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cover of episode How Climate Change Will Reshape Where Americans Live

How Climate Change Will Reshape Where Americans Live

2023/5/4
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
G
Galen Druk
J
Jake Bittle
Topics
Jake Bittle: 气候变化将导致美国人口迁移模式发生重大转变，人们将不再仅仅因为经济因素而搬迁，而是为了躲避日益恶化的气候条件。数百万甚至数千万美国人将被迫离开目前居住地，迁移到气候条件相对较好的地区。这种迁移将对美国社会经济产生深远的影响，包括房地产市场、就业市场和社会结构等。一些地区，特别是那些基础设施薄弱、资源匮乏的地区，将面临生存危机，甚至可能变得无法居住。政府需要采取积极措施，引导人口迁移，并帮助受影响的人们适应新的生活环境。同时，还需要对城市规划和基础设施建设进行调整，以适应气候变化带来的挑战。 此外，气候变化与人类活动对自然环境的影响是相互关联的，难以区分责任的轻重。城市和郊区扩张加剧了某些地区的可持续性问题，例如美国西南部缺水、加州野火频发以及房屋建设靠近森林等问题。应对气候变化，需要考虑人口迁移和技术干预两种方案，既需要工程措施，也需要保护自然环境。 Galen Druk: 美国几十年来的人口迁移模式是向南向西迁移，但这种模式可能即将逆转。气候变化将导致美国人口迁移模式逆转或改变，未来人口迁移将不再由廉价住房、低税收和充足的就业机会驱动，而是由恶化的气候条件驱使人们离开原居住地。政府需要在不直接限制人们居住选择权的情况下，引导人们搬离易受气候灾害影响的地区，并为他们提供相应的经济补偿和安置方案。同时，还需要考虑如何引导投资，发展那些气候条件相对较好、具有可持续发展潜力的地区。

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Chapters
The discussion explores the potential reversal of the long-standing trend of Americans moving south and west due to climate change, posing a question about the future of these migration patterns.

Shownotes Transcript

For decades, Americans have been moving South and West. That migration pattern was visible in political terms when seven congressional districts moved between states after the 2020 census, and it continues to be visible in the booming construction and job markets in cities across the Sun Belt.

In this installment of the podcast, Galen speaks with author Jake Bittle, who argues that it’s only a matter of time before those trends reverse, or at least shift. However, as he writes in his new book, "The Great Displacement)," this time it won’t be cheap housing, low taxes and plentiful jobs that attract people to new places. It will be a harshening climate that pushes them away.

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