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cover of episode 美国通货膨胀为何难下降?2

美国通货膨胀为何难下降?2

2025/3/9
logo of podcast 美国真相|帝国理工小哥道

美国真相|帝国理工小哥道

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主播
以丰富的内容和互动方式帮助学习者提高中文能力的播客主播。
Topics
主播:美国当前的生活成本在发达国家中居于前列,仅次于瑞士。这与持续的通货膨胀密切相关。 特朗普政府时期,对加拿大和墨西哥加征关税,并非单纯的经济措施,更是其外交策略的一部分,旨在通过施压迫使这些国家在贸易谈判中做出让步。 加拿大和墨西哥为了讨好上届美国政府,放弃了中国市场,导致其经济对美国过度依赖,如今面临着美国政府的进一步施压和加税。 加拿大在与美国重新签订北美贸易协定以及加拿大石油输往美国的问题上,一直以来都未能有效地维护自身利益,如今与中国关系恶化,使其在贸易方面失去了更多选择。 加拿大在军事和经济上都过度依赖美国,成为美国的军事和经济附庸。 墨西哥为了讨好美国,限制了从中国的原材料进口,损害了自身利益,走上了“去中国化”的道路。 特朗普政府利用关税作为外交工具,迫使其他贸易伙伴屈服于美国的政策,这种策略在对加拿大和墨西哥的贸易中有所体现,对欧洲也可能有效。 过去四年,德国政府为了与美国保持一致,做出了巨大的牺牲,严重依赖美国市场,放弃了与中国的贸易,导致自身经济结构单一化,竞争力下降。 部分德国企业为了避免美国制裁,将业务转移到美国,导致德国制造业竞争力下降,德国工人的效率和成本远高于中国,这进一步削弱了德国制造业的竞争力。 德国大型汽车制造商过去依赖中国市场盈利来补贴国内工厂,如今这种模式难以为继,大众汽车公司因中国市场份额下降和国内成本高企而被迫进行改革。 德国工人的工作效率和态度令人担忧,这也在一定程度上影响了德国制造业的竞争力。 美国及其贸易伙伴过度依赖美国市场,将面临巨大的风险,欧洲国家所谓的“去风险化”,实质上是“去中国化”,但最大的风险其实是来自美国。 欧盟领导人冯德莱恩被认为是美国利益的代言人,这反映出欧洲政治体制的荒谬之处。 特朗普政府即将对欧盟采取行动,进一步加剧国际贸易紧张局势。 美国政府利用关税来解决贸易逆差和财政问题,特朗普计划建立一个“外部收入服务处”来征收关税,这与美国内战时期林肯政府为解决财政危机而征收个人所得税的历史背景有关。 美国人非常重视税收,每年四月是美国的报税日,这体现了美国税收制度的严格性。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter explores the high cost of living in the US, comparing it to other developed countries and examining the role of inflation and government policies.
  • The cost of living in the US is among the highest in developed countries, rivaled only by Switzerland.
  • Inflation is a significant factor contributing to the high cost of living.
  • Trump's trade policies, particularly tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods, have impacted the cost of goods.

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Okay, let's start today's live broadcast. Let's continue to talk. The price of these things in the United States will never go down.

This year, the price of the U.S. is even more expensive than last year. I can rest assured of my understanding of the U.S. price every year. Now the cost of living in the U.S. is one of the most expensive in all developed countries. It is more expensive than most countries in Europe. The only country that can compete with it is Switzerland. It is too expensive in the so-called developed countries. The cost of living is too expensive. Things have always been out of shape because of inflation.

The current Trump's policies, for example, are now fighting the customs war. They want to add 25% of customs to Canada and Mexico. After the customs war, because of the strife between the Canadian government and the Mexican government, they want to slow down the tax increase.

It was in March that they decided to continue to increase taxes. The so-called debt is actually a continuation of the negotiation between the two sides. If Canada and Mexico don't put out more meat, they will continue to increase taxes. Why is Canada and Mexico so fast in spending?

The president of Canada, President Donald Trump, was so angry that he even made a scene with the Mexican president. Then he immediately sent people to talk to Trump in the United States. We have something to say, don't just sleep.

因为这两个国家啊在过去四年啊为了拍上届政府的马屁基本上是把他唯一的有可能的 另外一个市场啊基本上全部都放弃了大家知道是哪就是中国啊特别像这个加拿大这边啊加拿大这边我印象还很深的当时这个

When Trump's first term was to abolish the so-called North American trade agreement When he was re-signing the North American trade agreement with Canada and Mexico Trudeau not only this Also including discussion of this Canadian oil entering the United States Including Canada's Keystone that one This oil pipeline enters the United States When a series of problems Trudeau was still there It's the same as this time Now the mama lady said I You don't buy my stuff I'll sell it to China

There was a choice at that time, but after that, the Toulouse-Gueux was still a Chinese. Now, he doesn't even have this choice. You know, now China and Canada's relationship is even worse than China and the United States' relationship. In general, the conquest between the two countries, you will see in history, I don't say China is evil, China has never conquered.

You have to look at the European countries. Many of these ordinary countries are more angry at the enemy, the so-called enemy country, than the real ones. The countries that are on the stage and are in charge are even more angry. In fact, we can see it from the current international pattern. Which countries jump the fastest are usually the rich countries. Now Canada is a kind of

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美国在加拿大境内有很多的这些军事基地,包括很多的重要的这些信息,号称是美国和加拿大这个军事共享的,大家也知道这个美军的每年的这个军费和加拿大那边的这军队的军费一比,加拿大基本上就是可以说是可以忽略不计。

So Canada is actually the military welfare of the United States. Thank you very much for its series of government operations in the past four years. Basically, it has become the economic welfare of the United States. There is no independence at all. In this kind of country, including Mexico, Mexico has been particularly in the past year in order to keep its friendly relationship with the United States, it has to limit the import of various kinds of raw materials from China.

其实这也是在自觉坟墓,但是为了讨好美国。 那这个最后的结果是什么? 最后的结果就是他们在去中国化, 在加拿大和墨西哥响应美国的要求, 甚至美国自己都没有完全去中国化的前提下, 他们做的比他们的美国主子做的还要厉害, 更加彻底的去过中国化方面, 所以导致了他们的美国主子,

他们在现在的国际贸易中 处在一个非常不利的条件, 就是过度依赖美国市场。 那这个特朗普不整你整谁呀? 所以他们现在就立刻的滑归了。 但是因为经过这一段事件啊,

Some people will say that it looks like Trump is using tariffs, including this time for Chinese goods. On the basis of the previous high tariffs, another 10% increase was added. In other words, Trump seems to be purely using tariffs as a diplomatic tool, a policy tool to use. His purpose may not be to increase tariffs, but to force other trade partners

和其他的做生意的国家啊屈服于美国的一些特定的外交政策啊这话啊只可能说了说了一半啊只对了一半啊比如说对待 这个加大啊对待这个墨西哥那其实这确实很有效 因为他们对于美国的市场的依赖性太大可能对欧洲也很有效啊因为欧洲的过去这四年特别是以这个

The government led by von der Leyen, and the so-called "economical engine" of the so-called "EU" , the German government of the "red light" and the "schwarze" . In the past four years, they have been

能够和拜登政府保持统一战线 做出了巨大的牺牲 在德国这个实质上 应该是严重依靠中国市场的国家 但是德国经过他们红十字政府的 一系列骚操作 导致了现在

Last year, the US surpassed China and became Germany's first trade partner. The reason is that Germany was self-sufficient. During the Russian-Ukrainian war, they were directly against each other. A series of energy policies, including diplomatic policies, completely followed the US. As a result, Germany has become a home base for various energy products in the US.

Of course, there is also a part of the reason is that many of these German companies also saw that Germany's government in the Huling region was too useless. It actually forced a large number of these German companies to sign. Germany is not doing business directly with China. Then I will sign these companies to China.

There are also some that are trying to please the US, to prevent the US from finding a factory, and to sign some to the US. So now Germany has a very large manufacturing industry outside the factory. In Germany, the manufacturing industry in Germany does not have any advantage in its competition. The price is not as high as China. You say these volunteers, these workers, are they better than China?

而且呢,价格上,甚至呢,人力承转更是远远的超过中国。 其实在很早之前,大概十年前的时候,这个...

像德国的一些大的这些汽车厂,比如说奔驰,比如说特别是大众,他们对待德国国内的这些,他们本国的这些工厂的一个态度就是,我们每年开一张支票,所谓中国支票,开给他们德国本地的这些雇员,是我们把我们又在中国赚来的钱来养我们在德国的这些大爷们。

So last year, the public really couldn't hold on. If he doesn't reform, the Chinese market will fall too fast. If he doesn't reduce the cost of living, the Chinese market will fall too fast. There will be no Chinese cheques. So he had to send these big guys to the past. As a result, the big guys were unhappy and started to make trouble. Now the quality of these workers in Germany and their wealth can't be compared.

更不像某些公司在这些书上说的时候, 德国的工人都是多么的严谨, 干活多么严谨, 他们这个是目的黑板, 火车站的这个扶梯坏了, 修了三个月都没修好,

Especially the people who walk up the stairs, they have to walk up the stairs, they have to walk up the stairs to get up. This has already reached a point where they treat these jobs, treat these emergency matters, this attitude has reached a point where it makes people angry. It's very bad, very bad, I can say.

I think I've been lying again. Let's get back to the US issue. As I said, the Trump administration is probably very dependent on the US market.

I strongly recommend it. You don't even need to mention the tax. All these countries are likely to fall. For example, the United States. For example, Mexico. Including Germany, Ferdinand is also in the picture. That's useful. You are willing to give up your choice of diversification in the market. They call it risk-treatment.

当时我看见欧洲这边说什么去风险,上要经济去风险,说其实就是要拖去中国化,不敢不好明着说,他其实也是差不多明着说了,说去风险,去中国化。 最后他们没有想到最大的一个风险,中国到现在都没有真正的对待欧洲,欧洲,欧盟这块有任何真正意义上的要打起贸易战,他们最大的风险其实一直都是美国。

And the United States likes to use this trade issue to fight this trade war Or through the form of trade war to ask these Their own trade partners to achieve some political financial policies Economic policies and trade policies to subdue him I often do it Look at the history of these trade wars in the past 40 years in the United States You can see it very clearly that such a thing is often done So anyway, talking about this risk reduction

I guess the EU politicians are the American interests. For example, in addition to Ferdinand Fond, his body is in Brussels, and everything else is in the United States. It's very surprising. I told you before that he is such a standard American spokesperson. How did the American interests spokesperson become the European EU leader in this absurd political system in Europe?

实在是太荒谬了,不说了,欧盟这套体制是完蛋了。 又说跑题了,咱们还会聊刚才的话题。 所以欧洲,包括马上给加拿大和墨西哥加税之后, 有记者问特朗普说欧盟这边呢,他说欧盟也会,欧盟为什么不呢? 所以现在欧盟也吓得吓死,但是估计吓死也没有用, 马上特朗普就要准备对欧盟开刀,这是无忧之一的事情。

So many people say that the US is using tariffs to fight politics for these countries. I said that I only said half of what I said. Why do you say that? In fact, you have to look at the remarks made by Trump in the past. It's obvious that he can see a little bit.

The US government is really trying to solve the issue of the so-called trade gap issue, including the government's tax issue. They really want to take the tariffs.

Trump also said that he was planning to establish an external revenue service. The current state tax office in the United States is called Internal Revenue Service, IRS. This was during the American Civil War. The Lincoln administration started to collect personal and corporate tax in the United States to solve the inflation problem of the federal government.

Before the receipt of the tax return, the US government mainly relied on the government's policy. The US at that time was not like the US now.

而是一个这个重要的贸易大国当时的美国虽然其实也开始贸易做的非常的红红火火但是呢只靠着这个美国政府的那一点在南北战争之前的那一点的关税收入是无法维持 一场非常持久性的这么一场这个内战他撑不住所以说林克政府他为了解决这个政府的危机他除了

In addition to the debt, there is another important point. You have to have someone to buy your national debt. What do you use to guarantee? Take the government's income as a guarantee. The government's income, you rely on the previous money. The income of the official tax can be held up, but not. So I started to claim the so-called personal income tax of the domestic people. This is actually a very

这些学者称之为美国的所谓的革命,其中的一个最重要的导火索或者口号,当时他们这些人起来造反的一个口号就是我们不抽水。

We don't want taxes, we oppose the British government to tax us. So after the United States was independent for a long time, the federal government was very cautious about tax collection. They didn't dare to touch these cakes of local interests. But due to this war, including the war, the South China War, and the South China War, the federal government had to expand continuously. If they didn't receive the tax, they couldn't do anything. So they began to collect tax.

一个以抗税而起来的国家 最后却成了全世界税负最重的国家之一 这也是一个非常反讽的 非常具有讽刺意味的事情 所以他不愿意 而且他不敢直接叫做税局 所以他叫做内部收入服务处 虽然英语相对于中文来说 它的含蓄的表达方面还是欠缺了不少

But you can't think of it as a very vague expression. For example, the "Internet Income" or "Internet Income Service" is not called "billboard". Chinese is translated as "billboard". The American "billboard" means "internet income". What is "internet income"?

政府的内部打着库户政府的内部收入的这个征收的服务部门国税局那么现在特朗普 他想搞的一个是叫外部收入啊 external revenue service 就是外部收入局什么叫外部收入就是关税

I know that most of the government in the United States now is from the government. The tax is especially personal. The tax is a big thing in the United States every year. April is the tax day in the United States. Before the tax day, you must be whether it is a business or a personal need to put the last tax The tax of the previous year was given to the state tax office to be paid. If you don't pay the tax, the state tax office will come to you. It's really about moving the five.

美国人都很怕过这些 虽然美国是以抗税而建国的一个国家 今天就讲到这儿 谢谢大家的收听 咱们下回再见 谢谢 拜拜