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“The case for AGI by 2030” by Benjamin_Todd
59:59
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2025/4/10
LessWrong (30+ Karma)
AI Chapters
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Chapters
In a Nutshell: The Case for AGI by 2030?
What's Driven Recent AI Progress? Will It Continue?
Scaling Pretraining to Create Base Models with Basic Intelligence
Algorithmic Efficiency: How Much Further Can It Go?
Post-Training of Reasoning Models with Reinforcement Learning
Increasing How Long Models Think: The Next Frontier?
Building Better Agents: The Next Stage in AI Evolution
How Good Will AI Be by 2030?
Trend Extrapolation of AI Capabilities: What Jobs Will Be Impacted?
The Case Against Impressive AI Progress by 2030: What Are the Obstacles?
When Do Experts Expect AGI to Arrive?
Why the Next 5 Years Are Crucial for AI Development
Two Potential Futures for AI: What Lies Ahead?
Conclusion: Use Your Career to Tackle This Issue
Further Reading: Dive Deeper into the Topic
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