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cover of episode Good Or Bad Use Of Polling (Taylor's Version)

Good Or Bad Use Of Polling (Taylor's Version)

2023/3/27
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Alex Samuels
G
Galen Druk
K
Kayleigh Rogers
N
Nathaniel Rakich
Topics
Galen Druk:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝的民调结果分析,指出其结论存在问题,例如对粉丝群体人口统计特征的分析方法不当,以及对“狂热粉丝”和“普通粉丝”定义的模糊性。同时,讨论了民调中样本选择和自我报告方式对结果准确性的影响。 Nathaniel Rakich:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝民调结果的分析,指出将粉丝群体作为分母来分析人口统计特征是不恰当的,应该使用传统方法进行交叉分析。同时,指出民调中误差范围的重要性,以及不同样本和提问方式对结果的影响。 Kayleigh Rogers:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝民调结果的分析,指出其样本选择和问题设计存在缺陷,难以得出可靠结论。同时,指出应该参考粉丝社区的调查结果,而非公开调查。并对民调中将原版专辑和重新录制版本分开统计的合理性提出质疑。 Galen Druk:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝最喜欢的专辑的民调结果分析,指出由于样本限制和误差范围等原因,难以得出明确结论。并对民调中将原版专辑和重新录制版本分开统计的合理性提出质疑。 Nathaniel Rakich:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝最喜欢的专辑的民调结果分析,指出多个专辑的支持率接近,难以判断哪个专辑最受欢迎。 Kayleigh Rogers:对泰勒·斯威夫特粉丝最喜欢的专辑的民调结果分析,指出样本数量少,且各专辑支持率接近,难以得出明确结论。同时,指出粉丝更倾向于选择重新录制版本,体现了对艺术家的支持。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast discusses the validity and implications of polling data focused on Taylor Swift's popularity and fan demographics, highlighting the challenges and limitations of such polls.

Shownotes Transcript

After breaking records and breaking Ticketmaster with her "Eras" tour, pollsters have tried to determine who exactly Taylor Swift's fans are and which of her 10 albums is best regarded. In this episode, the crew asks its favorite question about one of America’s favorite musicians: Is this a good or bad use of polling?

Then they take a hard turn back into electoral politics, with the question: Who do Democrats want the GOP nominee to be, and what does that tell us about how they’re thinking about 2024?

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