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cover of episode Where's the job market headed?

Where's the job market headed?

2025/5/30
logo of podcast Marketplace All-in-One

Marketplace All-in-One
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Andrew Stettner
C
Catherine Rempel
C
Courtney Brown
E
Evan Osnos
J
John Lear
J
Julie Yang
K
Kai Risdahl
M
Mitchell Hartman
P
Peter Walker
Topics
Catherine Rempel: 我认为目前的通胀数据可能已经是最好的情况了，因为未来的关税可能会推高物价。关税的影响会被供应商、企业和消费者分摊，最终可能导致物价上涨。关税还会提高物价并减缓经济增长，使得美联储实现其充分就业和稳定物价的双重目标变得更加困难。如果美联储试图应对高物价，可能会提高利率；如果试图应对经济衰退，可能会降低利率，这使得美联储面临两难。 此外，特朗普政府一直承诺经济会高速增长，但实际情况并非如此。减税政策在短期内可能会促进经济增长，但长期来看，几乎所有独立的预算评估机构都认为减税法案无法实现自给自足，反而会增加赤字，并可能通过挤出私人投资来减缓未来的经济增长。 Courtney Brown: 我认为目前的贸易形势变化莫测，企业和消费者都难以预测未来。特朗普一直在公开谈论并试图影响美联储的利率政策，但这与美联储的独立性相悖。尽管目前的通胀率为2%，经济的后视镜看起来不错，但未来的道路充满挑战，经济正面临潜在的困境。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter analyzes the current economic indicators, focusing on inflation and the impact of tariffs on prices and employment. Experts discuss the challenges faced by the Federal Reserve in balancing maximum employment with stable prices amidst trade uncertainties and the President's influence.
  • PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures Index) at 2.1 percent, core at 2.5 percent.
  • Tariffs are expected to raise prices.
  • The Federal Reserve is concerned about stagflationary pressures from tariffs.
  • President's social media posts show inconsistent economic policies.
  • The economy is described as having a good rearview but a treacherous road ahead.

Shownotes Transcript

The economic reports out this week gave a fuzzy view of the economy, but next week will be all about jobs: job openings, labor productivity, and the latest jobs report. So far this year, employment has been pretty even-keeled — despite tariff uncertainty. Will May data be any different? Also in this episode: A field guide to the ultra-wealthy and a Minnesota family of seven (soon to be eight) grapples with higher costs.

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