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cover of episode 11/4/24: Saagar Predicts Trump Win, Krystal Says Kamala Landslide, Epstein Tapes Reveal Trump Connections

11/4/24: Saagar Predicts Trump Win, Krystal Says Kamala Landslide, Epstein Tapes Reveal Trump Connections

2024/11/4
logo of podcast Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

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Saagar
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Krystal:共和党媒体对爱泼斯坦录音事件的沉默以及他们对民主党候选人的双重标准,反映了他们缺乏原则和一致性。她认为,如果这些录音涉及民主党候选人,共和党媒体将会大肆报道。此外,她还评论了身份政治的转变,认为虽然其影响力有所减弱,但新的身份政治形式,例如围绕以色列和巴勒斯坦冲突的言论审查,依然存在。 Saagar:他预测特朗普将以微弱优势赢得2024年大选。他的预测基于对关键摇摆州的分析,这些分析与民调结果存在差异。他认为,爱荷华州的塞尔泽民调结果、宾夕法尼亚州的民调偏差以及亚利桑那州、内华达州和佐治亚州的早期投票数据都支持他的预测。他认为,北卡罗来纳州州长候选人马克·罗宾逊的低支持率将损害特朗普在该州的选情。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why did the Republican media largely ignore the Epstein tapes revealing his close relationship with Trump?

The Republican media ignored the Epstein tapes because they focused on Trump, not a Democrat, and had inconsistent standards regarding such stories.

What does the Epstein tape reveal about Trump's relationship with Epstein?

The tape indicates Epstein was close friends with Trump for 10 years and had insider knowledge about the Trump White House post-2016, suggesting he remained in Trump's circle.

Why does Saagar predict a Trump win in the 2024 election?

Saagar predicts a Trump win based on polling data, early ballot returns, and candidate focus, particularly in swing states like Pennsylvania, Arizona, and Nevada.

Why does Krystal predict a Kamala Harris landslide in the 2024 election?

Krystal predicts a Kamala Harris landslide due to post-Roe electorate shifts, particularly among women, and Harris's campaign focus on appealing to a pro-choice, anti-chaos coalition.

What evidence supports Krystal's prediction of a Kamala Harris landslide?

Evidence includes Ann Seltzer's poll showing Harris leading among independent and senior women, other polls underestimating Trump, and a significant gender gap in early voting favoring women.

How does the 2024 election reflect changes in identity politics?

The 2024 election shows a shift away from traditional identity politics, with voters more polarized by education and gender rather than race, though some identity politics remain, particularly around Zionism.

Chapters
The conversation delves into the Epstein tapes and their revelations about Trump's relationship with Epstein, including claims of intimate knowledge and the reaction from Republican media.
  • Epstein claimed a close relationship with Trump for 10 years.
  • Claims of intimate knowledge about Trump's sexual preferences.
  • Republican media's silence on the Epstein-Trump connection.

Shownotes Transcript

Krystal and Saagar discuss Epstein tapes revealed, 2024 end of identity politics, Saagar predicts Trump win, Krystal predicts Kamala landslide. 

 

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