Ilya Sutskever suggested three reasons: insufficient pre-training tokens for GPT-5, poor performance of synthetic tokens, and limited diversity in synthetic data. These factors collectively indicate a potential technical bottleneck in pre-training large models.
DeepSeek's open-source model, DeepSick V3, performs comparably to GPT-4 in benchmark tests but costs only $5.576 million to train, significantly lower than GPT-4's estimated $100 million. This cost efficiency challenges the notion that model intelligence is solely dependent on high computational power.
China has rapidly industrialized, achieving significant global manufacturing share but faces challenges like overcapacity and internal competition in emerging industries. Despite these, China has surpassed expectations in its 'Made in China 2025' plan, transitioning from application innovation to original innovation in advanced manufacturing.
Key events include Thomas Hunt Morgan's 1912 genetics paper, Enrico Fermi's 1938 controlled nuclear chain reaction, Alaska becoming the 49th U.S. state in 1959, Apple's founding in 1977, and NASA's Mars rover Spirit landing in 2004. These milestones have profoundly impacted science, technology, and society.
By 2024, AI models like GPT-4 will become common, with improved efficiency and lower costs. Multimodal LLMs will be widespread, enabling real-time voice and camera applications. However, the complexity of using LLMs and their environmental impact remain concerns.
今天的节目将探讨几个引人注目的问题:OpenAI 科学家 Ilya Sutskever 宣布预训练的终结是否真的标志着技术的瓶颈?杭州的创业公司 DeepSeek 如何用较低成本挑战大模型的市场格局?以及中国在全球制造业中如何实现从应用创新到原始创新的转变?接下来让我们来解锁这些商业科技动态吧。
00:00:45 OpenAI 首席科学家宣称预训练终结引争议
00:02:13 中国工业产能发展与挑战
00:04:01 AI 行业的现状与未来发展趋势
00:05:12 历史上的 1 月 3 日发生了哪些事?
本期主播: 西娅
后期: 西娅
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