【聊了什么】 虽然总统拜登的支持率低迷，民主党却在刚刚结束的迷你中期选举中取得了比民调药好得多的结果。堕胎权作为焦点议题起到了怎样的作用，又对明年大选会有什么样的影响？我们来讨论一下!

【会员计划】

美轮美换会员计划上线了！

加入会员计划的付费会员每周可以通过邮箱收到2-4篇newsletter，包含对美国政治、媒体、文化时事的解读，以及深度政治、政策分析，帮助你全方位了解美国。

会员计划在上线首个月有限时8折优惠，请通过以下链接进行订阅。

年付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/year

月付会员：https://theamericanroulette.com/month

微信/支付宝付费（仅支持年付，我们会在支付完成后会在2个工作日内在后台完成设置）：https://buy.stripe.com/3cs9DnaUE4O52Z25kk

感谢你对美轮美换的支持！

众筹平台链接：

Patreon patreon.com/americanroulette
爱发电 https://afdian.net/a/AmericanRoulette

合作投稿邮箱：american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【时间轴】

00:40 什么是迷你中期选举？
01:20 2023 年迷你中期选举的主要结果
04:04 为什么会有迷你中期选举？
08:24 俄亥俄堕胎权入宪法公投
12:30 堕胎权之争的前景
25:30 支持大麻合法化的人和支持堕胎权的人并不很重合
26:11 肯塔基州州长连任，堕胎权之争的作用
29:21 堕胎权之争共和党为什么陷入被动？
31:54 弗吉尼亚州议会选举和文化战争
38:11 选民结构的变化对竞选的影响
44:15 拜登的民调表现为什么这么差?
49:33 拜登的年龄问题被夸大了，还是特朗普的年龄问题被低估了？
52:43 通涨/经济现状对选举的影响
56:15 今年迷你中期选举和明年大选的关系

【我们是谁】

美轮美换是一档深入探讨当今美国政治的中文播客。

美轮美换的前身是“选·美 iAmElection”，一档由游天龙、talich、林垚、庄巧祎等人于2015年创立的中文播客，选·美聚集了一群关心美国政治的学者、律师、媒体人、观察者和爱好者，在2016年大选前后吸引了大量的听众和读者，成为一档现象级的播客。2020年大选前，talich等人重新推出了“美轮美换”，更新了16集。2023年，新一轮美国大选即将开始，我们决定将选·美和美轮美换的传统延续下去，推出新版的“美轮美换”播客。

我们的主播和嘉宾：

Talich：美国政治/文化历史爱好者
王浩岚：美国政治爱好者，岚目公众号主笔兼消息二道贩子
Lokin：美国法学院学生，即将成为一名纽约诉讼律师。

本期节目由Talich制作，封面设计来自欢祺，本期的音频编辑是Talich。美轮美换是一档由百花传媒出品的播客。

【 What We Talked About】 Yes. 2023 is also an election year. Though Biden is not doing so well in the latest polls, Democrats have exceeded expectations in the past off-year elections. We discuss results of some of the high-profile races. How did abortion rights play into the results? How will the issue affect the general elections next year?

【Support Us】

If you like our show and want to support us, please consider the following:

Support us on Patreon: www.patreon.com/americanroulette Business Inquiries and fan mail: american.roulette.pod@gmail.com

【Timeline】

00:40 What is a mini-midterm election?
01:20 Main outcome of 2023 mini-midterm election
4:04 Why did some states adopt mini-midterm elections?
8:24 Ohio’s initiative on abortion rights
12:30 The future of political fights on abortion rights
25:30 Pro-marijuana legalization and pro-abortion rights voters don’t exactly overlap
26:11 Kentucky governor's successful re-election and abortion rights in the state
29:21 Why is the Republican party playing defense when it comes to abortion rights
31:54 Virginia state legislature elections and the culture wars
38:11 How voter demographic changes affect elections
44:15 Why is Biden doing so badly in the polls?
49:33 Has Biden's age issue been exaggerated, or has Trump's age issue been underestimated?
52:43 The impact of inflation/economic situations on elections
56:15 What does the mini-midterm say about next year’s general election?

【Who We Are】

The American Roulette is a podcast dedicated to helping the Chinese-speaking community understand fast-changing U.S. politics.

The American Roulette’s predecessor is “iAmElection”, a Chinese-language podcast created by Tianlong You, Talich, Yao Lin, and Qiaoy Zhuangi in 2015. The podcast brought together a group of scholars, lawyers, media veterans, observers and enthusiasts who care about American politics. At the height of its popularity, it was featured in the New York Times, and attracted an estimated 70,000 audience who listened each month. For the 2020 election, Talich and others relaunched the podcast as "美轮美换" with 16 new episodes.

In 2023, as the new round of U.S. presidential election is about to begin, we’re building on the legacy of “iAmElection” and “美轮美换” to launch a new podcast that we hope will become your go-to American Politics podcast. We introduce: “美轮美换 The American Roulette.”

Our Hosts and Guests:

Talich: U.S. politics, history, and culture enthusiast 王浩岚 (Haolan Wang): American political enthusiast, chief writer at Lán Mù WeChat Official Account, and peddler of information Lokin: U.S. law school student, incoming NY litigation lawyer

This episode is produced by Talich, cover design by Huanqi, our audio editor for this episode is Talich. American Roulette is a part of Baihua Media.

Support on Patreon | 爱发电上赞助

007 | 保护堕胎权能帮到拜登么？ Abortion rights win big in 2023 elections. Can it help Biden win too? 58:25 Share

美轮美换 The American Roulette

Shownotes Transcript

007 | 保护堕胎权能帮到拜登么？ Abortion rights win big in 2023 elections. Can it help Biden win too?