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cover of episode Trump says the economy is in 'transition.' What comes after?

Trump says the economy is in 'transition.' What comes after?

2025/3/14
logo of podcast Consider This from NPR

Consider This from NPR
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唐
唐纳德·特朗普
马
马特·斯劳特
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唐纳德·特朗普：我认为目前的经济状况是暂时的‘过渡时期’，我的关税政策最终将使美国经济更好，带来收入、就业和工厂，让财富回归美国。这是为了重组美国经济，虽然短期内会有成本和混乱，但最终会带来长期收益。 我坚信我的关税政策能够重建美国的制造业，并最终使美国经济受益。我当选的原因之一就是因为我理解全球化并非使所有工人、公司和社区都受益。 虽然我承认存在经济波动，但我认为这是值得的，因为这最终将使美国经济更加强大和繁荣。我不会排除经济衰退的可能性，但我相信我的政策最终会带来积极的结果。 马特·斯劳特：我认为特朗普政府实施的关税措施以及可能出台的其他限制国际投资和移民的政策，将对美国经济造成长期损害。特朗普政府将当前经济下滑描述为‘小波动’、‘过渡时期’或‘排毒期’，但这忽略了全球经济联系几十年来促进了数百万美国人的利益。 特朗普的关税计划可能无法实现重建美国制造业的目标，因为全球互联的公司往往更具生产力和创新性。虽然某些特定行业的工人可能会从关税中受益，但关税通常会对其他公司造成更大的损害。数据显示，美国钢铁使用行业的就业岗位数量是钢铁生产行业的30到50倍，因此关税对美国制造业的整体影响往往是有害的。 国家安全固然重要，但经济竞争力也同样重要，而国际贸易增强而非损害了美国的经济竞争力。随着关税壁垒越来越高，美国经济衰退的可能性越来越大。 Sean Fain: 我认为关税是试图阻止美国过去33年来就业岗位大量流失的尝试。 Howard Letnick: 我认为关税对国家安全至关重要，因为你不能在战争中不生产钢铁。

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This chapter examines President Trump's past economic promises and their immediate aftermath, contrasting the initial positive market reactions with the subsequent downturn and the administration's attempts to explain the economic shift.
  • Trump's 2024 campaign promises of economic boom.
  • Initial positive stock market reactions after his victory.
  • The subsequent downturn and Trump's explanation of it as a 'transition' period.

Shownotes Transcript

"A little disturbance," "a period of transition," "a detox period." These are all phrases that President Trump and his administration have used to describe the economy, as the stock market has plunged in response to one tariff announcement after another.Trump is adamant that his tariffs will ultimately bring revenue, jobs and factories to the U.S.But economist Matt Slaughter, dean of the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth College, is skeptical. He thinks Trump's strategy is a recipe for long-term economic pain, and that a recession is getting more likely by the day.For sponsor-free episodes of Consider This, sign up for Consider This+ via Apple Podcasts or at plus.npr.org).Email us at [email protected]).Learn more about sponsor message choices: podcastchoices.com/adchoices)NPR Privacy Policy)