We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode The June Jobs Report and President's Tax Bill

The June Jobs Report and President's Tax Bill

2025/7/3
logo of podcast Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

AI Chapters Transcript
Chapters
This chapter analyzes the June jobs report, exploring the implications of the unemployment rate and real wage growth for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. Experts discuss the nuances of the labor market, considering factors like immigration and labor demand.
  • Unemployment rate at 4.2%, considered near maximum employment
  • Real wage growth expected to soften
  • Federal Reserve in 'learning mode', analyzing data on unemployment and inflation
  • Debate on whether the labor market is weakening gradually or rapidly

Shownotes Transcript

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF).Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJuly 3rd, 2025Featuring:1) Claudia Sahm, Chief Economist at New Century Advisors, brings us into the June jobs report and talks about the health of the labor market. Sarah Wolfe, Senior Economist and Strategist, Thematic & Macro Investing at Morgan Stanley and Kristina Campmany, Senior Portfolio Manager at Invesco, also offer their analysis of the jobs numbers. 2) Patrick McHenry, former House Speaker pro tempore and current Advisory Board Member BGR, joins to discuss President Trump's tax bill debate in the House. Despite Republicans controlling both the US House and Senate, Trump’s signature legislation ran into resistance from cost-conscious conservatives as well as swing-district moderates, who worry the measure cuts too deeply into Medicaid and other safety-net programs.3) Wendy Schiller, professor at Brown University, on President Trump aiming to push through his economic agenda early in his second term. President Trump repeatedly blasted Republican lawmakers resisting the legislation as “grandstanders” and threatened to oppose reelection of members who block his agenda.4) Rebecca Patterson, former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater, reacts to the jobs report and markets. Investors are also closely tracking the US fiscal situation as President Trump aims to implement his economic agenda.5) Yelena Shulyateva, Economist at the Conference Board, on JOLTS, June Jobs report, ADP, and the US economy. Concerns about mounting US deficits and the detail of Trump’s bill may weigh stronger on bond investors’ minds than the jobs report according to some market commentators.

See omnystudio.com/listener) for privacy information.