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cover of episode Former US Defense Secretary Mark Esper Talks Strait Of Hormuz

Former US Defense Secretary Mark Esper Talks Strait Of Hormuz

2025/6/23
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Mark Esper: 美国对伊朗核设施的袭击行动在执行层面是成功的，展现了美国军方的技能和专业性。然而，现在需要评估战损，并密切关注伊朗可能采取的报复措施。伊朗可能采取多种报复手段，包括利用伊拉克什叶派民兵、发射导弹袭击美军基地、袭击美国本土或全球的美国官员，甚至袭击霍尔木兹海峡的航运。伊朗的报复行动会经过校准，既要满足国内需求，又要避免局势升级。目前的关键问题是谁在负责，指挥系统是否完整有效。仍有900磅60%浓缩铀下落不明，需要追踪。在伊朗政权的野心或政权本身发生根本性改变之前，这种野心可能会随着时间的推移而恢复。这次行动表明特朗普总统愿意采取行动，这可能引起了俄罗斯和中国的关注。如果伊朗采取报复行动，一个好的应对方法是摧毁伊朗海军，特别是那些可能关闭或阻碍霍尔木兹海峡航运的海军力量。如果伊朗试图关闭海峡或采取更激进的行动，首要任务是消除他们的这种能力。后续行动将取决于伊朗的反应，特朗普总统不希望卷入战争。如果伊朗的导弹袭击无效，美国可能会退一步，继续支持以色列，并敦促伊朗和以色列进行谈判，包括恢复核不扩散机制和核查机制。

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This chapter focuses on the initial assessment of the military operation's success, highlighting the precision of the attack and the skill of the US military. The discussion then shifts to the need for a battle damage assessment and anticipation of Iran's response.
  • Successful execution of the Midnight Hammer operation
  • 14 GBU-57s and submarine-launched T-LAMs used
  • No US casualties
  • Need for battle damage assessment and anticipation of Iran's response

Shownotes Transcript

Mark Esper, former US Defense Secretary, says Iran's regime is still dangerous and could respond to the US airstrikes. He also talks about 900 pounds of missing uranium from Iran, the capability of the US military and what could happen if Iran tries to close the Strait of Hormuz. He is joined by Bloomberg hosts, Jonathan Ferro, Ann Marie Hordern, and Lisa Abramowicz.

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