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cover of episode BlackRock Vice Chairman Philipp Hildebrand Talks Term Premiums Emerging in US Bonds

BlackRock Vice Chairman Philipp Hildebrand Talks Term Premiums Emerging in US Bonds

2025/6/4
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Bloomberg Talks

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Philipp Hildebrand: 我认为我们正从长期的政策平衡过渡到一个新的平衡,但新平衡最终会稳定在哪里尚不清楚。在新的世界格局最终明确之前,我们处于过渡期,这是一个充满波动和快速新闻周期的时期。大多数国家都积累了巨额债务,这给整个体系带来了压力,导致利率上升。美国债券的期限溢价开始显现,这表明我们正处于一个动荡和不确定的过渡期。贸易政策的不确定性以及投资和消费习惯的改变需要时间来显现,美国消费者一直具有韧性,并且投资者手头有大量现金。债务问题不仅仅存在于美国,而是大多数国家都面临的问题,美国保持其主权信誉至关重要。持续的更高增长,结合合理的预算政策,是解决债务和赤字问题的最佳途径。在所有其他不确定因素中,最不希望看到的是对主权信誉的质疑,资本市场具有力量,政府在公共财政方面的能力将受到限制,私有资本必须介入。

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Most countries have accumulated “huge debt loads that weigh on the entire system,” according to BlackRock Vice Chairman Philipp Hildebrand, who said there's a sense that rates are edging up. Hildebrand added that "sustained higher growth would be the best way to deal with the debt and deficit problems in combination with reasonable budgetary policy”. In an interview on The Pulse with Francine Lacqua, Hildebrand said "the last thing you want is questions around the sanctity of the sovereign signature”. When Moody’s Ratings downgraded the US in the middle of May — becoming the last of the three big credit rating companies to lower its ratings from the highest level — it warned that the US's fiscal deficit, government debt and interest burden would all rise over the coming years, the latest sign of growing fears about Washington’s fiscal position. (Source: Bloomberg)

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