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cover of episode The Trump Economy and Israel-Iran Latest

The Trump Economy and Israel-Iran Latest

2025/6/24
logo of podcast Bloomberg Surveillance

Bloomberg Surveillance

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
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E
Emily Kilcrease
G
Gary Gensler
H
Henrietta Treyz
M
Monica DiCenso
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Gary Gensler: 我认为当前经济中还有更重要的问题,比如关税、移民和科学资金削减。专家们普遍认为关税会对经济增长产生下行压力,并推高通货膨胀,历史表明关税的普遍推行与大萧条时期有关。关税甚至对制造业没有帮助,反而会损害农村社区。如今的关税相当于几代人以来最大的一次增税,国际货币基金组织已经降低了今年的美国经济增长预期。与中国打交道时,应该保持尊重和一致性,而政策上的剧烈波动对美国不利。限制移民的政策也会对经济产生下行压力,农村地区将因医疗补助削减和关税而受到三重打击。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Gary Gensler, former SEC Chair, discusses the economic consequences of a second Trump administration, focusing on tariffs, immigration, and the risks associated with stablecoins. He highlights concerns about downward pressure on economic growth and upward pressure on inflation due to increased tariffs.
  • Tariffs put downward pressure on economic growth and upward pressure on inflation.
  • Stablecoins pose a risk by undermining the US dollar and facilitating activities outside of the banking system.
  • Immigration policies negatively impact the US economy, particularly rural America.

Shownotes Transcript

Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF).Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 24th, 2025Featuring:1) Gary Gensler, former SEC Chair and Professor of the Practice of Global Economics & Management at MIT, discusses his new text with Simon Johnson and others on the economic consequences of a second Trump administration as well as his experience in government as SEC Chair. It comes as Fed Chair Jay Powell is set to testify before Fed Chair Jay Powell gets set to likely have to explain why he and fellow policymakers seem resolved to continue holding interest rates for the time being, as the president calls for rate cuts.2) Monica DiCenso, Head of Global Investment Opportunities at JPMorgan Private Bank, joins to talk about why she's telling clients to expect the economy to remain resilient and is diversifying global investments. The possible ceasefire between Israel and Iran sparked cautious optimism for a lasting resolution to the conflict, leading to a decrease in oil prices and an increase in stock prices.3) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, joins for a discussion on the Big Beautiful Bill and President Trump's economic and political priorities beyond the Middle East. President Trump's $4.2 trillion tax-cut package is nearing a vote in the Senate, but it lacks the necessary support due to disagreements among Republicans over Medicaid cuts, green energy incentives, and other issues. Senate Republicans plan to begin voting on the bill mid-week, with a goal of final passage by the weekend, but meeting this deadline will require quick negotiations on thorny policy issues.4) Emily Kilcrease, former Deputy Assistant US Trade Representative in the first Trump admin, joins to talk about what she believes it would take to effectively remake the economic world order.

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