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cover of episode Breaking Battlegrounds Midterm 2022 Analysis and Review

Breaking Battlegrounds Midterm 2022 Analysis and Review

2022/11/12
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Breaking Battlegrounds

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Chuck Warren
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Rich Lowry
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Ryan Tyson
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Ryan Tyson: 本次佛罗里达州共和党在中期选举的胜利并非偶然,而是建立在对以往选举经验教训的总结和对竞选策略的不断改进之上。从2012年大选失利后,佛罗里达州共和党开始注重地面战和选民参与,而非单纯依靠媒体宣传。他们建立了精确的选票数学模型,设定明确的投票目标,并通过各种方式(包括选民登记、选民联系、提前投票等)来实现这些目标。成功的关键在于设定明确的投票目标,并通过有效的地面行动来实现。在2022年中期选举中,佛罗里达州共和党成功地预测并赢得了迈阿密戴德县的选票,并在棕榈滩县取得了意外的胜利,这都归功于他们精准的选民数据分析和有效的竞选策略。此外,德桑蒂斯州长迅速恢复学校开学,也赢得了部分非裔美国人选民的支持。 Chuck Warren & Sam Stone: 两位主持人与Ryan Tyson就佛罗里达州共和党在2022年中期选举中的成功经验进行了深入探讨,并就如何将这些经验应用于其他州的选举中提出了问题。他们特别关注了选民登记、选民参与、数据分析、地面行动以及党派核心组织(caucuses)在竞选活动中的作用。他们还讨论了共和党在不同选民群体(如非裔美国人、波多黎各裔美国人等)中的表现,以及影响选举结果的各种因素,例如堕胎问题、特朗普的影响等。

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Ryan Tyson discusses the transformation of Florida's political landscape over the past decade, attributing the changes to strategic campaign tactics and data-driven strategies.

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This week on Breaking Battlegrounds, we are joined by Ryan Tyson of Florida’s Tyson Group and Rich Lowry of the National Review for a midterm election results recap.

Ryan Tyson is the President and managing partner of The Tyson Group, which is a center-right polling and market research firm with polling experience in 48 states. 

He serves as Executive Director of Preserve the American Dream, a Florida based 501(c4) that primarily educates the public and media on quantitative and qualitative research it conducts across the state and around the country.   

As a Florida based strategist, Tyson has developed multiple organizations devoted to fundraising, research, electioneering and independent expenditure efforts. He has served as strategist and pollster on multiple statewide ballot initiatives in Florida, using his research techniques to not only to craft successful ballot titles and summaries on ‘Yes’ campaigns, but also exposing the weaknesses in ‘No’ campaigns. He has also  worked for some of the largest corporations in Florida and his political acumen and prowess are known to many across the country.    

Tyson’s wide range of experience in all levels of national, state, and legislative campaigns and has made him a valuable asset in the Sunshine State. Having advised on multiple statewide campaigns including for former President Donald Trump’s Florida campaign, Governor Ron DeSantis, Senator Marco Rubio and Senator Rick Scott, Tyson’s unique mix of data driven campaign strategy has resulted in Florida Politics twice naming him as one of the top 100 “most influential people in Florida Politics.”  

He received his Bachelor of Science in Public Relations from the University of Florida. He currently resides in Tallahassee with his wife, Mary Beth, and three sons, John David, Brennan and Benjamin.  

Rich Lowry is the editor in chief of National Review. He writes for Politico, and often appears on such public-affairs programs as Meet the Press. He is a regular panelist on the KCRW program Left, Right & Center. He is the author of Lincoln Unbound, The Case for Nationalism: How It Made Us Powerful, United, and Free, and Legacy: Paying the Price for the Clinton Years — a New York Times bestseller.

Lowry began his career as a research assistant for Charles Krauthammer. In 1997 he was selected by William F. Buckley to lead National Review.

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