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cover of episode President Trump Hints at Trade Deal; Why the Fed Left Rates Unchanged

President Trump Hints at Trade Deal; Why the Fed Left Rates Unchanged

2025/5/8
logo of podcast Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

Bloomberg Daybreak: US Edition

AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
A
Amy Morris
D
Derek Walbank
E
Ewan Potts
J
Jackie Davalos
J
John Tucker
M
Michael Shepard
N
Nathan Hager
R
Rosalind Matheson
Topics
Derek Walbank: 我认为这项协议无论内容如何都意义重大,因为它将有助于缓和与美国的贸易谈判。自4月初以来,人们一直对达成实际协议所需条件存在疑问,而这项协议似乎将成为第一个具有实质内容的协议。然而,任何协议都将附带重大限制条件,全面的贸易协定通常需要数年时间才能谈判完成。 Ewan Potts: 尽管与美国达成协议对英国贸易政策来说意义重大,但由于担心降低食品标准和企业更多地参与医疗保健领域,该协议在政治上一直存在风险。最近的谈判包括降低美国对汽车和钢铁的关税,科技和人工智能也是谈判的重点。但双方在更具争议的政策领域走到了多远,以及关税减免的幅度有多大,我们今天晚些时候就会知道了。 Amy Morris: 特朗普总统表示,他不会为了刺激与中国的实质性贸易谈判而降低对中国的关税。尽管如此,他表示愿意在某个时候降低对中国的关税,但也表示美国消费者应该准备好接受一些更高的价格。 Michael Shepard: 取消拜登时代的AI芯片限制将对大型科技公司有利,因为现有的措施会将芯片公司推向中国寻求先进AI技术。这项措施的废除将为其他国家根据投资承诺或更广泛的贸易和外交考虑来谈判他们自己的芯片准入提供新的机会,同时针对中国的措施将仍然有效。 John Tucker: 鲍威尔和美联储表示,在贸易政策更加明朗之前,不会急于降息。他们认为目前无需匆忙,可以保持耐心,并关注数据。鲍威尔承认,在关税反复无常的公告中,消费者和企业情绪低落,但他同时表示,硬数据仍然描绘出一幅健康经济的图景。 Jackie Davalos: 苹果公司正在考虑对其Safari网络浏览器进行改进,以关注人工智能驱动的搜索引擎,这可能会结束苹果公司与谷歌公司长期以来利润丰厚的合作关系。苹果公司服务高级副总裁埃迪·丘在司法部对谷歌母公司Alphabet的诉讼中作证时披露了这一消息。 Rosalind Matheson: 美国和英国之间达成的贸易协议可能不是一个全面的贸易协定,而是一个关于未来谈判参数的框架或谅解备忘录。这对于其他希望与美国达成协议的国家来说,可能提供了一个框架或指南。英国将能够宣称自己是第一个与美国达成此类协议的国家。然而,该协议对英国选民的吸引力以及其中涉及的农业产品、药品定价、科技和人工智能等复杂问题仍有待观察。

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On today's podcast:

 1) President Trump is expected to unveil a limited trade deal with the UK this morning and hints at a new tension point in trade talks with China. The UK deal is likely to focus on reducing tariffs on cars and steel, and may include discussions on tech, AI, and digital trade, but will come with significant caveats and may not be a comprehensive trade pact.

  1. Fed Chair Jay Powell says he won't be rushed into lowering interest rates. Powell says he won't lower borrowing costs until there's more certainty on the direction of trade policy, which will have to come from the White House. The Federal Open Market Committee held interest rates steady and said the risks of seeing higher inflation and unemployment had risen due to uncertainty over trade policy and tariffs.

  2. The White House plans to get rid of Biden-era chip export restrictions. The repeal would provide fresh opportunities for other countries to negotiate their own chip access, influenced by investment promises or broader trade and diplomatic considerations, while measures targeting China would remain in place.

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