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cover of episode Debate: The Path for Stocks 6/16/25

Debate: The Path for Stocks 6/16/25

2025/6/16
logo of podcast Halftime Report

Halftime Report

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D
Dan Ives
J
Jim Laventhal
J
Joe Terranova
知名华尔街分析师和投资策略师,现任 Virtus Investment Partners 首席市场策略师。
K
Kerry Firestone
M
Mike Santoli
以超过20年的华尔街报道经验,目前担任CNBC高级市场评论员的金融专家。
S
Scott Wapner
主持《Halftime Report》,领导投资委员会讨论市场趋势和投资策略。
Topics
Joe Terranova: 我认为市场展现出韧性,即使面对地缘政治事件,股市依然能够反弹。十年期国债收益率并未因地缘政治风险而下降,这表明市场可能已经消化了潜在的通胀影响。目前标普500指数正逼近历史新高,这证明了市场的强势。 Kerry Firestone: 我认为市场受到内在因素的制约,特别是盈利增长的担忧。市场似乎难以突破22倍的远期收益,这表明投资者对未来的盈利增长持谨慎态度。因此,我认为市场更多地受到估值的限制,而不是地缘政治事件的影响。 Jim Laventhal: 我认为市场很快就会创下历史新高,一旦达到那个水平,就会出现追涨杀跌的现象。如果明年的盈利预期达到每股300美元,那么22倍的市盈率将达到6600美元。如果贸易协议和预算法案能够通过,市场将会因为害怕错过机会而上涨。 Scott Wapner: 我认为市场正在关注伊朗与以色列的事态发展、美联储会议以及G7峰会。这些事件都可能对市场产生影响,因此投资者需要密切关注。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes the resilience of the stock market in the face of geopolitical tensions, including the Iran-Israel conflict and the upcoming Fed meeting. Experts discuss whether these events will significantly impact market performance and explore the role of valuation and investor sentiment.
  • Market shows resilience despite geopolitical events.
  • NASDAQ 100 and S&P are above Thursday's close.
  • Technical analysis suggests potential for new highs.

Shownotes Transcript

Scott Wapner and the Investment Committee debate the path for stocks as the market rises with many variables in the background, from the Israel – Iran conflict, a Fed Meeting, and the G7.  Plus, the Investment Committee share their latest portfolio moves.  And later, we discuss the latest Calls of the Day. 

Investment Committee Disclosures)