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cover of episode Is It Better to Rent or Buy a Home?

Is It Better to Rent or Buy a Home?

2023/6/7
logo of podcast Money For the Rest of Us

Money For the Rest of Us

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David Stein
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David Stein: 本期节目探讨了租房与买房的利弊。在过去40年中,主要城市的房价上涨速度远超通货膨胀,尤其是在疫情期间,刺激措施和量化宽松政策进一步推高了房价。然而,高房价和高抵押贷款利率导致美国住房负担能力下降到1985年以来的最低点。 美国住房短缺严重,房屋库存低,导致房价居高不下。这与爱尔兰、英国和荷兰等国家的情况类似。住房短缺的部分原因是分区限制和高昂的建筑成本,导致入门级房屋供应不足。放松城市密度限制可以增加住房供应,促进经济增长。增加住房供应,放宽分区限制以及增加附加住宅单元是解决美国及全球住房危机的关键。 学术研究表明,长期来看,房屋的实际资本增值率约为每年1%,但如果考虑租金收入,则回报率会更高,但这忽略了房屋所有权的各种费用。根据个人经验,在考虑所有成本(包括机会成本)后,买房并不一定比租房更有优势,这取决于具体的市场环境和个人情况。公寓建设数量创历史新高,导致租赁空置率上升,租金价格下降,这使得现在租房可能比买房更有优势。 租房与买房的选择取决于个人生活方式、灵活性需求以及当地市场情况。需要权衡房屋的资本增值、税费、保险以及维护成本等因素。

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How to decide whether to rent a house or apartment or purchase a home or condo. What has been the financial return from owning a house?

Topics covered include:

  • How much have home prices increased in major cities since 1980
  • What drove the greater than 50% jump in home prices in some U.S. cities since 2020
  • Why there aren't more new starter homes
  • What will it take for the housing shortage to abate so houses can be more affordable
  • Why now could be a more advantageous time to rent versus buy
  • What academics estimate the long-term return is for owning a house, and why the calculations are incomplete
  • How to determine what your total cost of ownership is for buying a house in order to compare it to renting

For more information on this episode click here).

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Show Notes

The housing theory of everything by John Myers & Ben Southwood & Sam Bowman—Works in Progress)

Irish property: the boom that shows no signs of slowing by Jude Webber—The Financial Times)

Whatever Happened to the Starter Home? by Emily Badger—The New York Times)

The Housing Revolution Is Coming by M. Nolan Gray—The Atlantic)

In Today’s Housing Market, It’s Timing Over Location by Joe Pinsker—The Wall Street Journal)

The Rate of Return on Real Estate: Long-Run Micro-Level Evidence by David Chambers, Christophe Spaenjers, and Eva Steiner—Oxford Academic)

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015 by Òscar Jordà, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor—National Bureau of Economic Research)

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