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cover of episode Mike Noble on the Future of Arizona Politics

Mike Noble on the Future of Arizona Politics

2021/5/19
logo of podcast Breaking Battlegrounds

Breaking Battlegrounds

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Chuck Warren
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Mike Noble
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Sam Stone
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Mike Noble: 本人认为地方新闻媒体在报道民调结果时,相比全国性媒体更客观公正,不会刻意偏袒任何一方。全国性媒体则会根据民调结果对不同政治派别有利的情况选择性地进行报道,导致信息失衡。在关于选举诚信的问题上,只有少数亚利桑那州选民认为选举存在大规模舞弊,这一观点主要集中在共和党选民中。关于选举舞弊的论调在共和党选民中有所增加,并导致中间选民进一步疏远共和党。新冠疫情期间,自由派比保守派更愿意参与民调,这与他们对疫情的担忧程度有关。此外,获取具有代表性的样本越来越困难,因为一些人对民调机构失去了信任,选择不参与调查。在亚利桑那州的最近几次参议院选举中,民主党候选人获得了大量的资金支持,这在一定程度上影响了选举结果。 Sam Stone: 选民只关注支持自己观点的新闻,导致社会分裂,无法关注真正的问题。2020年总统选举结果并非被窃取,但许多人难以接受这一事实。 Chuck Warren: 人们变得越来越愤怒,对新冠疫情的反应在政治上存在严重分歧。对殖民地输油管道事件的报道也反映了政治分歧。保守派比自由派更容易接触到不同政治观点的新闻,新闻来源与政治观点之间存在关联。 Kylie Kipper: 介绍了一个名为Rob Kenny的YouTube博主,他制作视频教授人们生活技能,并获得了大量关注。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Mike Noble discusses the differences between working with local news stations versus national outlets on polling, highlighting the focus on local news and less picking of favorites in local contexts.

Shownotes Transcript

Mike Noble) of OH Predictive Insights joins Sam Stone and Chuck Warren on this weeks episode of Broken Potholes.

Mike Noble is the Chief of Research & Managing Partner of OH Predictive Insights (OHPI), a sister company of Arizona’s largest advertising agency, OH Partners. Noble is a thought leader on public opinion tracking and analysis and is known for being a trailblazer in the rapidly changing fields of predictive insights and market research.

Mike found a passion for politics while working for an Arizona Congressman before starting OHPI, the premier non-partisan Arizona polling and consulting firm. Since then, Mike has become one of the top pollsters in the West, working with clients throughout Arizona, Nevada, and Utah.

Mike’s approach involves getting in the trenches with his clients, striving to fully understand their businesses and goals with the result of providing accurate, unbiased, and actionable information. He is known for his presentations, public and private speaking engagements, and interviews where he interprets the meaning of the data. Providing this insight has led to interviews with The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, Politico, The Hill, The Guardian, TIME magazine, Huffington Post, LA Times, BBC World News, and other respected television and radio outlets.

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