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cover of episode EP 527: AI’s First Chapter: Why Generative AI Is Only the Beginning

EP 527: AI’s First Chapter: Why Generative AI Is Only the Beginning

2025/5/16
logo of podcast Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast

Everyday AI Podcast – An AI and ChatGPT Podcast

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
#generative ai#artificial intelligence and machine learning#ai research#biotechnology and neuroscience#ai entrepreneurship challenges#relationship dynamics and dating#workplace gender dynamics#influencer economy People
J
Jordan Wilson
一位经验丰富的数字策略专家和《Everyday AI》播客的主持人,专注于帮助普通人通过 AI 提升职业生涯。
R
Ron Green
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@Jordan Wilson : 作为每天都在讨论生成式人工智能的人,我认为我们可能还处于人工智能的零日阶段,甚至连爬行都算不上。我们致力于帮助人们学习和利用人工智能来发展公司和事业,并提供每日新闻简报以保持更新。 @Ron Green : 我认为我们实际上才刚刚开始,未来五年内人工智能的能力将会有巨大的飞跃。传统上,我们依赖于监督学习,但现在强化学习与新的、更强大的语言模型相结合,极大地推动了人工智能的发展。这些模型能够处理前所未见的情况,并以智能的方式进行推理。像OpenAI的深度研究这样的研究代理已经可以投入使用,它可以帮助分析复杂的主题,节省大量时间。医疗保健和科学领域即将发生巨大的变革,AlphaFold等模型已经解决了生物学上的一个重大挑战。重要的是,利用人工智能的人将超越那些不利用它的人。如果你能在你的专有数据之上构建AI解决方案,那么你将获得最大的投资回报。下一步是系统将拥有超越模仿现有能力的超人能力,能够进行新的科学研究和临床诊断,发现新的见解,并以复杂的程度进行推理。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This episode explores the idea that we are currently at the beginning of the AI revolution and that generative AI is just the first chapter. The hosts discuss the potential of AI to transform businesses and careers and encourage listeners to learn more about AI and how to leverage it.
  • Generative AI is still in its early stages.
  • We are at day zero of AI.
  • AI has the potential to transform businesses and careers.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

This is the Everyday AI Show, the everyday podcast where we simplify AI and bring its power to your fingertips. Listen daily for practical advice to boost your career, business, and everyday life.

As someone that talks about generative AI literally every single day, and I've spent thousands of hours talking about it and learning from Fortune 100 leaders and teaching enterprise companies how to use ChatGPT or Microsoft Copilot. To me, it feels like we're decades and decades into this generative AI wave, even though we're only a couple of years. And when you think about it and zoom out,

We maybe haven't even hit the tip yet. We might still be at day zero of AI. And that's what we're going to be talking about today. I'm very excited. So welcome to Everyday AI, where we help you get past day zero, I guess. But we are your daily live stream podcast and free daily newsletter helping everyday people like you and me, not just learn AI, but how we can all actually leverage it.

to grow our companies and to grow our careers. Because yeah, development doesn't stop and neither do we. So that's why after you're done listening to this podcast, you need to go to our website at youreverydayai.com. There you can not only listen to like 500 episodes

episodes from some of the world's leading companies and leading individuals in AI, but you should also be signing up for today's daily newsletter and every day's daily newsletter that we send out where we recap the topic that we cover on the podcast and the live stream. But then we also keep you up to date with everything else that you need to know. So make sure you go do that. All right, let's talk about the big picture. And that is

We haven't started. Apparently, I mean, we haven't, right? Yeah, like I talk about AI every day, maybe too much, but the reality is, is we are not even crawling, probably. All right, enough of me chit-chatting. I'm excited to bring on our guest for today. So live stream audience, please help me welcome to the show, Ron Green, the CTO of Kung Fu AI. Ron, thank you so much for joining the Everyday AI Show.

Thank you for having me, Jordan. All right. For those that don't know, what is Kung Fu AI? Aside from like one of the coolest company names ever we've had on the show. Oh, thank you. Thank you. So we're a strategy and engineering firm. We're like seven plus years old. All we do is AI from day one. We help...

companies adopt AI strategy. We build custom AI solutions for them. Basically anything you need to get started or build your AI roadmap or AI capabilities, we help companies with that.

Nice. So give me an example. A company comes to you. I mean, are they like, hey, we need to build off this new SDK from OpenAI. We need to make agents for our company. Or they come to you with petabytes or whatever it's called of data. And they're like, help us use AI. What does it look like? And what's the end result? Yeah, it's a little bit more of the latter. We're basically solving really, really hard problems with custom AI solutions. So

you know, people will come to us and they'll say things like, you know, we're trying to automate trading. Uh, we want to build a system that can trade hundreds of millions of dollars automatically, or, uh,

we built a system that can predict the risk of breast cancer using just pure computer vision out to five years in advance at like a superhuman level. That model is actually at the FDA right now for approval, things like that. Very cool. Very cool. So yeah, make sure to check out the newsletter if you want to know more of that. But so Ron, let's get to it. So it's your take that we're at day zero of AI. Why is that?

You know, it's my way of kind of waking people up and making them realize that we've barely gotten going. So I've been working in AI professionally since the 90s, and we've made enormous strides. It's unbelievable. If you compared to what, you know, compared what we can do now to back then, you know, we would have said, oh, my God, our dreams are coming true when I was in grad school.

But it's also really, really clear that the slope, the velocity, the acceleration is so great that we've essentially done nothing. We'll look back in five years and we'll think that the capabilities we have now are acute. In the same way we look back in 2020 with GPT-2 and we're like, you know, that model, that's interesting that it can almost –

do something useful, but I'm sure there's not really going to be that much advancement. We are about to hockey stick is the point. And there's a bunch of reasons. Well, let's start unpacking them. So, you know, as someone that's been in AI for three decades and to say we're about to hockey stick,

what causes you to believe that, right? Because obviously there's been, you know, you mentioned GPT-2, right? I remember using GPT-3, you know, about five years ago. And I was like, wow, this is pretty impressive. And, you know, it's obviously the technology has grown exponentially since then. So why are we about to hit that hockey stick curve upward now?

There's a bunch of reasons. Let's just jump to the chase. The big reason is that traditionally we've relied on something called supervised learning, right? I think everybody probably is familiar with this. You take a model and you teach it to do something that you don't know how to teach it explicitly. So just so everybody can have an image in their head. Imagine you're trying to train a model 10 years ago to recognize photos of

We would not know how to do that with traditional software. We don't really know how our own brains do that. That's okay. We can take one of these big, deep learning models and we can show it enough examples and generalize it. The problem with that is it's constrained by examples. You have to have a labeled example for every image. You have to know what the right answer is. And the model can generalize, but it really can't generalize beyond anything that we as humans can teach it to do

kind of mimicking this process. Well, that's changed recently. Reinforcement learning, which incidentally, some of the two main people behind that concept literally just won the Turing Award last week, which is like the highest honor in computer science for the work. Reinforcement learning with these new, much more capable language models have

really kicked things into high gear. And we now have empirical evidence that we can elicit

reasoning behavior emergently from these systems. So these systems, and technically we don't really need to go into any of the details. All that matters is we can take a strong language model and by having it learn certain types of verifiable domains, like learning how to program and learning how to code and teaching it to think analytically, we are now, and we see multiple frontier labs have verified this,

Over and over again, we're seeing these strong models develop reasoning capabilities emergently. And here's why that's so important. Humans, as far as we can tell, are the only creatures with sort of metacognition. We can think about thinking.

As soon as we have these models, which they can now introspect and think about thinking, you've got this sort of infinite recursion ability. We can think about thinking about thinking, and we can gleam all of the deep insights from that. So we're really going to be off to the races. I expect it's not an exaggeration to say we'll have AGI within a year, probably within three at this point. And it's all based upon this new development. Yeah.

Yeah, the AGI conversation is always fun. FYI, make sure if you care about the whole AGI debate, make sure to tune in tomorrow. It's going to be a good episode, FYI. But let's get back to this concept of supervised learning, reinforcement learning, right? So for those people out there who probably, unlike you and I, I like

I read all these papers all the time. I'm sure you do as well, Ron. But for everyone else, what's the tangible benefit for businesses when we talk about reinforcement learning and models that can now reason and they can introspect? What's that tangibly mean for businesses?

It's going to be huge. You know, I think probably everybody's heard about agentic AI. That's going to be really big. Why is that going to be big? Because we're going to have these AI models that we can give high level assignments to high level tasks.

and they're going to be able to go and navigate the messy world. And so like, unlike traditional RPA where, you know, maybe you're dealing with regular expressions and it's sort of whack-a-mole, you've got a million unending corner cases you've got to deal with. These models are literally going to be able to deal with situations that they've never seen before and reason through them in intelligent ways. So that's, that's one way. Now that whole agentic

world is a little bit more distant than I think some people argue. I think it's going to be more of a 20, 26 thing than a 25 thing only because we're still kind of working out the kinks. But there are things like research agents, like deep research from open AI that are ready for prime time right now. And I use this all the time. I was using it this morning to go and analyze really, really, really compact, complex subjects. And it came back with

a multi-thousand word analysis. I read through it. I think it probably saved me two days worth of work. And it's sort of that high level analysis

um, white collar cognitively heavy work that we're going to see really being impacted in the short term. Yeah. And, and, uh, I'll have to put that in the, the show notes as well. We, we covered, uh, deep research a couple of times, but I think one thing like small, like aside, I don't think anyone else is talking about the fact that deep research is technically using, uh,

an 03 full version which is not out anywhere else and it's actually using a mini ver right it's using o3 mini as well so it's actually like uh you know two different versions of o3 working together yeah the the research there is insane i can't stop using the tool um you know what

What do you see as some of this biggest, right? So we talked about how you see this impending hockey stick of growth and something like deep research. But is there any other happening or development aside from the research itself that you've seen recently that you're like, okay, even as someone with three decades of experience, is there anything you've seen recently that has kind of shocked you in terms of AI's capabilities?

Yeah. You know, I don't want to exaggerate. I think I'm shocked on a weekly basis right now. I mean, some of this will be maybe less widely business applicable, but like what's happening in image generation and image synthesis and video and audio. Incredible. If you haven't checked that out, go have some fun. You can lose a weekend on YouTube seeing what's going on there. But

on a sort of a more practical level, healthcare and science generally are about to be massively disrupted. I'll give you an example that just blows my mind. So I've got a background in computational biology as well. And

You know, we used to dream in the late 90s of being able to sequence entire genomes. And we would think, well, what if we had the capability to combine like that sequencing technology with real artificial intelligence?

Well, that's here today. There are, you know, models out there like AlphaFold that have essentially solved one of the grand challenges of biology, which is, you know, amino sequence, amino acid sequence to protein folding prediction. That is, I mean, this is one of the most important accomplishments in the history of science. And it's enabling amazing things like this.

There is a bio ML group. It's a postdoc PhD led group, student group at the University of Texas at Austin. And they held a hackathon about six months ago to develop novel ways

proteins to fight cancer. And this was all done in one weekend, open source modeling. I think 62 countries participated in. They have 20,000 sequences. They're going to have the final results in, I think, two months. So things have advanced so far that five years ago, this was an

open question whether this was even theoretically possible. And now you have hackathons on a weekend developing novel cancer therapies. I mean, it's just incredible progress. Yeah, it's

It's almost wild to me to think about the disparity, right? And even as you're talking about that, one thing that was popping up in my mind is the Google co-scientists, very impressive, early agentic research from Google that's going to be, I think, extremely helpful in that field. But one thing that just always...

baffles my mind, Ron, is the disparity between where we're at, right? Like you gave that example of the, you know, bio ML. But then we have even like smart companies focusing so much time on just like using large language models to write like better LinkedIn posts, right? And things like that, right? Like, are you ever baffled? Or maybe it's just me, but just at the disparity between of the capabilities and then what the average

human is using this technology for the average, even enterprise business. Sometimes I'm shocked. It blows my mind all the time. You know, it's that old saying that the future is here. It's just not evenly distributed. I think a lot of people, they take a look at something and I guess it kind of makes sense. You take a look at something and you get a read on it and you say, OK, I understand where we're at.

And that may work, you know, back in the old days when things were moving at a slower pace. Right now, things are moving so fast, you know, if you were an expert in AI five years ago and you –

came back to work, you wouldn't even know where to start. Right. So, you know, I would encourage everybody to have their head on a swivel here because things are moving incredibly fast. And, you know, that old adage is it's not, it's not that AI is going to beat your business. It's people, you know, in businesses leveraging AI, they're going to take your business. Um, I'm, I'm,

I'm glad it's taking the business versus taking the job. I've always personally hated that one-to-one comparison because I'm like, oh, AI is not going to take your job. Someone that uses AI will. But I'm like, what if that person using AI is using an agentic swarm? Essentially, OpenAI just released an SDK and an API for agentic swarm. So it's like, okay, well, that person could...

theory, maybe do the job of, you know, I don't know, 10, 50, a hundred people. Right. Can you talk even just about the capabilities and what, you know, non-technical people or, you know, small businesses, like, can you walk us through just what the capabilities they have? Because, you know, I feel generally, you know, to have that top echelon of technology has only been afforded to the 1% of companies, right. Right.

in the full fortune 500 right what what does the everyday non-technical person in business have at their fingertips are you still running in circles trying to figure out how to actually grow your business with ai maybe your company has been tinkering with large language models for a year or more but can't really get traction to find roi on gen ai hey this is jordan wilson host of this very podcast

Companies like Adobe, Microsoft, and NVIDIA have partnered with us because they trust our expertise in educating the masses around generative AI to get ahead. And some of the most innovative companies in the country hire us to help with their AI strategy and to train hundreds of their employees on how to use Gen AI. So whether you're looking for chat GPT training for thousands,

or just need help building your front-end AI strategy, you can partner with us too, just like some of the biggest companies in the world do. Go to youreverydayai.com slash partner to get in contact with our team, or you can just click on the partner section of our website. We'll help you stop running in those AI circles and help get your team ahead and build a straight path to ROI on Gen AI.

If I would argue that, um, the, you know, the premier sort of bleeding edge reasoning language models like Claude 3.7 or, uh, chat GPT, uh, 4.5 with, with deep research, those models can be helpful to anybody. No, I don't, I don't care what your job is. If you're

If you're dealing with text or images or numbers, or you're trying to think through problems, or you're trying to understand data,

Those tools have a depth to them that most people, I think they just don't know how to use or they don't know how to explore. So you don't have to go crazy. You can leverage these consumer grade reasoning models right now and get an enormous benefit. I mean, it's very difficult for me to think of a business that couldn't benefit from some aspect of that. Yeah.

I'm wondering is, is day zero shifting, right? Can, can companies be at a, at a negative, right? Like sometimes I'm flabbergasted, you know, big companies reach out to me and they're like, Oh, you know, you know, we're just now getting licenses for, you know, co-pilot or we're looking at licenses for, you know, chat GPT enterprise. And I'm like, you're a $20 billion company. Like, like, why are you there? Is that day zero? Is it, is it,

So that's a great question. I mean, honestly, I think the technology, I think AI as a technology is at day zero. There are companies who are so far behind, they're like day negative one or day negative two. And I see this all the time, for example, when...

When Copilot first came out, I know people in the AI industry that didn't believe it, thought it was BS, that it couldn't work. And I give presentations all the time and I'll ask, you know, big developer organizations, you know, raise your hand if you're using Copilot. And I would say, or something like Cursor AI, some type of coding assistant. Invariably, I get a split audience. It's like half are using it and the other half don't.

think it's just not worth their time. And they have no idea what they're missing because those tools are as powerful as the end user, right? And so if they're not getting a lot of goodness out of it, it's almost invariably their lack of

understanding at what they could use with the tool, right? It's like if you gave somebody a hammer and they were like, well, I don't really see how this could be useful in my world building houses. And it just boggles the mind. And that's just coding assistance. This is going to be applied more and more everywhere. But the challenge is,

I think part of the reason too, though, a lot of companies and maybe a lot of people are a little confused as they look at their, their mobile phone devices and, you know, Siri is still as bad, you know, as dumb as a bag of rocks. Right. And, and,

you're like, I'm not so sure I believe this AI stuff is real. The problem is it's going to take a while for these really, really large corporations to integrate the capabilities that already exist right now. Like it may be another year or two before Siri even becomes capable of doing the things that technically it could have like two years ago.

Yeah, that's a great point. We've seen recent reporting say anywhere from 2026 to 2027 until we get the actual AI series. So we'll see. I want to follow up on this concept of coding and AI coding.

which I know our audience isn't the most technical, but in my 2025 prediction show, I said the average person is going to be building their own applications by the end of the year. And then the Anthropic CEO just yesterday, Dario Amati, said that in three to six months, 90% of code is going to be AI. And within 12 months, it's going to be 100%.

How do you see, even with non-technical people, but how is this concept of AI encoding really just going to change how business gets done? I see a lot of different avenues, but I'd love to hear from someone that's been doing this for three decades. You know, I probably think Nazario's estimates may be a little optimistic because

any type of generative AI solution at this stage, even with reasoning models, does need some oversight because it can lose the thread or hallucinate or make mistakes. These systems are not omniscient. Within three to five years, I think the bulk of new generated code will be AI generated and validated by humans or some other type of system. But the important point is that

This is essentially taking the most powerful invention humans ever have ever created, which is like the ability to program general purpose computers. Right. You could just, you know, let's just let's just set the table really quickly and

General purpose computers like, you know, the laptop here on my desk, they're Turing complete. They can literally do anything that we can write down the instructions, right? So they're kind of unbounded from a capability perspective. And once we're in the realm where the process of converting from our minds into computer instructions, once that step has been made as trivial as just talking to,

coding assistant and using just everyday plain English that means application development and application customization and feature additions and feature enhancements that is going to become dramatically less expensive dramatically less expensive and it doesn't mean the software engineers are going to go away and certainly not in the short term it means the amount that we can leverage and get our

ROI from new code development is going to skyrocket. I mean, it's almost hard to exaggerate how much that is going to change things. There's that old adage that software is eating the world. Software is becoming embedded in every aspect of our life. We have an operating system in our refrigerator. Well, now we have the ability to go build and modify and enhance these systems across the board with artificial intelligence

streamlining that entire process. You know, another hockey analogy, right. Aside from it, you know, uh, growth hockey sticking upward, you know, they always say, Oh, you know, don't, you know, you have to skate to where the puck's going, not where it is. Um, my thought is no one knows where the puck's going, right? If you skate where you think the puck is going, you're going to miss the game, right? The bus has left. Um,

You know, how can companies, you know, not just, you know, oh, how can they get ahead? How can they keep up? Because as someone that does this every day, I struggle. Right. And I agree with you. I think that, you know, we are going to see this this hockey stick in the next couple of months. How do businesses keep up?

So I have two pieces of advice that I typically give most businesses. Because, you know, if you're an executive running a company, you know, you have a full plate. Becoming an expert in artificial intelligence isn't really an option. So it's two things. One is don't make the mistake that generative AI is all there is to AI. And the reason I say that is

Like I mentioned a second ago, generative solutions are incredibly powerful in the right circumstance. But I see executives frequently have the false belief that they can build some generative solution and just plug it in. And they forget about how they actually use it. The fact that

If you're working with Claude or ChatGPT or something, you're giving it a prompt. You're getting an answer. You're correcting it. You're having a back and forth. And generative solutions right now without a human in the loop just really don't work in a production environment. So if you go put a bunch of money into a generative solution, you might be disappointed if you forget that really important fact.

The other component is that domain specific AI is incredibly powerful. And I'm talking about systems that are, don't have broad general capabilities, but they may have one or two or three very, very amazing superpowers, but that's all they can do. Right? So you might have a system, an AI system that can detect fraud at a superhuman level, or it can optimize product recommendations or, um,

inventory optimization or all these types of things, those are really, really powerful bets where you don't have to worry about necessarily having a human loop. And then the last piece of advice I would give is

your data, the data that you have that is proprietary to your business and that drives your business, if you can build AI solutions on top of that, then you're going to get the most ROI for a couple of reasons. One is it's massive defense. You've got this data mode that is unique.

Two, you can build capabilities to either cut costs, extend new functionality, have new predictive or perceptive capabilities based upon your own data. And that is a much, much better way to go into AI than building things or tools that are not based on your data and that could

overnight become a product somebody sells and you just wasted this huge investment. If you just waited a year, you could buy it as a service. So focus your investments on maximizing the utility that you can get out of your own data. And one more question as we wrap up here. If rat day zero and if generative AI is just the start,

What's next? Right. Not asking you to look into your crystal ball and, you know, come back in six months and say, how dare you not be able to predict the future, Ron? Right. But if generative AI is just the start, what's next?

I think the big next step, and you can have me back on the show in a bit, and we'll talk about day one. It's going to be this. It's going to be these systems have superhuman abilities that go beyond mimicking some existing human capability, whether it's our ability to see or hear or something like that. And we're pretty close to this. I think this is really...

Best case a year, probably worst case five, median case maybe two and a half. And what we're going to have is just as right now where there are reasoning models that can code at an elite level or solve math problems at, you know, an Olympic level, these models, we're going to start knocking down additional domains and we're going to have them be able to do, you know,

novel scientific research, novel clinical diagnostics. Not just like, hey, can you automate this thing humans already do? But they're going to discover novel insights. They're going to make recommendations. They're going to be able to be introspective on their own output and reason at a level that is so sophisticated, it is literally going to have to dumb down for us the explanation so that we can understand it. And

And that is what I'm so excited about. That's where we're going to be at day one, in my opinion. Love to see it. Getting us all past day zero of AI and prepared for what's next. Ron, thank you so much for taking time out of your day to join the Everyday AI Show. We really appreciate it.

This is awesome. Thanks for having me. All right, y'all. As a reminder, that was a lot. This is one of those ones I'm already going to say it. You might want to listen to this twice. You also might want to go to our website, youreverydayai.com, sign up for the free daily newsletter. I'm going to have fun re-listening to this one myself and writing down the most important takeaways for you to leverage what we just learned to grow your company and your career. Thank you for tuning in. Hope to see you back tomorrow and every day for more Everyday AI. Thanks, y'all.

And that's a wrap for today's edition of Everyday AI. Thanks for joining us. If you enjoyed this episode, please subscribe and leave us a rating. It helps keep us going. For a little more AI magic, visit youreverydayai.com and sign up to our daily newsletter so you don't get left behind. Go break some barriers and we'll see you next time.

We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!

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