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cover of episode The Fed's got an interest rate decision to make

The Fed's got an interest rate decision to make

2025/6/16
logo of podcast Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace All-in-One
AI Deep Dive Transcript
People
A
Alan Collard-Wexler
A
Anne Owen
B
Brian Reeling
D
Dottie Myers
E
Emily Blanchard
H
Henry Epp
I
Ishwar Prasad
J
Jennifer Lee
J
Jenny Schutz
J
Josh Spores
M
Mark Olson
N
Neil Saunders
O
Ole Luchens
P
Patrick Fleming
P
Philip Bell
R
Rashad Kossum
T
Teresa Ford
Y
Yelena Sholetyova
Z
Zach Stambour
Topics
Anne Owen: 我认为目前最大的难题是五月份的通货膨胀为何如此之低。几个月来我们一直听说关税会推高物价，但五月份的通货膨胀几乎没有变动。这可能因为消费者需求低迷，或者公司为了赶在关税生效前囤积了库存。 Yelena Sholetyova: 我观察到消费者可能正在减少购买。 Emily Blanchard: 关税本应鼓励企业增加国内生产，例如购买更多的国内钢铁和铝，但这会被其他因关税而变得更昂贵的产品所抵消，使得整体经济形势难以判断。 Jennifer Lee: 现在担任央行行长非常不易，因为很难判断国家经济是会强劲增长还是会崩溃。地缘政治风险、贸易风险以及关税的不确定性都对央行决策造成影响。 Ishwar Prasad: 许多国家的通货膨胀似乎得到了控制，但经济增长前景黯淡。在不确定性面前，不作为对央行行长来说可能是一种谨慎的做法。 Brian Reeling: 预计本周美联储不会采取任何行动，维持利率不变。目前经济和就业市场表现良好，没有理由立即做出改变。美联储将保持观望，直到特朗普总统的关税和减税政策对通货膨胀和增长的影响变得更加明朗。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

The Federal Open Market Committee meets later this week, and it’s pretty likely they’ll examine why tariffs didn’t drive inflation up in May. The good news? A slew of economic data coming out this week could clear things up, and help them make an interest rate decision. Also in this episode: Other central banks have June meetings on the books, domestic steel production ramps up under tariffs — but steel jobs don’t — and Halloween came early this year. Like, really early.

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