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cover of episode Trump Tariff Threats and Debt Concerns Weigh on Markets

Trump Tariff Threats and Debt Concerns Weigh on Markets

2025/6/2
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Bloomberg Surveillance

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People
H
Henrietta Treyz
K
Kathy Jones
L
Lisa Mateo
M
Maya MacGuineas
S
Stephen Stanley
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Stephen Stanley: 我认为目前生产力只是还可以,并没有显著的加速。虽然人工智能是讨论的焦点,但我认为我们尚未达到那个阶段。生产力的提升需要时间。我更相信硬数据,例如,消费者信心和消费支出之间的相关性很弱。目前,我们正在等待关税的影响,这在软数据中有所体现,但我对五月份的数据非常感兴趣。我希望关税对通胀和增长的影响是暂时的,美联储关注通胀的持续时间。美联储目前处于观望模式,认为自身处于相对有利的位置,在关税问题出现之前,他们认为适度限制是合适的,因为通胀高于目标。模型为解读事物提供了良好的背景,但每个周期都有新事物,目前的新事物是政策的不确定性及其对经济的影响。

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Watch Tom and Paul LIVE every day on YouTube: http://bit.ly/3vTiACF).Bloomberg Surveillance hosted by Tom Keene & Paul SweeneyJune 2nd, 2025Featuring:1) Stephen Stanley, Chief Economist at Santander, joins for an extended conversation on the outlook for the US economy, lower consumer spending, and potential for a shallow recession in the US. Global stocks started the new month under pressure due to a flare-up in global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty. Gold is heading for its biggest gain in almost four weeks as geopolitical and trade tensions revived demand for haven assets.2) Kathy Jones, Chief Investment Strategist, Fixed Income at Charles Schwab, discusses bond market warnings and why the Fed won't be coming to the rescue any time soon. The dollar fell 0.5%, extending a streak of five monthly losses, while Treasury yields rose across the curve, with the 10-year rate up four basis points to 4.44% in the early part of the morning as risk appetite dissipates.3) Maya MacGuineas, President of the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, talks about the House bill "debt fiasco" and why markets haven't fully awaken to the debt and deficit problem in the US. It comes as Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent says the US "is never going to default" as the deadline for increasing the federal debt ceiling approaches. Bessent declines to specify an "X date" for when the Treasury will run out of cash, but says the goal is to bring the deficit down over the next four years.4) Henrietta Treyz, co-founder at Veda Partners, talks about President Trump threatening an increase to steel and aluminum tariffs, how the tax bill could be transformed in the Senate, and other DC headlines. Uncertainty prompted by President Donald Trump’s trade agenda picked up after China and the US accused each other of violating a trade deal concluded last month. Trump also said he would double tariffs on steel and aluminum imports. Meanwhile, Ukraine staged a dramatic series of strikes across Russia, deploying drones hidden in trucks deep inside the country to hit strategic airfields.5) Lisa Mateo joins with the latest headlines in newspapers across the US, including an NYT story on Gen Z's interest in chain restaurants and a Business Insider story on AI already taking human jobs.

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