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cover of episode Q&A - Airstrikes on Yemen and the Future of the Middle East

Q&A - Airstrikes on Yemen and the Future of the Middle East

2024/1/18
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CONFLICTED
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A
Ayman Deen
T
Thomas Small
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Thomas Small：本期节目讨论了也门胡塞武装袭击红海商业航线引发的冲突，以及由此可能引发的更广泛地区冲突，包括对以色列和加沙的影响。他表达了对信息真伪的担忧，并期待与Ayman Deen讨论相关问题。 Thomas Small还介绍了新的Conflicted社区平台，这是一个付费的Discord社区，提供与主持人互动、独家内容和无广告收听等服务。 在讨论中，Thomas Small表达了对西方国家在中东地区军事行动有效性的质疑，并对地区冲突的长期解决方案表示悲观。他认为，单纯的空袭无法解决问题，需要更全面的战略。 最后，Thomas Small对美国未来的全球领导地位表示担忧，并认为美国可能面临着类似于1914年英国的困境。 Ayman Deen：Ayman Deen详细分析了加沙战争的残酷现状，以及哈马斯对以色列报复规模的误判。他认为伊朗试图报复苏莱曼尼的死，破坏中东国家关系正常化，并破坏民族国家模式。他指出，抵抗轴心其他成员的参与有限，伊朗可能利用哈马斯这一可抛弃的代理人达到自身目的。 Ayman Deen还分析了胡塞武装在也门的策略，认为他们在加沙冲突中看到了机会，通过对以色列的象征性袭击来赢得国内宣传战，并通过袭击红海航运来向世界传递信息。他认为，伊朗直接参与了对红海航运的袭击，其目标是控制该地区，并向世界表明，如果没有伊朗成为该地区的主导力量，中东就不会和平。 Ayman Deen批评了美国和英国对也门的军事打击，认为力度不足，并指出沙特阿拉伯等国没有加入联盟的原因是担心美国只进行小规模打击。他认为，解决也门问题的办法是与当地愿意对抗胡塞武装的军事力量合作，单纯的空袭并不能改变现状。 Ayman Deen还分析了法国和德国在中东的战略地位，以及伊朗可能对美国和英国军事打击做出的反应。他认为，沙特阿拉伯和其他逊尼派国家将会保持观望态度，除非美国及其盟友愿意采取果断行动打击伊朗的代理人。他认为，阿拉伯国家之间对巴勒斯坦人的同情有所增加，但教派之间的分歧依然存在，伊朗利用巴勒斯坦问题来达到自身目的的行为并未赢得广泛支持。 最后，Ayman Deen对美国未来的全球领导地位表示乐观，认为美国仍然拥有强大的经济和科技实力，短期内不会失去其全球主导地位，并对潜在的第二任特朗普总统对中东的影响进行了分析。

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The episode discusses the recent developments in Yemen and the Houthis' involvement in the spreading conflict in the Middle East, focusing on their objectives and the potential implications for the region.

Shownotes Transcript

On Friday, January 12th, the Houthis added their muscle to the spreading conflict in the Middle East. By attacking commercial shipping lanes in the Red Sea, they have brought reprisal strikes from a US and UK led coalition which could bring the west into the war and even reignite the Yemeni civil war which has engulfed the country since 2014.

We covered Yemen extensively over 5 episodes at the end of Conflicted season 4, so it was only right that Thomas and Aimen come back together to answer our dear listeners’ questions about this huge new development. 

We answer your questions like: What are the Houthis’ objectives in the Middle East? Was the Western military response the right move? How will Iran and its proxies respond in turn? And what does this all mean for the future of the war in Israel, Gaza and the wider Middle East.

This episode is also a taster of the kind of content you’ll get as we launch a new platform - the Conflicted Community. This will be your community hub on *Discord *for all things Conflicted. Discord is essentially an instant messaging community platform which will allow you to discuss all things Conflicted with fellow dear listeners, share resources we mention in the show and engage in riveting post-episode debates. 

This is a paid for community, and for a small monthly fee you’ll get access to the Discord chat channels, the opportunity to chat with Thomas and Aimen, exclusive content and bonus episodes like this one, as well as ad-free listening.

Please do register your interest through the link: www.levellr.com/conflicted) 

We’ll be launching the Conflicted Community very soon, so keep an eye out for further details on it once you have registered interest.

Find us on Twitter: https://twitter.com/MHconflicted

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Join the Conflicted Community hub on Discord to discuss all things Conflicted with fellow dear listeners, get exclusive content, bonus episodes and ad-free listening. Register your interest through the link: http://www.levellr.com/conflicted)

Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices)