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cover of episode Our First-Ever House Speaker Draft

Our First-Ever House Speaker Draft

2023/10/23
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
G
Galen Druke
I
Ian Bremmer
J
Jeffrey Skelly
L
Leah Escarinam
T
Tia Mitchell
Topics
Galen Druke：众议院议长选举持续僵持，共和党内部存在严重分歧，多位候选人竞争激烈，最终结果难以预测。 Jeffrey Skelly：基于候选人的资历、支持度以及党内派系力量等因素，对可能的众议院议长人选进行了分析和预测，认为Tom Emmer由于其在党内的地位和McCarthy的支持而最有可能胜出，但也指出特朗普的反对他可能会造成影响。 Leah Escarinam：对部分候选人进行了分析，认为Pete Sessions的经验和韧性使其成为一个值得关注的候选人，并对其他候选人的胜算进行了评估。 Tia Mitchell：从地缘政治角度分析，认为Austin Scott和Byron Donalds等候选人具有各自的优势和劣势，并对选举结果进行了预测。 Galen Druke：对众议院议长选举的持续僵局表示担忧，并指出候选人众多，结果难以预测。 Jeffrey Skelly：对Tom Emmer和Kevin Hearn等候选人进行了深入分析，认为Emmer由于其在党内的地位和McCarthy的支持而最有可能胜出，但同时也指出了特朗普的反对以及党内保守派对其支持的潜在影响。 Leah Escarinam：对Patrick McHenry进行了分析，认为他有可能在政府停摆前获得更多权力，并最终成为永久议长。 Tia Mitchell：对Byron Donalds和Susan Cole等候选人进行了分析，认为Donalds作为黑人共和党人，有可能获得跨党派支持，而Cole在议长投票中的角色也使其备受关注。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast discusses the possibility of Kevin McCarthy making a comeback as Speaker of the House, given the current political landscape and the challenges faced by the Republican party.

Shownotes Transcript

The House of Representatives has officially been without a permanent speaker for 20 days. After Rep. Steve Scalise and Rep. Jim Jordan failed to get enough support, nine new Republican candidates have stepped forward to run for the speakership. In this installment of the podcast, the crew drafts teams of who they think is most likely to fill the position.

Then, Eurasia Group president Ian Bremmer joins Galen Druke to talk about why it has been so hard to get good, clear information about the war between Israel and Hamas. Last week, false reports that Israel had struck a hospital in Gaza City and killed hundreds spread online and across the mainstream media, leading to a breakdown in negotiations between President Biden and Arab leaders.

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