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cover of episode This GOP bill will affect borrowing costs for everyone

This GOP bill will affect borrowing costs for everyone

2025/5/29
logo of podcast Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace All-in-One
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Alex Weapon
A
Alice Frazier
A
April Hemmes
E
Ernie Tedeschi
G
Gretchen Blau
J
Jesse Schrager
J
Josh Hurt
K
Kent Smetters
M
Mark Ackerton
M
Michael Lozano
S
Stacey Tarusco
S
Steve Lively
T
Tom Tsang
V
Virginia Palacios
W
Wesley Rule
Topics
Ernie Tedeschi: 作为耶鲁预算实验室的经济主任，我主要负责根据最新的新闻来更新经济模型。自从特朗普政府实施关税政策以来，经济环境变得极不稳定，这给我的工作带来了很大的挑战。关税政策的变化无常使得预测变得异常困难，企业和消费者面临着巨大的不确定性。我预计，如果关税恢复实施，消费者将很快在商品价格上感受到影响，特别是在返校购物季。此外，由于运输延误，短期内可能还会出现商品短缺的问题。虽然我密切关注7月中旬这个关键日期，但我也清楚关税政策随时可能发生变化。 Gretchen Blau: 作为物流公司的海关经纪人，我深感关税政策带来的困扰。目前，我们内部已经发布备忘录，告知大家需要等待进一步的指示，特别是关于退款的问题，我们尚不清楚如何处理。由于联邦公报尚未发布相关信息，我们无法获得明确的指导。此外，该裁决似乎仅适用于IEEPA关税，而不适用于232或301关税，这进一步增加了混乱。我们正在努力为客户提供清晰的指导，但目前最大的挑战是缺乏明确性和可预测性。 Wesley Rule: 作为小提琴行的老板，我对当前经济的动荡已经习以为常，对任何变化都不感到惊讶。虽然我不确定关税政策对我们业务的具体影响，但我认为影响不会太大，因为我们的经销商已经根据关税提高了价格。为了应对关税带来的不确定性，我们之前贷款购买了一批乐器，以避免未来价格上涨。现在，作为企业主，我不得不花费大量时间来研究关税政策，并了解其他企业是如何应对的，这在五年前是完全不需要考虑的问题。 April Hemmes: 作为一名农民，我认为关税是一种过度扩张。我更愿意专注于我的本职工作，即种植作物。每天都在改变规则，这对我们农民来说是很令人沮丧的。如果关税消失，出口国就可以少担心一件事，这会让我们安心。目前，我更关心天气和春季播种，而不是关税。我希望政策制定者能够意识到，稳定和可预测的贸易环境对农业至关重要。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The court ruling on President Trump's tariffs caused uncertainty in the economy. Economists are having to constantly update their models due to this chaos, and consumers and businesses are facing greater uncertainty about prices and availability of goods.
  • Court ruled against Trump's tariff powers
  • Ruling put on hold by appeals court
  • Tariffs are taxes paid by American businesses and consumers
  • Uncertainty increased for businesses and consumers

Shownotes Transcript

The GOP spending and tax bill making its way through Congress would pile significantly onto the national debt. In turn, bond investors will demand higher yields and — unless something changes — the cost of borrowing for a business or a mortgage is likely to go up too. Also in this episode: YouTube stars build their own production studios, a Texas bill seeks to avoid orphan oil wells and we break down the economic implications of yesterday’s judicial ruling on Trump’s tariff policy.

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