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cover of episode 12/3/24: Krystal Vs Cenk Uygur On Trump Populism

12/3/24: Krystal Vs Cenk Uygur On Trump Populism

2024/12/3
logo of podcast Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar

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Krystal认为,民主党应该将经济议题作为政治立场检验的标准,而不是社会议题。她还批评了民主党将所有责任归咎于左翼人士的做法。她认为,如果候选人有能够与特朗普的左翼民粹主义叙事竞争的政治主张,那么他们就能承受一些不受欢迎的文化议题。 Cenk Uygur则对未来持乐观态度,因为他认为建制派已经被击败。他认为,特朗普是一个法西斯主义者,但他同时指出,特朗普赢得了普选,右翼人士也开始支持民主选举。他担心特朗普这次会比上次更危险,因为他周围不再有那些能够制衡他的人,而且那些曾经制衡他的机构都受到了削弱。但他认为,右翼民粹主义者可能是制衡特朗普的新力量。他认为,与2016年相比,现在的MAGA基础发生了变化,宗教极端分子势力减弱,取而代之的是更多的新成员,包括中间派和对民主党不满的人。他认为,如果特朗普政府采取极端措施,右翼民粹主义者可能会反对。他还认为,如果特朗普对以色列发动战争,右翼民粹主义者可能会反对。 Krystal质疑右翼人士对特朗普的描述,认为他们忽略了特朗普过去的行为,并将他描绘成一个并非如此的人。她认为,尽管民主党在最近的选举中受到打击,但建制派并没有被击败,他们仍然拥有强大的资金实力。她认为,特朗普被认为是反建制的,但他实际上并不反对富人,只是嫉妒他们。她认为,主流媒体的影响力正在下降,这为独立媒体创造了机会。但她对右翼独立媒体的质量表示怀疑,认为其与主流媒体一样存在问题。她对未来四年感到悲观,认为特朗普政府可能会导致一系列负面后果。 Cenk Uygur认为,尽管在线媒体存在问题,但它比主流媒体更自由。他将在线媒体比作丛林,认为它混乱但自由。他认为,他和Krystal都曾在主流媒体工作过,现在更喜欢在线媒体。他认为,Breaking Points避免了广告和外部压力,这使得他们拥有更大的自由度。他认为,尽管在线媒体存在问题,但它仍然比主流媒体更有希望,并以The Young Turks为例说明了这一点。他认为,右翼媒体的模式是不可持续的,因为它们依赖于右翼亿万富翁的资金。他认为,特朗普渴望受欢迎,这可以被利用来推动积极的政策变革。他认为,右翼民粹主义者与左翼民粹主义者在某些问题上存在共同立场,这为合作创造了机会。 Krystal认为,在许多问题上,她与卡玛拉·哈里斯的立场更接近,而不是与特朗普的立场更接近。她承认她更倾向于卡玛拉·哈里斯的立场,但她仍然担心特朗普的专制倾向。Cenk Uygur认为,尽管他更喜欢卡玛拉·哈里斯,但特朗普的胜利也带来了一些希望,因为这打破了建制派的束缚。Krystal认为,拜登政府在某些方面打破了亿万富翁的意愿,例如任命莱娜·卡恩和支持劳工运动。Cenk Uygur认为,民主党偶尔会做出一些让步,但他们仍然受制于捐助者。他认为,民主党在许多问题上都是说一套做一套,例如15美元的最低工资。Krystal认为,尽管民主党有不足之处,但他们比共和党更有可能在劳工问题上有所作为。Cenk Uygur认为,共和党民粹主义基础对建制派共和党进行了反抗。Krystal认为,特朗普不太可能采取积极的政策,并且民主党也同样如此。Cenk Uygur认为,如果特朗普认为某项政策能够提高他的受欢迎程度,他就会采取该政策。Krystal认为,特朗普政府可能会导致一系列负面后果,例如对移民的残酷政策和中东的冲突。Cenk Uygur承认特朗普过去的行为很糟糕,但他认为一些右翼选民并不像Krystal认为的那样糟糕。Krystal认为,右翼选民没有制衡特朗普的记录,他们会一贯地支持他。Cenk Uygur认为,特朗普比拜登和哈里斯更有可能削减五角大楼的预算。Krystal认为,即使卡玛拉·哈里斯想要削减五角大楼的预算,民主党也会阻止她。Cenk Uygur认为,特朗普的专制倾向可能会意外地成为削减五角大楼预算的一种手段。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Cenk Uygur more optimistic about Trump's second term compared to his first?

Cenk Uygur is more optimistic because he believes the right-wing populist base, including 'bros' like Joe Rogan and Dave Portnoy, might constrain Trump's worst impulses. He also sees a possibility for bipartisan agreement on issues like anti-war and anti-corruption policies, which the establishment would never pursue.

What concerns does Krystal Ball have about Trump's second term?

Krystal Ball is concerned about increased cruelty towards immigrants, potential inflationary spirals from tariffs, more chaos in the Middle East, and the likelihood of a giant crypto bubble. She also fears that Trump's authoritarian tendencies will be more indulged without the institutional checks that were present in his first term.

How does Cenk Uygur view the role of mainstream media in politics?

Cenk Uygur views mainstream media as a prison of lies and propaganda, controlled by establishment interests. He believes it is a tool of the establishment to manipulate public perception and suppress dissenting voices, making it impossible to have honest discussions about critical issues.

What is Krystal Ball's stance on independent media?

Krystal Ball acknowledges the potential of independent media but is cautious about its current state, seeing it as a cesspool of corruption and misinformation. She highlights the incentives for independent media to cater to audience biases and corporate interests, which can undermine its credibility.

Why does Cenk Uygur believe the establishment has been defeated?

Cenk Uygur believes the establishment has been defeated because mainstream media, the main weapon of the establishment, has greatly reduced its influence. He points to the defeats of establishment candidates like Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, and Kamala Harris, and the rise of independent and populist voices in both parties.

What does Krystal Ball think about the possibility of working with right-wing populists?

Krystal Ball is open to working with right-wing populists on specific issues where there is common ground, such as anti-war and anti-corruption policies. However, she is skeptical about their ability to constrain Trump's authoritarian and harmful policies, based on their past behavior.

How does Cenk Uygur view the potential for bipartisan cooperation under Trump?

Cenk Uygur sees a potential for bipartisan cooperation on issues like cutting the Pentagon budget and addressing conflicts of interest among generals. He believes that right-wing populists, if convinced of the popularity of these measures, could pressure Trump to act in ways that benefit the public.

What is Krystal Ball's core litmus test for the Democratic Party?

Krystal Ball's core litmus test for the Democratic Party is centered around economic issues, such as support for labor rights, minimum wage, and universal healthcare. She believes the party should be more inclusive on cultural issues while maintaining a strong economic focus.

Why does Krystal Ball oppose giving Elon Musk control over government efficiency?

Krystal Ball opposes giving Elon Musk control over government efficiency because she sees it as a dangerous normalization of billionaire control over the government. She believes it legitimizes a project that is fundamentally pernicious and serves the interests of the billionaire class, rather than the public good.

What does Cenk Uygur hope to achieve by engaging with Elon Musk and Trump on cutting the Pentagon budget?

Cenk Uygur hopes to leverage the popularity of cutting the Pentagon budget among right-wing populists to pressure Trump and Musk into making real cuts. He believes this could be a way to achieve positive outcomes despite the pernicious nature of billionaire control over government.

Shownotes Transcript

Krystal and Cenk debate if Trump will govern as a populist in his second term. 

 

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