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cover of episode Trump is betting the economy on his tariff theory

Trump is betting the economy on his tariff theory

2025/4/1
logo of podcast Consider This from NPR

Consider This from NPR

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E
Elsa Chang
R
Rana Faroohar
特朗普总统
领导成立政府效率部门(DOGE),旨在削减政府浪费和提高效率。
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特朗普总统:我认为即将实施的关税政策将重塑美国,带来国家的重生。关税是万能的胶带,可以解决任何问题,包括作为谈判工具、收入来源和保护美国制造业就业的盾牌。我不在乎汽车制造商提高价格是否会增加消费者的成本。 Elsa Chang:特朗普总统将美国的经济押注在他的关税计划上,这可能导致贸易战,增加经济衰退的风险。 Rana Faroohar:特朗普政府对关税政策的矛盾之处解释得不好,这导致市场波动。这项政策是一个几十年来未曾尝试过的实验,可能会改变美国和全球经济的运作方式。我不认为贸易逆差是补贴,但我认为美国一直保持低关税,允许许多国家进入美国市场,这导致国内产业发展不足。在危机时期,这可能会让我们后悔。这次关税政策与以往不同,它可能导致严重的贸易战和通货膨胀。特朗普政府中的一些经济民族主义者认为,关税是重振工业、支持关键领域(不仅是经济,还有安全)的一种方式。要支持产业发展,需要在国内和国外采取措施,而目前只看到了关税措施。如果市场下跌和民意反对,特朗普可能会改变他的关税政策。如果特朗普不改变政策,美国可能会面临经济和政治动荡。

Deep Dive

Chapters
President Trump announced a new set of tariffs, calling it a 'rebirth of a country'. Economists warn of potential risks, including a recession, while Trump claims the tariffs will ultimately benefit the US economy.
  • New tariffs announced on April 2nd
  • Economists warn of high recession risk
  • Trump claims tariffs will reshape the economy for the better

Shownotes Transcript

In President Donald Trump's telling, tariffs are the political equivalent of duct tape: you can use them to fix anything. For example, they're a negotiating tool — he used the threat of tariffs to pressure Canada and Mexico to implement border policies he liked. He also sees tariffs as a revenue source that might help offset his proposed $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and as a shield to protect American manufacturing jobs from overseas competition.With all of these potentially conflicting aims, and with another major round of tariffs expected to be announced on Wednesday, what is the strategy behind them?Rana Foroohar, a Financial Times columnist and the author of Homecoming: The Path to Prosperity in a Post-Global World, says they're an "experiment" that could lead to a big change in the way the global economy works.For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org).Email us at [email protected]).Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)