,这是左投手历史上最大的合同。球队座右铭“准备、竞争、胜利”深深地打动了我。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is the government shutdown deadline approaching?

The government shutdown deadline is approaching because the stopgap spending bill agreed upon by lawmakers is now dead. President-elect Donald Trump opposed it and threatened to oust Republicans who don't meet his demands, leading to a lack of agreement and a return to negotiations.

What are President-elect Trump's demands regarding the funding bill?

President-elect Trump demands a streamlined bill that excludes sweeteners like $100 billion for disaster relief and $10 billion for farmers. He also wants a vote on raising the debt ceiling now, under Biden's watch, rather than during his presidency.

What caused the recent sell-off on Wall Street?

The recent sell-off on Wall Street was fueled by the Federal Reserve's decision to scale back the number of rate cuts expected in 2025 to two. Chair Jerome Powell emphasized that future easing would require fresh progress on inflation, which has underperformed relative to expectations.

How did the Fed's decision impact market expectations?

The Fed's decision to reduce the number of expected rate cuts in 2025 surprised markets, which had hoped for a more accommodative stance focused on labor rather than inflation. This shift created a less favorable environment for risk-taking, leading to significant market declines.

Why are Micron's shares plunging?

Micron's shares are plunging by 14.5% due to its second-quarter revenue forecast missing projections by about $1 billion. The company is facing sluggish demand for smartphones and personal computers, which has hurt its sales outlook.

What is the significance of Apple's potential deal with Indonesia?

Apple is close to getting Indonesia to lift its ban on iPhone 16 sales after the country's president approved a $1 billion investment from the tech giant. The ban was initially imposed because Apple failed to comply with domestic content requirements for smartphones and tablets.

What are the key issues in the Amazon warehouse workers' strike?

Amazon warehouse workers and contract drivers in four states are striking after the Teamsters union called on Amazon to recognize its units and negotiate a contract. Amazon claims the union has misled the public and threatened workers, while the union says the company ignored their demands.

What is the impact of the Fed's inflation outlook on monetary policy?

The Fed's inflation outlook has shifted significantly, with 15 of 19 officials now seeing a higher risk that inflation will exceed expectations. This marks a massive change from September, when only three officials held this view, influencing a more cautious approach to future rate cuts.

What are the implications of the Bank of England's expected rate decision?

The Bank of England is expected to hold interest rates steady, but economists predict scope for rate cuts in 2025, potentially reducing rates to 3.75%. This cautious approach reflects ongoing inflation threats both domestically and globally.

Why did San Francisco lose its top-tier credit rating?

San Francisco lost its top-tier credit rating from S&P Global Ratings due to a projected $876 million deficit over the next two years and weakened business and property tax growth. These factors contributed to the downgrade.

Chapters
A potential government shutdown is looming as President-elect Trump opposes the stopgap spending bill. Negotiations are stalled, and the consequences of inaction could be severe.
  • Stopgap spending bill rejected by President-elect Trump
  • Government shutdown possible by end of week
  • Negotiations stalled, no agreement reached
  • Debt ceiling vote demanded by Trump

Shownotes Transcript

On today's podcast:

  1. Trump Breaks With Johnson on Funding Bill, Wants Debt Limit Vote 

  2. Powell Signals Fed’s Focus Has Returned Firmly to Inflation

  3. Micron Set for Biggest Drop Since 2020 on Sluggish Sales Outlook

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